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37 Ferry St
D+ Composite 49.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,595,000

37 Ferry St · Lambertville, NJ 08530
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,192 sqft · Townhouse public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2024 Excellent condition 2,563 sqft lot Est $1810k · 12% under $380/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Set in the heart of downtown Lambertville, this stunning luxury residence offers a rare opportunity to experience sophisticated river-town living at an exceptional level. Spanning over 3,200 square feet, the designer-curated home blends timeless elegance and premier craftsmanship throughout. Rich hardwood flooring, custom closet systems, designer lighting, and three beautifully appointed ensuite bedrooms elevate every space. The gourmet chef's kitchen serves as the centerpiece of the home, featuring a dramatic quartz waterfall island, custom-paneled Thermador refrigerator, six-burner professional gas range beneath a custom slat hood, and an elegant wine and coffee bar with glass cabinetry and brushed gold hardware. Bathed in natural light from Ferry Street, the sophisticated living room showcases a sleek gas fireplace inlay and seamless flow for entertaining. The main level also offers custom built-ins, a flexible dining room or office space, designer powder room, and access to a spacious rear deck for indoor-outdoor living. Upstairs, two luxurious suites feature spa-inspired baths and tailored closet systems, while the third level presents an additional private suite with a custom walk-in closet, wet bar, second wine refrigerator, and rooftop ambiance ideal for entertaining. A dramatic 30+ foot linear chandelier anchors the home's contemporary design, while the oversized private garage and driveway provide a rare downtown convenience.

Key facts

  • $380 HOA
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 2024

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee; HOA covers common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, snow removal, and exterior building maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 3-car garage (basement garage, rear entry, oversized, additional storage area, covered parking); Driveway with 4 spaces (total of 7 garage/parking spaces); Private, secure, and lighted parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric available; Cable TV available; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Level entry to main floor; Construction completed; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with concrete elements; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Windows are vinyl-clad, sliding, and double-pane; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Gutter system; Roofed outdoor living areas with deck(s) and porch(es); Landscaped, level premium lot; Has a water view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Energy-efficient appliances; ENERGY STAR dishwasher; Microwave; Gas oven/range; Range hood; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level; Sitting room
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (all on upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; 200+ amp electric service
  • Interior features: Family room open to the kitchen; Gourmet kitchen with island; Pantry; Recessed lighting; Tub/shower and walk-in shower; Upgraded countertops; Walk-in closets; Breakfast area; Bar and built-ins; Combination kitchen and living space; Window treatments; Wood floors; Master bath
  • Laundry & utility: Upper-floor laundry with front-loading washer and dryer; Tankless, high-efficiency water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $1.59M. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.58M (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.45M (9.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.45M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.6% in Lambertville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#168 in NJ, #4,460 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • South Hunterdon Regional School District (rural): math 13% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #335 of 472 in NJ (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Lambertville Public School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #795 of 1,303 statewide, top 64%, 221 students, 34% FRL); South Hunterdon Regional High School (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #304 of 399 statewide, top 77%, 417 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 29% FRL vs 14% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 389 units permitted in Hunterdon County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hunterdon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.57M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $925k; list at $1.59M implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,452,154 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.86%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,809,864
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
79 Wilson St 0.23mi 3/3.0 3,081 (-4%) 6mo $960,000 $312 77
14 Lambert Ln 0.17mi 3/3.0 2,900 (-9%) 8mo $375,000 $129 68
16 Lambert Ln 0.18mi 3/3.0 2,900 (-9%) 8mo $375,000 $129 68
175 N Main St Unit 1 0.66mi 3/3.5 3,600 (+13%) 0mo $3,010,000 $836 48
44 W Mechanic St 0.50mi 3/3.5 2,758 (-14%) 10mo $2,200,000 $798 46
70 W Bridge St 0.56mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,718 (-15%) 1mo $1,541,000 $567 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-264,671
Equity at exit
$237,820
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-236,915
Equity at exit
$137,906

