3139 Crest Ln · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
48 HR First Right of Refusal. OWNER MOTIVATED TO SELL! Better than new 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with panoramic views of the privacy fenced yard. Oversized garage, firepit, and storage remain. This home is great for entertaining inside or outside. Tons of custom cabinets, granite island in kitchen, walk-in pantry, and gas stove. You will love the oversized master suite with a spa like bath, separate sinks, soaking tub, walk-in shower, and a giant walk-in closet. This home already has custom blinds and curtains, brand new refrigerator, security system, outdoor shed, and a fire pit that will all stay for the new owner. Flood Zone X. Walking distance to new golf course and soon to come St. Louis & Hamilton.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Near golf course
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Crest Morganfield Ph 1
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $35 monthly fee; Community features include golf
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Additional open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; South-facing; Built by D. R. Horton; No common walls
- Construction: Brick and concrete construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Rear covered porch; Wood fencing (fenced yard); Shingle roof; City lot; Paved roads and city street frontage; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Convection oven; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Double vanity; Accessible full bath
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup and electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-222 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (16.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (29.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: F. K. White Middle School (math 26% / reading 39%, grade F, #104 of 218 statewide, top 48%, 661 students, 67% FRL); Lagrange High School (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #217 of 265 statewide, top 82%, 907 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Calcasieu Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 567 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.05%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,451
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -12.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3238 Fairwood Ln | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,881 (-1%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $157 | 73 |
| 3255 Fairwood Ln | 0.51mi | 4/— | 1,951 (+3%) | 6mo | $297,000 | $152 | 67 |
| 3263 Fairwood Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,902 (+0%) | 8mo | $264,500 | $139 | 64 |
| 3017 Forestwood Dr Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,855 (-2%) | 9mo | $269,900 | $145 | 60 |
| 4511 Bellview Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,887 (-1%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $135 | 58 |
| 3287 Fairwood Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,781 (-6%) | 1mo | $255,500 | $143 | 57 |
| 3303 Fairwood Ln | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 1,991 (+5%) | 5mo | $272,000 | $137 | 56 |
| 3021 Forestwood Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,727 (-9%) | 2mo | $246,500 | $143 | 55 |
| 4537 Green Wood Way | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (-3%) | 11mo | $295,000 | $160 | 54 |
| 3235 Finwood Dr | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 2,175 (+14%) | 4mo | $308,000 | $142 | 53 |
| 4505 Bear Crossing Ln | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,171 (+14%) | 12mo | $303,000 | $140 | 46 |
| 3013 Forestwood Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (-13%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $130 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-43,432
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-16,007
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70607
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 567
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$35
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-222
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-89 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-222 | +5% $-289 | +10% $-355 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-354 | -5% $-288 | +0% $-222 | +5% $-156 | +10% $-90 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-104 | -0.5pp $-162 | base $-222 | +0.5pp $-283 | +1.0pp $-345 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3089 James Ct Lake Charles, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1113 | $1,975 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $35 · $420/yr
- Likely covers
- gassecurity
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18status $235,000 Pending 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $235,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Pending 726-char remark
-
2026-05-07$235,000 Active 726-char remark
-
2026-05-01$235,000 Active 726-char remark
-
2025-10-22historical $2,100
-
2025-10-17$2,100
-
2025-10-17historical $2,100
-
2025-09-18$2,100
-
2025-09-18historical $2,100
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2025-07-24$2,100
-
2025-07-21price $259,900
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2025-05-12price $264,900
-
2023-07-12soldstatus
Show marketing remark (716 chars)
48 HR First Right of Refusal. OWNER MOTIVATED TO SELL! Better than new 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with panoramic views of the privacy fenced yard. Oversized garage, firepit, and storage remain. This home is great for entertaining inside or outside. Tons of custom cabinets, granite island in kitchen, walk-in pantry, and gas stove. You will love the oversized master suite with a spa like bath, separate sinks, soaking tub, walk-in shower, and a giant walk-in closet. This home already has custom blinds and curtains, brand new refrigerator, security system, outdoor shed, and a fire pit that will all stay for the new owner. Flood Zone X. Walking distance to new golf course and soon to come St. Louis & Hamilton.
-
2023-07-12soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (716 chars)
48 HR First Right of Refusal. OWNER MOTIVATED TO SELL! Better than new 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with panoramic views of the privacy fenced yard. Oversized garage, firepit, and storage remain. This home is great for entertaining inside or outside. Tons of custom cabinets, granite island in kitchen, walk-in pantry, and gas stove. You will love the oversized master suite with a spa like bath, separate sinks, soaking tub, walk-in shower, and a giant walk-in closet. This home already has custom blinds and curtains, brand new refrigerator, security system, outdoor shed, and a fire pit that will all stay for the new owner. Flood Zone X. Walking distance to new golf course and soon to come St. Louis & Hamilton.
-
2023-05-19status Pending
-
2023-05-08$259,500 Active
-
2023-01-18$259,500
Show marketing remark (716 chars)
48 HR First Right of Refusal. OWNER MOTIVATED TO SELL! Better than new 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with panoramic views of the privacy fenced yard. Oversized garage, firepit, and storage remain. This home is great for entertaining inside or outside. Tons of custom cabinets, granite island in kitchen, walk-in pantry, and gas stove. You will love the oversized master suite with a spa like bath, separate sinks, soaking tub, walk-in shower, and a giant walk-in closet. This home already has custom blinds and curtains, brand new refrigerator, security system, outdoor shed, and a fire pit that will all stay for the new owner. Flood Zone X. Walking distance to new golf course and soon to come St. Louis & Hamilton.
-
2022-07-26soldstatus
-
2022-07-26soldstatus $255,000
-
2022-06-10$260,500
-
2020-08-12soldstatus
-
2020-08-06soldstatus $228,500
-
2020-04-28$227,500
-
2018-08-06soldstatus
-
2018-03-25$225,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,098 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,098 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$2,098
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − HOA
- −$420
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$6,875
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,650
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,015/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,080
- Household income
- $60,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1267.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 36% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.59%
- Current HPI
- 93.679
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.55%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+4.2% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Pending — SWLAR
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — SWLAR
- 2026-05-12 Pending — SWLAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $235,000 SWLAR
- 2025-10-22 Rental Removed $2,100 REALLYO
- 2025-10-17 Listed for Rent $2,100 REALLYO
- 2025-10-17 Rental Removed $2,100 SWLAR
- 2025-09-18 Listed for Rent $2,100 SWLAR
- 2025-09-18 Rental Removed $2,100 REALLYO
- 2025-07-24 Listed for Rent $2,100 REALLYO
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $259,900 GFPAR
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $264,900 GFPAR
- 2023-07-12 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2023-07-12 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2023-05-19 Pending — GFPAR
- 2023-05-08 Listed $259,500 GFPAR
- 2023-01-18 Listed $259,500 SWLAR
- 2022-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-26 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2022-06-10 Listed $260,500 SWLAR
- 2020-08-12 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2020-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $228,500 Public Records
- 2020-04-28 Listed $227,500 SWLAR
- 2018-08-06 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2018-03-25 Listed $225,500 SWLAR
Property tax history
+24.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,098 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…