🏷️ Likely Rental
463 Spring Ln · Silver Springs Shores, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute home with chain link fenced backyard on a corner lot. Attached 1 car garage plus attached 1 car carport. Living room plus family room. Kitchen has tile countertops and all appliances included. Spacious master suite with large walk-in closet and updated bathroom with tiled walk-in shower. Florida room was converted to 2nd bedroom and is under central air with closets and built-ins but buyer could easily convert back to use as a Florida room if desired. Great starter home or investment opportunity. Square footage is large enough to allow the possibility that a portion of living space could be converted into additional bedrooms.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Home design: Residential property; 1 story
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot zoned R-1
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Single-story layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 312.0% vs local median 4.7% in Silver Springs Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 682 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $332 of equity ($35 loan paydown + $297 appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 33.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 312.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1091.88%
- DSCR
- 49.58
- GRM
- 0.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $256,320
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457 Water Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (-0%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $94 | 95 |
| 3 Bahia Court Trce | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (+5%) | 14mo | $285,000 | $189 | 65 |
| 10 Bahia Way | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (-4%) | 23mo | $220,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 5 Water Pass | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,345 (-7%) | 10mo | $239,900 | $178 | 62 |
| 13 Brook Pl | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+2%) | 21mo | $285,000 | $193 | 48 |
| 517 Bahia Track Ct | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,392 (-3%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $108 | 47 |
| 50 Pine Run | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (+13%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $135 | 38 |
| 806 Bahia Cir | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (-12%) | 23mo | $261,000 | $206 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 56.71×
- Total profit
- $77,995
- Equity at exit
- $3,122
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 113.61×
- Total profit
- $157,659
- Equity at exit
- $5,643
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34472
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 682
- Price-to-rent
- 0.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,656 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $1,274
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,277 | -5% $1,276 | +0% $1,274 | +5% $1,272 | +10% $1,270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,143 | -5% $1,208 | +0% $1,274 | +5% $1,339 | +10% $1,405 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,276 | -0.5pp $1,275 | base $1,274 | +0.5pp $1,273 | +1.0pp $1,271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 Water Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 478 Water Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 446 Water Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,425 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 9337 Bahia Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,765 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 12 Spring Loop Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 60 Bahia Court Trak Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9610 Bahia Rd Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,895 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 708 Bahia Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 13 Pine Radial Dr Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 544 Silver Crse Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,395 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 619 Silver Pass Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,495 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9649 Bahia Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,595 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 633 Silver Pass Unit B Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 593 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1031 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5 Cedar Ln Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 549 Fairways Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 561 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1031 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 553 Fairways Cir Unit B Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 532 Bahia Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1027 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 582 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 520 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1027 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 510 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,299 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8 Ash Pass Run Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,650 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 567 Midway Trak Unit H201 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2 Ash Dr Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 608 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 162 Bahia Terrace Dr Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,375 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7 Pine Run Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 27 Sapphire Run Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 43 Water Track Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $1,799 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 43 Bahia Pass Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,475 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 226 Oak Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $1,675 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $5,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 305-char remark
-
2026-06-09$5,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,590
- − Management
- −$1,590
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $16,169
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,881
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,406/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #527
- US rank
- #9854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Silver Springs Shores, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 34,665
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,851
- Household income
- $64,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 255.0714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-85.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
- 2020-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-21 Sold (MLS) $123,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-07 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-20 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-20 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-21 Sold (MLS) $126,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-09 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
- 1977-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,205 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,639 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…