2026 Welch St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$550,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Live in a charming, walkable pocket of the original River Oaks shopping district, surrounded by local restaurants, coffee shops, and tree lined streets. Located just south of the historic River Oaks Theatre and just east from the River Oaks mansions, this classic red brick townhome offers rare convenience with a private driveway, a two car garage with abundant storage space, and no HOA. Sun filled south facing bay windows brighten the living room and spacious primary suite, complemented by hardwood floors throughout all three levels. The private back patio opens to a versatile downstairs flex room ideal for a home office, gym, media room, or guest retreat. Designed with timeless charm and recent upgrades including renovated bathrooms, new Visual Comfort lighting, and refreshed landscaping. Washer, dryer, and refrigerator convey for easy move in. This home is a fabulous blend of location, character, everyday comfort, and just moments from Montrose and the TMC.
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Two car garage
- No hoa
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $550k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $550k).
- Recommended offer: $517k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,430/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 1844% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($517k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $216k; list at $550k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.75%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $520,887
- List price
- $550,000
- Delta
- 5.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1956 Vermont St | 0.22mi | 3/3.5 | 2,424 (+6%) | 5mo | $639,000 | $264 | 76 |
| 1609 Welch St Unit B | 0.57mi | 3/3.5 | 2,265 (-1%) | 3mo | $450,000 | $199 | 69 |
| 1213 Dunlavy St | 0.67mi | 3/3.5 | 2,295 (0%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $174 | 68 |
| 1824 Vermont St | 0.46mi | 3/3.5 | 2,434 (+6%) | 1mo | $499,000 | $205 | 67 |
| 1914 Greenwich Place Dr | 0.67mi | 3/3.5 | 2,251 (-2%) | 4mo | $500,000 | $222 | 62 |
| 2304 Hazard St | 0.24mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 2,049 (-11%) | 1mo | $545,000 | $266 | 61 |
| 2315 Steel St | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 2,321 (+1%) | 2mo | $510,000 | $220 | 60 |
| 2314 Park St | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 2,497 (+9%) | 6mo | $649,000 | $260 | 56 |
| 1718 Welch St Unit C | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 2,132 (-7%) | 6mo | $485,000 | $227 | 56 |
| 2423 Ralph St | 0.59mi | 3/3.5 | 2,068 (-10%) | 2mo | $499,000 | $241 | 55 |
| 1005 S Shepherd Dr #406 | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,318 (+1%) | 6mo | $629,999 | $272 | 54 |
| 3818 Hazard St | 0.72mi | 3/3.5 | 2,028 (-12%) | 4mo | $475,000 | $234 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-36,277
- Equity at exit
- $82,007
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-11,565
- Equity at exit
- $47,554
Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77019
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,430 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,884
- Tax from tax record
- −$844 /mo · $10,123/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,350
- Net cashflow
- $1,123
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,500
- Closing costs
- $16,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Welch St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2294 | $2,800 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2323 Woodhead St Unit 1019542P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2820 | $15,722 | $5.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2119 Westheimer Rd Unit 2152 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1709 | $3,363 | $1.97 | 10d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1924 Fairview Ave Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2830 | $9,750 | $3.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2119 Westheimer Rd Unit 3165 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1709 | $3,331 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1958 W Gray St Unit 1991 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3206 | $15,050 | $4.69 | 10d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1958 W Gray St Unit 3165 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3206 | $15,018 | $4.68 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1201 McDuffie St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 16d | 2 | 0.43mi |
| 2624 Peckham St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1709 | $3,686 | $2.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2624 Peckham St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1709 | $3,686 | $2.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2311 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1489 | $13,862 | $9.31 | 1d | 14 | 0.53mi |
| 1951 W Bell St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1951 W Bell St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1818 Haver St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $3,700 | $2.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1027 Gross St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3035 | $5,800 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2727 Kirby Dr Unit 1702 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $5,300 | $3.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2243 W Alabama St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1998 | $2,440 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2205 Commonwealth St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2513 | $3,300 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2651 Kipling St Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2739 | $11,492 | $4.20 | 10d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2651 Kipling St Unit 3165 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2739 | $11,460 | $4.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 707 Marston St Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2310 | $12,482 | $5.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2719 Kipling St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2184 | $4,400 | $2.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1501 Hawthorne St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3341 | $1,525 | $0.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2929 Westheimer Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $4,090 | $2.60 | 1d | 4 | 0.85mi |
| 2025 Colquitt St Unit 1257741P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2594 | $7,405 | $2.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1326 Fairview Ave Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2176 | $3,250 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1010 Waugh Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1075 | $4,657 | $4.33 | 2d | 59 | 0.94mi |
