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201 SW Palm Dr #201
D- Composite 38.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

201 SW Palm Dr #201 · Port St. Lucie, FL 34986
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 868 sqft · Condo public records · 73 Days on market
Built 2003 $400/mo HOA · 22% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this 1 bedroom 1 bath apartment at The Club at St Lucie West. Spacious corner unit with high volt ceilings with a open area concept. SELLER IS OFFERING FLOORING ALLOWANCE. The Club is located close to I-95 and the turnpike, walking distance to shopping, restaurants and more.

Key facts

  • $400 HOA
  • Parking
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Number of units in community: 380
  • Financial info: Pets allowed (may include number/size limits and other restrictions)
  • HOA & community: Community association with monthly HOA; HOA amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, picnic area, playground, parking, pool, and tennis courts; Monthly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned open parking (1 space)
  • Security: Fire sprinkler system; Window bars
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Condominium; 2-story building; Faces southeast; Resale condition; Unit in building '201'
  • Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Built as part of a multi-unit building
  • Exterior features: Open patio and covered patio; Porch; Waterfront: Yes (no specific waterfront features listed)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Built-in features; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Fire sprinkler system; Window bars
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hook-up inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-851/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (7.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 491 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 9609% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,376 (7.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.79%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.2%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-34,384
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-45,060
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34986

Home prices YoY
-7.2%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
491
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,808 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,651/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$400
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$-71

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,898
Max offer price $157,376
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25 -5% $-23 +0% $-71 +5% $-119 +10% $-167
Rent -10% $-214 -5% $-142 +0% $-71 +5% $1 +10% $72
Rate -1.0pp $15 -0.5pp $-28 base $-71 +0.5pp $-115 +1.0pp $-160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
221 SW Palm Dr #108 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $2,000 $2.08 14d 1 0.04mi
131 SW Palm Dr #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0 1.0 868 $1,650 $1.90 24d 1 0.08mi
141 SW Palm Dr #306 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,850 $1.93 24d 1 0.09mi
181 SW Palm Dr #203 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1033 $1,800 $1.74 24d 1 0.09mi
271 SW Palm Dr #304 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1033 $2,000 $1.94 14d 1 0.16mi
114 SW Peacock Blvd Unit 8-105 Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0 1.0 752 $1,600 $2.13 24d 1 1.01mi
120 SW Peacock Blvd Unit 11-206 Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0 1.0 875 $1,700 $1.94 21d 1 1.07mi
120 SW Peacock Blvd Unit 11-206 Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0 1.0 875 $1,750 $2.00 24d 1 1.07mi
130 SW Peacock Blvd Unit 16 Port St. Lucie, FL 1.0 1.0 752 $1,600 $2.13 14d 1 1.23mi
158 SW Peacock Blvd Unit 30-105 Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0 1.0 752 $1,700 $2.26 14d 1 1.31mi
138 SW Peacock Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 946 $1,600 $1.69 14d 2 1.33mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$400 · $4,800/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $1,750
  18. 2026-04-14
    price $169,900
  19. 2026-04-06
    listed $180,000 Active
  20. 2026-03-31
    historical
  21. 2025-12-06
    status Active
  22. 2025-12-05
    historical
  23. 2025-12-05
    price $171,900
  24. 2025-11-07
    listed $176,900 Active
  25. 2023-04-26
    soldstatus $185,000
  26. 2023-04-25
    soldstatus $187,500 Closed 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Come see this 1 bedroom 1 bath apartment at The Club at St Lucie West. Spacious corner unit with high volt ceilings with a open area concept. SELLER IS OFFERING FLOORING ALLOWANCE. The Club is located close to I-95 and the turnpike, walking distance to shopping, restaurants and more.

  27. 2023-03-24
    historical Active Under Contract 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Come see this 1 bedroom 1 bath apartment at The Club at St Lucie West. Spacious corner unit with high volt ceilings with a open area concept. SELLER IS OFFERING FLOORING ALLOWANCE. The Club is located close to I-95 and the turnpike, walking distance to shopping, restaurants and more.

  28. 2023-02-08
    listed $192,500 Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Come see this 1 bedroom 1 bath apartment at The Club at St Lucie West. Spacious corner unit with high volt ceilings with a open area concept. SELLER IS OFFERING FLOORING ALLOWANCE. The Club is located close to I-95 and the turnpike, walking distance to shopping, restaurants and more.

  29. 2005-09-21
    soldstatus $51,430,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,651 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,651 · $138/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,698
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,651
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,736
− Management
−$1,736
− HOA
−$4,800
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$3,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$848
After-tax cash flow
$-3/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Port St. Lucie, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,715
Household income
$80,047
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
253.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.55%
Current HPI
251.4856
Rent YoY
▲ 1.57%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-100.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed for Rent $1,750 GFLMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $169,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $180,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-12-06 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $171,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $176,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2023-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-25 Sold (MLS) $187,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2023-03-24 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2023-02-08 Listed $192,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2005-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $51,430,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,651 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…