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2201 Hollis Dr
B+ Composite 77.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$97,500

2201 Hollis Dr · Moline Acres, MO 63136
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1954 7,548 sqft lot $70/sqft · 12% below area Est $110k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful home featuring a classic combination of brick and siding exterior with a covered front entry and spacious yard. Inside, hardwood floors run throughout much of the main level, complemented by neutral wall tones and abundant natural light from large windows. The kitchen offers white cabinetry, ample counter space, and black appliances, opening to a dining area for easy entertaining. Bedrooms include generous closet storage with built-in shelving. The full bath features a tiled tub surround and updated vanity. A full basement provides additional living, storage, or hobby space with exposed beams and utility area.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Ample counter space
  • Covered front entry

Tags

BRICK AND SIDING EXTERIORCOVERED FRONT ENTRYSPACIOUS YARDHARDWOOD FLOORSWHITE CABINETRYAMPLE COUNTER SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#480 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($674 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,725 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.57%
Cash-on-cash
15.28%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,394
List price
$97,500
Delta
-11.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9952 Noble Ln 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,503 (+8%) 2mo $74,900 $50 69
9712 Cambria Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-3%) 8mo $139,900 $104 64
9732 Cambria Dr 0.46mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,434 (+3%) 2mo $114,900 $80 63
2410 Netherwood Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-5%) 1mo $85,100 $64 60
10208 Monarch Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,382 (-1%) 8mo $154,900 $112 59
9815 Portage Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,252 (-10%) 7mo $155,000 $124 58
9737 Wendell Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,183 (-15%) 4mo $60,000 $51 54
2568 Dorwood Dr 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,336 (-4%) 4mo $105,000 $79 49
2052 Sun Valley Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,576 (+13%) 3mo $125,000 $79 47
1331 Norchester Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,240 (-11%) 2mo $209,900 $169 47
9539 Marveline Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,544 (+11%) 7mo $150,000 $97 45
10217 Viscount Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,205 (-13%) 2mo $149,000 $124 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$40,781
Equity at exit
$48,242
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
5.16×
Total profit
$113,555
Equity at exit
$77,967

Cash invested: $27,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,341 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$511
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,913/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $900
Max offer price $97,500
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $375 +0% $348 +5% $320 +10% $293
Rent -10% $242 -5% $295 +0% $348 +5% $401 +10% $454
Rate -1.0pp $397 -0.5pp $373 base $348 +0.5pp $322 +1.0pp $297

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,375
Closing costs
$2,925
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,345 $1.33 44d 1 0.18mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 24d 1 0.24mi
2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 0.31mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,450 $1.43 8d 1 0.34mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 0.34mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 24d 1 0.34mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 44d 1 0.54mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 44d 1 0.65mi
9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,650 $1.33 20d 1 0.66mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 0.76mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 15d 1 0.79mi
9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,495 $1.00 22d 1 0.80mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 0.82mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 8d 1 0.83mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 24d 1 0.85mi
8883 Saint Cyr Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1632 $1,200 $0.74 44d 1 0.95mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 22d 1 0.95mi
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,200 $1.13 24d 1 0.97mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,275 $1.25 24d 1 1.04mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,575 $1.47 11d 1 1.05mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 8d 1 1.09mi
10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1380 $1,380 $1.00 44d 1 1.09mi
10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,090 $0.96 44d 1 1.10mi
9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 923 $985 $1.07 24d 1 1.10mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 15d 1 1.11mi
1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,275 $1.24 44d 1 1.11mi
10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,395 $1.38 24d 1 1.12mi
1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 1.13mi
1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 944 $1,400 $1.48 4d 1 1.13mi
9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,500 $1.53 24d 1 1.14mi
44 Jendale Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1820 $1,350 $0.74 24d 1 1.21mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,040 $1.16 22d 1 1.21mi
62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,250 $1.01 44d 1 1.21mi
9725 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,485 $1.63 44d 1 1.23mi
9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 44d 1 1.23mi
7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 18d 1 1.25mi
9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 44d 1 1.25mi
9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 1.26mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,300 $1.27 15d 1 1.27mi
1915 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1740 $1,500 $0.86 4d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $97,500 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $99,900 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,900 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 87 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 86 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $109,900 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    Wonderful home featuring a classic combination of brick and siding exterior with a covered front entry and spacious yard. Inside, hardwood floors run throughout much of the main level, complemented by neutral wall tones and abundant natural light from large windows. The kitchen offers white cabinetry, ample counter space, and black appliances, opening to a dining area for easy entertaining. Bedrooms include generous closet storage with built-in shelving. The full bath features a tiled tub surround and updated vanity. A full basement provides additional living, storage, or hobby space with exposed beams and utility area.

  17. 2026-03-06
    listed $114,900 Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    Wonderful home featuring a classic combination of brick and siding exterior with a covered front entry and spacious yard. Inside, hardwood floors run throughout much of the main level, complemented by neutral wall tones and abundant natural light from large windows. The kitchen offers white cabinetry, ample counter space, and black appliances, opening to a dining area for easy entertaining. Bedrooms include generous closet storage with built-in shelving. The full bath features a tiled tub surround and updated vanity. A full basement provides additional living, storage, or hobby space with exposed beams and utility area.

  18. 2013-12-06
    soldstatus 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bathroom ranch style home with lots of living space. Large living room with wood floors, open breakfast room and kitchen area, main floor family room, 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and office/den all on the main floor. Lower level has 2nd bathroom and partially finished recreation room area. Vinyl siding, thermal windows, extra parking pad! This one is worth seeing.

  19. 2013-11-13
    listed $29,900 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bathroom ranch style home with lots of living space. Large living room with wood floors, open breakfast room and kitchen area, main floor family room, 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and office/den all on the main floor. Lower level has 2nd bathroom and partially finished recreation room area. Vinyl siding, thermal windows, extra parking pad! This one is worth seeing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,913 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,913 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,087
− Mortgage interest
−$5,462
− Property taxes
−$1,913
− Insurance
−$488
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,287
− Management
−$1,287
− Depreciation
−$2,836
Taxable income
$2,815
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$676
After-tax cash flow
$3,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Moline Acres

Score
60/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#18899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moline Acres, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+267.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-06 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-13 Listed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,913 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…