Cash invested: $446,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08530

Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$14,522 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$8,364
Tax from tax record
$1,743 /mo · $20,915/yr
Insurance
$665
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$380
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,050
Net cashflow
$-106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $14,656
Max offer price $1,576,213
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $797 -5% $345 +0% $-106 +5% $-558 +10% $-1,009
Rent -10% $-1,254 -5% $-680 +0% $-106 +5% $467 +10% $1,041
Rate -1.0pp $697 -0.5pp $299 base $-106 +0.5pp $-520 +1.0pp $-940

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$398,750
Closing costs
$47,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
70 W Bridge St New Hope, PA 3.0 2.5 2718 $6,800 $2.50 12d 1 0.56mi
9 Arnett Ave Unit 1380124P Lambertville, NJ 4.0 2.0 2497 $25,101 $10.05 45d 1 0.70mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$380 · $4,560/yr
Likely covers
watergas

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,595,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-23
    historical $1,595,000 1459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1459 chars)

    Set in the heart of downtown Lambertville, this stunning luxury residence offers a rare opportunity to experience sophisticated river-town living at an exceptional level. Spanning over 3,200 square feet, the designer-curated home blends timeless elegance and premier craftsmanship throughout. Rich hardwood flooring, custom closet systems, designer lighting, and three beautifully appointed ensuite bedrooms elevate every space. The gourmet chef's kitchen serves as the centerpiece of the home, featuring a dramatic quartz waterfall island, custom-paneled Thermador refrigerator, six-burner professional gas range beneath a custom slat hood, and an elegant wine and coffee bar with glass cabinetry and brushed gold hardware. Bathed in natural light from Ferry Street, the sophisticated living room showcases a sleek gas fireplace inlay and seamless flow for entertaining. The main level also offers custom built-ins, a flexible dining room or office space, designer powder room, and access to a spacious rear deck for indoor-outdoor living. Upstairs, two luxurious suites feature spa-inspired baths and tailored closet systems, while the third level presents an additional private suite with a custom walk-in closet, wet bar, second wine refrigerator, and rooftop ambiance ideal for entertaining. A dramatic 30+ foot linear chandelier anchors the home's contemporary design, while the oversized private garage and driveway provide a rare downtown convenience.

  16. 2026-05-21
    historical $1,595,000
  17. 2024-04-10
    soldstatus $925,000
  18. 2024-04-05
    soldstatus $925,000 Sold
  19. 2023-02-10
    price $925,000
  20. 2023-02-10
    status Under Contract
  21. 2022-10-30
    listed $899,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$20,915 · $1,743/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$30,315 · $2,526/mo
Expected delta
+$9,400/yr (+$783/mo · 44.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$174,258
− Mortgage interest
−$89,345
− Property taxes
−$20,915
− Insurance
−$13,094
− Repairs & maintenance
−$13,941
− Management
−$13,941
− HOA
−$4,560
− Depreciation
−$46,400
Taxable loss
−$27,936
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,705
After-tax cash flow
$5,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This stunning townhouse in Lambertville is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a prime location. It's move-in ready and would be a great investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in curb appeal and interior aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in curb appeal and interior aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Hunterdon Regional School District
NCES district ID
3400769
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$82,621
Composite
27.54/100
National rank
#6948
State rank
#335 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Lambertville

Score
74/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#4460

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lambertville, NJ
Population (ZIP)
8,146

Population outlook (Hunterdon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,644 people
By 2030
121,131 · -1.2%
By 2040
117,753 · -4.0%
By 2050
112,601 · -8.2%
By 2075
104,371 · -14.9%
By 2100
93,364 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunterdon

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.7% · R 52.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -6.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.7 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+13.8 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.68%
Current HPI
226.5618
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Coming Soon $1,595,000 GSMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $1,595,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $925,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-05 Sold (MLS) $925,000 GSMLS
  • 2023-02-10 Price Changed $925,000 GSMLS
  • 2023-02-10 Pending GSMLS
  • 2022-10-30 Listed $899,000 GSMLS

Property tax history

+55.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $20,915 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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