CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
151 Geronimo St
B- Composite 65.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

151 Geronimo St · Palm Springs, CA 92264
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1982 Est $133k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a 1982 manufactured home in Ramon Park. It consists of 672 well planned square feet including 2 bedrooms and one bath. This home is being offered completely furnished including 2 televisions. The kitchen has a large refrigerator/freezer side by side unit, a gas stove and oven, a countertop microwave and a disposal. Also an island as well. In thrall way are a full size washer and dryer. The bathroom has white tile floors and shower with glass panel and door. The main bedroom has a large closet and carpeted floors. The smaller bedroom is off the hallway and has its own closet. Included is parking for 2 cars in tandem. The large gates open to a nice yard with table and chairs. There i

Key facts

  • White tile floors
  • Gas stove and oven
  • Completely furnished

Tags

COMPLETELY FURNISHEDLARGE REFRIGERATOR FREEZERGAS STOVE AND OVENCOUNTERTOP MICROWAVEFULL SIZE WASHER AND DRYERWHITE TILE FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,915 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.71%
Cash-on-cash
19.35%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,056
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
345 Logenita St 0.10mi 1/1.0 (-1) 600 (-11%) 6mo $119,000 $198 64
336 Tomahawk St 0.10mi 2/1.0 743 (+11%) 15mo $88,000 $118 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$11,580
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$38,902
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92264

Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,010 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $724 -5% $676 +0% $627 +5% $579 +10% $531
Rent -10% $469 -5% $548 +0% $627 +5% $707 +10% $786
Rate -1.0pp $697 -0.5pp $663 base $627 +0.5pp $591 +1.0pp $555

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
620 S Thornhill Rd Unit 3 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,985 $2.84 24d 1 0.11mi
620 S Thornhill Rd Unit 6 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 656 $1,765 $2.69 24d 1 0.11mi
311 S Sunrise Way Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 688 $2,350 $3.42 24d 18 0.45mi
788 N Riverside Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 725 $1,648 $2.27 44d 1 0.50mi
777 E San Lorenzo Rd Unit 3 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,765 $3.21 19d 1 0.58mi
722 E San Lorenzo Rd Palm Springs, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 750 $2,015 $2.69 8d 3 0.61mi
594 Calle Abronia S Unit 03 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 662 $1,895 $2.86 44d 1 0.63mi
585 Calle Abronia S Unit B Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $2,100 $2.80 44d 1 0.66mi
300 S Calle El Segundo Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 554 $1,671 $3.02 3d 1 0.73mi
1530 E Palm Canyon Dr Unit 210 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 460 $1,995 $4.34 22d 1 0.78mi
1530 E Palm Canyon Dr Unit 209 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 740 $2,595 $3.51 3d 1 0.78mi
1111 E Palm Canyon Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 525 $2,525 $4.81 24d 2 0.89mi
449 E Arenas Rd Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $2,395 $3.35 8d 1 0.91mi
2300 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 851 $2,045 $2.40 11d 6 0.96mi
2900 E Ramon Rd Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 626 $2,150 $3.43 2d 6 0.98mi
1674 Via Salida Unit 3 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,650 $3.00 15d 1 1.03mi
1674 Via Salida Unit 6 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,550 $3.10 3d 1 1.03mi
2580 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Unit 103 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,550 $2.07 24d 1 1.03mi
2580 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 625 $1,550 $2.48 17d 2 1.03mi
2580 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Unit 107 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 24d 1 1.03mi
1150 E Amado Rd Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 633 $1,745 $2.76 11d 2 1.04mi
353 N Hermosa Dr Unit 10A1 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 633 $2,900 $4.58 15d 1 1.05mi
353 N Hermosa Dr Unit 10A1 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 633 $2,900 $4.58 44d 1 1.05mi
222 N Calle El Segundo #522 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 539 $2,450 $4.55 44d 1 1.06mi
2720 E Tahquitz Canyon Way Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 855 $2,050 $2.40 5d 9 1.12mi
1333 S Belardo Rd Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 687 $1,925 $2.80 3d 8 1.16mi
500 E Amado Rd Palm Springs, CA 1.0 2.0–3.0 736 $2,900 $3.94 19d 2 1.16mi
550 El Cielo Rd Unit 12 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,350 $2.25 24d 1 1.19mi
561 Desert View Dr Unit 03 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 500 $1,599 $3.20 17d 1 1.21mi
508 S Desert View Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,845 $2.46 44d 1 1.25mi
579 Highland Dr Apt 4 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 558 $1,399 $2.51 44d 1 1.26mi
562 Highland Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 630 $1,595 $2.53 8d 1 1.29mi
540 S Mountain View Dr Unit 546 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 450 $1,495 $3.32 44d 1 1.40mi
587 El Placer Rd Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,750 $3.18 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,123
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,930
− Management
−$1,930
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$5,653
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,357
After-tax cash flow
$6,173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Palm Springs

Score
66/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#11850

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Springs, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
46,786
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
19,899
Household income
$77,688
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1215.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -489.04%
Current HPI
357.0969
Rent YoY
▼ -0.43%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $139,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $191 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…