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139 Centervale Ave
B Composite 71.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

139 Centervale Ave · Youngstown, OH 44512
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1959 8,712 sqft lot Est $149k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch located in the highly sought after Boardman School District. This home sits in a beautiful neighborhood and offers a wonderful chance for someone with vision to make it shine. Whether you're an investor or a buyer who doesn't mind rolling up your sleeves, this property has the potential to become something truly special. Inside, you'll find a simple and easy layout that makes the home feel open and comfortable. The bedrooms offer nice space and natural light, giving you a solid starting point for updates or personal touches. The living areas are ready for new ideas, and the kitchen has room to grow into a warm and welcoming space. Outside, the detache

Key facts

  • Room for play
  • Room for relaxing
  • Room for gardening

Tags

DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEROOM FOR GARDENINGROOM FOR PLAYROOM FOR RELAXING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Built per public records; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Chain-link fencing; Separate garage structure

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Total of 7 rooms; Property listed as fixer condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Boardman Local (urban): math 63% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #189 of 656 in OH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.90%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31 Rockdale Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,005 (-3%) 2mo $150,000 $149 81
96 Aylesboro Ave 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,003 (-4%) 1mo $140,000 $140 77
7352 Westview Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,032 (-1%) 1mo $139,500 $135 75
107 Oakley Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,122 (+8%) 8mo $152,500 $136 71
6721 Glenwood Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,141 (+10%) 8mo $130,000 $114 62
7014 Trenholm Rd 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+8%) 11mo $235,000 $208 62
79 Woodview Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+5%) 8mo $161,000 $148 60
7443 Sugartree Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 988 (-5%) 1mo $200,000 $202 56
7450 Ranier Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+8%) 1mo $219,000 $196 56
7038 Southern Blvd 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-3%) 10mo $125,000 $124 56
6180 Northlawn Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+8%) 3mo $160,000 $143 52
90 Woodrow Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,170 (+12%) 11mo $109,900 $94 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$2,772
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$40,185
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44512

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,147 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,312/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $855
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $288 -5% $259 +0% $231 +5% $203 +10% $174
Rent -10% $140 -5% $186 +0% $231 +5% $276 +10% $322
Rate -1.0pp $281 -0.5pp $256 base $231 +0.5pp $205 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7125 Locust Ave Unit 7125-11 Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 880 $950 $1.08 22d 1 0.20mi
7116 Claybourne Ave Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.5 1020 $1,600 $1.57 22d 1 0.27mi
500 Boardman Canfield Rd Youngstown, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 821 $1,005 $1.22 14d 1 0.51mi
86 Ferncliff Ave Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 1027 $1,200 $1.17 22d 1 0.58mi
80 Romaine Ave Unit B Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 14d 1 0.67mi
7059 West Blvd Boardman, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 561 $960 $1.71 14d 1 0.79mi
20 Southwoods Ave Unit 23 Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 22d 1 0.93mi
360 Shields Rd Unit 360 Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 974 $925 $0.95 22d 1 1.27mi
413 Mathews Rd Boardman, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 1.42mi
457 Mathews Rd Boardman, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,312 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,436 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$124/yr (+$10/mo · 9.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,768
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,312
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,101
− Management
−$1,101
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,243
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$298
After-tax cash flow
$2,474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boardman Local
NCES district ID
3904830
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$47,613
Composite
56.62/100
National rank
#1142
State rank
#189 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mahoning County · 84,956 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
Population (ZIP)
32,536
Household income
$63,317
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
910.0

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.75%
Current HPI
213.1446
Rent YoY
▲ 6.56%
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $100,000 MLSNOW
  • 2002-03-23 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2001-09-23 Listed $79,000 MLSNOW
  • 1999-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1999-10-19 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
  • 1995-04-08 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
  • 1987-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,312 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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