151 Geronimo St · Palm Springs, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a 1982 manufactured home in Ramon Park. It consists of 672 well planned square feet including 2 bedrooms and one bath. This home is being offered completely furnished including 2 televisions. The kitchen has a large refrigerator/freezer side by side unit, a gas stove and oven, a countertop microwave and a disposal. Also an island as well. In thrall way are a full size washer and dryer. The bathroom has white tile floors and shower with glass panel and door. The main bedroom has a large closet and carpeted floors. The smaller bedroom is off the hallway and has its own closet. Included is parking for 2 cars in tandem. The large gates open to a nice yard with table and chairs. There i
Key facts
- White tile floors
- Gas stove and oven
- Completely furnished
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.35%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,056
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 Logenita St | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 600 (-11%) | 6mo | $119,000 | $198 | 64 |
| 336 Tomahawk St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 743 (+11%) | 15mo | $88,000 | $118 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $11,580
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $38,902
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92264
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,010 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $627
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $724 | -5% $676 | +0% $627 | +5% $579 | +10% $531 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $469 | -5% $548 | +0% $627 | +5% $707 | +10% $786 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $697 | -0.5pp $663 | base $627 | +0.5pp $591 | +1.0pp $555 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 S Thornhill Rd Unit 3 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,985 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 620 S Thornhill Rd Unit 6 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,765 | $2.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 311 S Sunrise Way Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 688 | $2,350 | $3.42 | 24d | 18 | 0.45mi |
| 788 N Riverside Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,648 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 777 E San Lorenzo Rd Unit 3 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,765 | $3.21 | 19d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 722 E San Lorenzo Rd Palm Springs, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $2,015 | $2.69 | 8d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 594 Calle Abronia S Unit 03 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 662 | $1,895 | $2.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 585 Calle Abronia S Unit B Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 300 S Calle El Segundo Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $1,671 | $3.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1530 E Palm Canyon Dr Unit 210 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 460 | $1,995 | $4.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1530 E Palm Canyon Dr Unit 209 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 740 | $2,595 | $3.51 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1111 E Palm Canyon Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,525 | $4.81 | 24d | 2 | 0.89mi |
| 449 E Arenas Rd Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 715 | $2,395 | $3.35 | 8d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2300 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $2,045 | $2.40 | 11d | 6 | 0.96mi |
| 2900 E Ramon Rd Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $2,150 | $3.43 | 2d | 6 | 0.98mi |
| 1674 Via Salida Unit 3 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,650 | $3.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1674 Via Salida Unit 6 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,550 | $3.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2580 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Unit 103 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2580 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,550 | $2.48 | 17d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 2580 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Unit 107 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1150 E Amado Rd Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $1,745 | $2.76 | 11d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 353 N Hermosa Dr Unit 10A1 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $2,900 | $4.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 353 N Hermosa Dr Unit 10A1 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $2,900 | $4.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 222 N Calle El Segundo #522 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 539 | $2,450 | $4.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2720 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $2,050 | $2.40 | 5d | 9 | 1.12mi |
| 1333 S Belardo Rd Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,925 | $2.80 | 3d | 8 | 1.16mi |
| 500 E Amado Rd Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 736 | $2,900 | $3.94 | 19d | 2 | 1.16mi |
| 550 El Cielo Rd Unit 12 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,350 | $2.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 561 Desert View Dr Unit 03 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,599 | $3.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 508 S Desert View Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,845 | $2.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 579 Highland Dr Apt 4 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 558 | $1,399 | $2.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 562 Highland Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,595 | $2.53 | 8d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 540 S Mountain View Dr Unit 546 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,495 | $3.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 587 El Placer Rd Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,750 | $3.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$139,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,123
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,930
- − Management
- −$1,930
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $5,653
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,357
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Springs
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #11850
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Springs, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 46,786
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,899
- Household income
- $77,688
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1215.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -489.04%
- Current HPI
- 357.0969
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.43%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $139,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $191 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…