302 N 1st St · Arma, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Large lot
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees; No community maintenance provided
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; Ranch style
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Manufactured home (11–15 years old)
- Exterior features: Not located in a flood plain; Lot approximately 16,512 square feet
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has air conditioning)
- Interior features: Ranch-style floor plan; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#208 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Northeast (rural): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #159 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $412 of equity ($761 loan paydown + $-349 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $110k implies a 2650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.46%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $13,879
- Equity at exit
- $30,206
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $48,801
- Equity at exit
- $34,952
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66712
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,170 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,551 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$381/yr (+$32/mo · 32.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,407
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,170
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,233
- − Management
- −$1,233
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$446
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeast
- NCES district ID
- 2003480
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,724
- Composite
- 16.53/100
- National rank
- #9180
- State rank
- #159 of 169 in KS
Livability — Arma
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #9327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arma, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,471
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,393 people
- By 2030
- 39,540 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 39,452 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 39,188 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 39,038 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 38,219 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Danish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.5% · R 61.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.32%
- Current HPI
- 154.0525
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+2650.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-31 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-20 Listed $128,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $4,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,170 · +21.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…