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1358 W Mohawk Dr
D+ Composite 49.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

1358 W Mohawk Dr · Flowing Wells, AZ 85705
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 11 Days on market
Built 1973 7,269 sqft lot $160/sqft · 151% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Add an additional dwelling, build a duplex, endless possibilities with Multiple Use Zoning! Selling as-is! Did I mention the potential for an amazing view!

Key facts

  • Multiple use zoning
  • Additional dwelling
  • Amazing view

Tags

ADDITIONAL DWELLINGMULTIPLE USE ZONINGAMAZING VIEW

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is subdivided (approx. 7,269 sq ft); Lot dimensions: 113 x 60 x 104 x 62; Zoned Tucson - MU

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 covered/carport space
  • Utilities: Connected to sewer; Water from local water company
  • Home design: Mobile home; Single-story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Chain link fencing; Paved road access; City-maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Gas range
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (7.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 6.0% in Flowing Wells — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#21 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Amphitheater Unified District (4406) (suburban): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #85 of 249 in AZ (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Homer Davis Elementary School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #664 of 1,109 statewide, top 60%, 411 students, 86% FRL); Flowing Wells High School (math 22% / reading 24%, grade F, #208 of 381 statewide, top 55%, 1,694 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 24% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Amphitheater Unified District (4406) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 181 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,607 (7.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.88%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$45,762
List price
$115,000
Delta
151.30%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1358 W Mohawk Dr 0.00mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 0mo $115,000 $160 100
4737 N Kenwood Ct 0.36mi 2/1.0 784 (+9%) 4mo $199,900 $255 65
1537 W Wabash St 0.26mi 2/2.0 780 (+8%) 8mo $150,000 $192 63
1741 W Wetmore Rd #33 0.69mi 2/2.0 720 (0%) 5mo $16,000 $22 60
1741 W Wetmore Rd #34 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 720 (0%) 0mo $19,000 $26 59
1741 W Wetmore Rd #23 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 720 (0%) 8mo $17,500 $24 54
1741 W Wetmore Rd #15 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 720 (0%) 22mo $17,500 $24 42
1741 W Wetmore Rd #22 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 720 (0%) 23mo $17,500 $24 42
1741 W Wetmore Rd #5 0.69mi 2/1.0 800 (+11%) 16mo $3,000 $4 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-13,159
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-11,836
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85705

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,066 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $900
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $163 +0% $131 +5% $98 +10% $66
Rent -10% $47 -5% $89 +0% $131 +5% $173 +10% $215
Rate -1.0pp $189 -0.5pp $160 base $131 +0.5pp $101 +1.0pp $71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5100 N La Canada Dr Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 686 $1,343 $1.96 46d 1 0.43mi
1089 W Schafer Dr Unit 4 Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 350 $750 $2.14 23d 1 0.47mi
620 W Limberlost Dr Unit E24 Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 672 $1,200 $1.79 25d 1 0.93mi
1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1241-14 Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 670 $895 $1.34 45d 1 0.97mi
1355 W Roger Rd Tucson, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 627 $1,084 $1.73 45d 4 0.99mi
1990 W Amy Pl Unit B Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 22d 1 1.00mi
3802 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0 555 $1,100 $1.98 45d 5 1.14mi
60 W Stone Loop Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 588 $1,395 $2.37 4d 46 1.29mi
239 W Limberlost Dr Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 680 $795 $1.17 45d 1 1.32mi
3700 N Fairview Ave Unit 104 Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 444 $949 $2.14 5d 1 1.39mi
1700 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0 618 $1,099 $1.78 3d 25 1.40mi
822 W Thurber Rd Unit B Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 45d 1 1.41mi
532 W Simmons Rd Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 566 $1,000 $1.77 19d 1 1.43mi
115 W Limberlost Dr Tucson, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,350 $1.67 25d 1 1.43mi
30 E Camino Villas Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 440 $753 $1.71 23d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 156-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    historical Active Contingent 156-char remark
  3. 2026-05-02
    listed $115,000 Active 156-char remark
  4. 1981-05-01
    soldstatus $25,000
  5. 1980-05-01
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$725 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$759 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$34/yr (+$3/mo · 4.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,793
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,023
− Management
−$1,023
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$82
After-tax cash flow
$1,652/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amphitheater Unified District (4406)
NCES district ID
0400680
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,524
Composite
30.82/100
National rank
#6135
State rank
#85 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Flowing Wells

Score
73/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#5288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flowing Wells, AZ
County
Pima County · 1,012,107 people
Metro
Tucson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
54,700
Household income
$37,194
Rent vs Own
55.1% rent · 44.9% own
Severe rent burden
4240.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.31%
Current HPI
283.0647
Rent YoY
▲ 0.30%
Metro
Tucson, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+858.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $114,700 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $115,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $115,000 MLSSAZ
  • 1981-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $725 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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