| 5201 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1071 | $3,361 | $3.14 | 1d | 21 | 0.98mi |
| 3333 Lake St Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2650 | $10,458 | $3.95 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3333 Lake St Unit 3356 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $4,668 | $2.94 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3333 Lake St Unit 421 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $4,644 | $2.92 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3333 Lake St Unit 3165 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2650 | $10,426 | $3.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3333 Lake St Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $4,644 | $2.92 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3333 Lake St Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $4,636 | $2.92 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3333 Allen Pkwy Unit 1000 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $4,500 | $2.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 716 Waugh Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1130 | $4,080 | $3.61 | 1d | 29 | 1.02mi |
| 100 Detering St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1162 | $3,486 | $3.00 | 3d | 26 | 1.09mi |
| 3411 Yoakum Blvd Unit 3165 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3110 | $12,272 | $3.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3411 Yoakum Blvd Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3110 | $12,304 | $3.96 | 10d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1211 Marconi St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3020 | $4,500 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $550,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $550,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $550,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $550,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $550,000 Pending 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $550,000 Pending 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $550,000 Pending 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $550,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $550,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $550,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $550,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $550,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$549,900 Active 973-char remark
Show marketing remark (973 chars)
Live in a charming, walkable pocket of the original River Oaks shopping district, surrounded by local restaurants, coffee shops, and tree lined streets. Located just south of the historic River Oaks Theatre and just east from the River Oaks mansions, this classic red brick townhome offers rare convenience with a private driveway, a two car garage with abundant storage space, and no HOA. Sun filled south facing bay windows brighten the living room and spacious primary suite, complemented by hardwood floors throughout all three levels. The private back patio opens to a versatile downstairs flex room ideal for a home office, gym, media room, or guest retreat. Designed with timeless charm and recent upgrades including renovated bathrooms, new Visual Comfort lighting, and refreshed landscaping. Washer, dryer, and refrigerator convey for easy move in. This home is a fabulous blend of location, character, everyday comfort, and just moments from Montrose and the TMC.
-
2025-11-21soldstatus Closed 1020-char remark
Show marketing remark (1020 chars)
This home boasts three levels, three beds, three baths, powder room, two staircases, central vacuum, attached two car garage & fenced back patio. 1st level has guest bedroom, full bath, large walk-in closet, access to fenced back patio. 2nd level entry with foyer, powder room, living room with gas log fireplace, built-ins, crown molding, bay window with plantation shutters, and wood flooring; dining room has recessed lighting, chair rail, wainscoting & is open to living for ease of entertaining. Kitchen has granite counters, double ovens, gas cook-top, microwave, pantry, ample counter and cabinet storage, breakfast bar; breakfast area has ample space for a table and chairs. 3rd level consists of primary bedroom, walk-in closet, primary bathroom with dual vanity area, granite counters, separate water closet, jetted tub & glass enclosed shower; utility room, guest bedroom has built-ins, large closet & ensuite bath. Proximity to River Oaks Shopping District, top restaurants & major roads!
-
2025-11-21soldstatus
Show marketing remark (1020 chars)
This home boasts three levels, three beds, three baths, powder room, two staircases, central vacuum, attached two car garage & fenced back patio. 1st level has guest bedroom, full bath, large walk-in closet, access to fenced back patio. 2nd level entry with foyer, powder room, living room with gas log fireplace, built-ins, crown molding, bay window with plantation shutters, and wood flooring; dining room has recessed lighting, chair rail, wainscoting & is open to living for ease of entertaining. Kitchen has granite counters, double ovens, gas cook-top, microwave, pantry, ample counter and cabinet storage, breakfast bar; breakfast area has ample space for a table and chairs. 3rd level consists of primary bedroom, walk-in closet, primary bathroom with dual vanity area, granite counters, separate water closet, jetted tub & glass enclosed shower; utility room, guest bedroom has built-ins, large closet & ensuite bath. Proximity to River Oaks Shopping District, top restaurants & major roads!
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2025-10-18status Pending 1020-char remark
Show marketing remark (1020 chars)
This home boasts three levels, three beds, three baths, powder room, two staircases, central vacuum, attached two car garage & fenced back patio. 1st level has guest bedroom, full bath, large walk-in closet, access to fenced back patio. 2nd level entry with foyer, powder room, living room with gas log fireplace, built-ins, crown molding, bay window with plantation shutters, and wood flooring; dining room has recessed lighting, chair rail, wainscoting & is open to living for ease of entertaining. Kitchen has granite counters, double ovens, gas cook-top, microwave, pantry, ample counter and cabinet storage, breakfast bar; breakfast area has ample space for a table and chairs. 3rd level consists of primary bedroom, walk-in closet, primary bathroom with dual vanity area, granite counters, separate water closet, jetted tub & glass enclosed shower; utility room, guest bedroom has built-ins, large closet & ensuite bath. Proximity to River Oaks Shopping District, top restaurants & major roads!
