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43 Parker Ln
B Composite 72.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.5/10.0

$69,900

43 Parker Ln · Paxton, FL 32567
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1986 0.38 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Zoned mixed use which will allow for residential use this opportunity is located in the center of the City of Paxton. This long-standing business has previously been used as a Beauty Shop and offers parking as well as 2 separate rooms, an office as well as a sitting area. Building also includes a bathroom for clients. Looking for your own space to start your business - you can't beat the price on this investment. Property could also be converted into a tiny home as your residence or make a great rental. Property does not have a kitchen but with plenty of space this could be easily turned into a home as well. No personal items convey with sale nor business. Call today for your own personal s

Key facts

  • Zoned mixed use
  • Office
  • Parking

Tags

ZONED MIXED USECENTER OF THE CITY OF PAXTONPARKING2 SEPARATE ROOMSOFFICESITTING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: City — Commercial and Residential Single Family
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: METES & BOUNDS

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; TV cable available
  • Home design: Ranch style; Single-story; Facing/entry level: First floor
  • Construction: Built in 1986; Frame construction with wood siding; Off-grade foundation; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Yard building; Cleared, level interior lot; City street frontage; city road access (graded/maintained)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the first floor); Master bedroom/bath details: See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the first floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Window/unit cooling (window/wall units); Wall/window heating
  • Interior features: Living room on the first floor; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#861 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.96%
Cash-on-cash
34.53%
DSCR
2.54
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$24,561
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
37.3%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$67,654
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32567

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,324 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-03-02
    listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,892
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,271
− Management
−$1,271
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,002
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,441
After-tax cash flow
$5,317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — Paxton

Score
57/100
State rank
#861
US rank
#22199

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paxton, FL
Population (ZIP)
4,820

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.00%
Current HPI
236.47
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $69,900 ECAR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $84 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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