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112 Navesink Ave
B- Composite 69.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$499,900

112 Navesink Ave · Highlands, NJ 07732
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,623 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1950 5,227 sqft lot Est $685k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a Coming Soon Listing and cannot be shown until 6/2/26. Opportunity awaits! Amazing water views! Rehab or knock down and build new at this amazing location. Just a 3 minute drive to Sandy Hook beach.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Ocean views

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present (other type); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; Full basement with walk-out access; No fireplaces

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $500k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $500k).
  • Recommended offer: $492k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.9% in Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#283 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,252/mo this rent would consume 82% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 259% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($492k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $350k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $492,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.33%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$684,906
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Shrewsbury Ave 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,825 (+12%) 0mo $1,100,000 $603 70
85 Seadrift Ave 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,620 (-0%) 16mo $604,999 $373 70
52 Barberie Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,764 (+9%) 1mo $699,000 $396 62
315 Shore Dr Unit D 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,636 (+1%) 1mo $520,000 $318 61
45 2nd St 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,502 (-8%) 21mo $812,500 $541 61
55 Bay Ave Unit A 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,444 (-11%) 15mo $475,000 $329 59
25 Miller St 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,422 (-12%) 14mo $793,000 $558 58
31 4th St 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,803 (+11%) 11mo $725,000 $402 56
61 Barberie Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,386 (-15%) 3mo $690,000 $498 50
45 Portland Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-11%) 16mo $475,000 $330 49
17 Central Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,858 (+14%) 8mo $785,000 $422 34
10 Central Ave 0.64mi 3/3.0 1,852 (+14%) 13mo $910,000 $491 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-11,336
Equity at exit
$74,537
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$80,776
Equity at exit
$43,222

Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07732

Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,252 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,622
Tax from tax record
$1,021 /mo · $12,250/yr
Insurance
$208
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,313
Net cashflow
$1,089

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,874
Max offer price $499,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,975
Closing costs
$14,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
179 Bay Ave Highlands, NJ 4.0 2.0 1613 $8,200 $5.08 11d 1 0.12mi
60 5th St Unit D Highlands, NJ 2.0 1.0 1292 $8,500 $6.58 1d 1 0.27mi
67 Snug Harbor Ave Highlands, NJ 3.0 2.0 1414 $2,000 $1.41 17d 1 0.53mi
324 Shore Dr Unit E1 Highlands, NJ 2.0 2.0 1519 $3,100 $2.04 1d 1 0.74mi
216 Ocean Ave Sea Bright, NJ 2.0 2.0 1788 $5,500 $3.08 14d 1 0.82mi
60 Mathews St Unit 1st floor Highlands, NJ 3.0 1.0 1556 $2,500 $1.61 24d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $499,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $499,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $499,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $499,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $499,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $499,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $499,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $499,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $499,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $499,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $499,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $499,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $499,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    historical $499,900
  16. 2009-08-18
    soldstatus $350,000
  17. 1997-01-29
    soldstatus $1

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$12,250 · $1,021/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,349 · $1,029/mo
Expected delta
+$99/yr (+$8/mo · 0.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$75,027
− Mortgage interest
−$28,002
− Property taxes
−$12,250
− Insurance
−$2,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,002
− Management
−$6,002
− Depreciation
−$14,543
Taxable income
$5,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,375
After-tax cash flow
$11,688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Highlands

Score
69/100
State rank
#283
US rank
#8335

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highlands, NJ
County
Monmouth County · 505,557 people
City population
4,527
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
4,527
Household income
$91,875
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
259.0

Population outlook (Monmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
620,308 people
By 2030
612,309 · -1.3%
By 2040
587,297 · -5.3%
By 2050
551,342 · -11.1%
By 2075
472,934 · -23.8%
By 2100
381,534 · -38.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Asian 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monmouth

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.4% · R 54.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+5.5 2008: R+3.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -357.74%
Current HPI
345.5835
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Coming Soon $499,900 MOMLS
  • 2009-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $1 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $12,250 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…