-
2025-10-09historical 1020-char remark
Show marketing remark (1020 chars)
This home boasts three levels, three beds, three baths, powder room, two staircases, central vacuum, attached two car garage & fenced back patio. 1st level has guest bedroom, full bath, large walk-in closet, access to fenced back patio. 2nd level entry with foyer, powder room, living room with gas log fireplace, built-ins, crown molding, bay window with plantation shutters, and wood flooring; dining room has recessed lighting, chair rail, wainscoting & is open to living for ease of entertaining. Kitchen has granite counters, double ovens, gas cook-top, microwave, pantry, ample counter and cabinet storage, breakfast bar; breakfast area has ample space for a table and chairs. 3rd level consists of primary bedroom, walk-in closet, primary bathroom with dual vanity area, granite counters, separate water closet, jetted tub & glass enclosed shower; utility room, guest bedroom has built-ins, large closet & ensuite bath. Proximity to River Oaks Shopping District, top restaurants & major roads!
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2025-10-07status Pending 1020-char remark
Show marketing remark (1020 chars)
This home boasts three levels, three beds, three baths, powder room, two staircases, central vacuum, attached two car garage & fenced back patio. 1st level has guest bedroom, full bath, large walk-in closet, access to fenced back patio. 2nd level entry with foyer, powder room, living room with gas log fireplace, built-ins, crown molding, bay window with plantation shutters, and wood flooring; dining room has recessed lighting, chair rail, wainscoting & is open to living for ease of entertaining. Kitchen has granite counters, double ovens, gas cook-top, microwave, pantry, ample counter and cabinet storage, breakfast bar; breakfast area has ample space for a table and chairs. 3rd level consists of primary bedroom, walk-in closet, primary bathroom with dual vanity area, granite counters, separate water closet, jetted tub & glass enclosed shower; utility room, guest bedroom has built-ins, large closet & ensuite bath. Proximity to River Oaks Shopping District, top restaurants & major roads!
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2025-09-13$499,000 Active 1020-char remark
Show marketing remark (1020 chars)
This home boasts three levels, three beds, three baths, powder room, two staircases, central vacuum, attached two car garage & fenced back patio. 1st level has guest bedroom, full bath, large walk-in closet, access to fenced back patio. 2nd level entry with foyer, powder room, living room with gas log fireplace, built-ins, crown molding, bay window with plantation shutters, and wood flooring; dining room has recessed lighting, chair rail, wainscoting & is open to living for ease of entertaining. Kitchen has granite counters, double ovens, gas cook-top, microwave, pantry, ample counter and cabinet storage, breakfast bar; breakfast area has ample space for a table and chairs. 3rd level consists of primary bedroom, walk-in closet, primary bathroom with dual vanity area, granite counters, separate water closet, jetted tub & glass enclosed shower; utility room, guest bedroom has built-ins, large closet & ensuite bath. Proximity to River Oaks Shopping District, top restaurants & major roads!
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2020-12-31soldstatus
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2020-12-22soldstatus Sold
-
2020-11-23status Pending
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2020-11-12status Option Pending
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2020-10-26price $420,000
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2020-08-12price $440,000
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2020-07-21$465,000 Active
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2017-05-10soldstatus Sold
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2017-05-10soldstatus
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2017-04-20status Pending
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2017-04-12status Option Pending
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2017-03-28$449,000 Active
-
2013-08-07soldstatus
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2013-08-05soldstatus Sold
-
2013-07-19status Pending, Continue to Show
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2013-07-07status Option Pending
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2013-06-18price $435,000
-
2013-06-05price $445,230
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2013-05-25$459,000 Active
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2007-01-18soldstatus
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2006-09-30historical
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2006-04-03$310,000
-
2003-12-17soldstatus
-
1999-04-29soldstatus
-
1994-06-01soldstatus $215,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $10,123 · $844/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,123 · $844/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,809
- − Property taxes
- −$10,123
- − Insurance
- −$2,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,173
- − Management
- −$6,173
- − Depreciation
- −$16,000
- Taxable income
- $5,131
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,231
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,708
- Household income
- $116,423
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1844.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 10% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.69%
- Current HPI
- 179.271
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.95%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+155.2% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $549,900 HARMLS
- 2025-11-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-11-21 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2025-10-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-09-13 Listed $499,000 HARMLS
- 2020-12-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-12-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2020-11-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-11-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-10-26 Price Changed $420,000 HARMLS
- 2020-08-12 Price Changed $440,000 HARMLS
- 2020-07-21 Listed $465,000 HARMLS
- 2017-05-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-05-10 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2017-04-20 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-04-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-03-28 Listed $449,000 HARMLS
- 2013-08-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-05 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-07-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-07-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-06-18 Price Changed $435,000 HARMLS
- 2013-06-05 Price Changed $445,230 HARMLS
- 2013-05-25 Listed $459,000 HARMLS
- 2007-01-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-09-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2006-04-03 Listed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2003-12-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-04-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $215,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $10,123 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…