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8533 35 Forshey St Duplex
C Composite 57.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.1/15.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

8533 35 Forshey St · New Orleans, LA 70118
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1930 5,266 sqft lot $151/sqft · 12% above area Est $204k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity in a high-demand New Orleans location, just four blocks from South Carrollton Avenue. This thoughtfully renovated duplex blends historic character with modern updates and features two classic shotgun-style units, each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, updated kitchen and baths, central HVAC, and off-street parking. The property is fully leased, generating $2,200 in monthly rental income, with tenants responsible for their own utilities—minimizing operating expenses. Convenient access to I-10, public transportation, and nearby shopping enhances long-term rental appeal. Whether you're seeking a dependable income-producing property or looking to expand your portfolio, this duplex is available individually or as part of a seven-property package—all situated on the same square. 48 notice required for showings. Shown to pre-approved buyers.

Key facts

  • Central hvac
  • Modern updates
  • Historic character

Tags

HIGH-DEMAND LOCATIONTHOUGHTFULLY RENOVATED DUPLEXHISTORIC CHARACTERMODERN UPDATESUPDATED KITCHENCENTRAL HVAC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $308/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 279 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,840/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2237% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.86%
Cash-on-cash
12.76%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$204,379
List price
$229,000
Delta
12.05%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8517 19 Forshey St 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,512 (0%) 8mo $219,000 $145 93
3316 18 Joliet St 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,512 (0%) 8mo $220,000 $146 91
3315-17 Leonidas St 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,488 (-2%) 12mo $249,000 $167 86
3322 24 Joliet St 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,488 (-2%) 12mo $229,000 $154 86
3328-30 Joliet St 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,488 (-2%) 12mo $249,000 $167 85
8839-37 Colapissa St 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,568 (+4%) 10mo $120,000 $77 74
8628 30 Apple St 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,558 (+3%) 6mo $205,000 $132 67
4101-03 Hamilton St 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,464 (-3%) 6mo $209,000 $143 61
531-33 S Murat St 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,500 (-1%) 10mo $335,000 $223 55
8316 18 S Claiborne Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,610 (+6%) 10mo $125,000 $78 50
2717 A Cherry St 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,704 (+13%) 2mo $187,000 $110 49
9234 36 Apple St 0.68mi 4/4.0 1,512 (0%) 22mo $150,500 $100 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,547
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$25,244
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70118

Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
279
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,840 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,189/yr
Insurance
$95
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$596
Net cashflow
$615

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,061
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $745 -5% $680 +0% $615 +5% $550 +10% $485
Rent -10% $391 -5% $503 +0% $615 +5% $727 +10% $839
Rate -1.0pp $730 -0.5pp $673 base $615 +0.5pp $556 +1.0pp $495

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,840

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8502 Edinburgh St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,800 $1.24 4d 1 0.14mi
8816 Olive St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 24d 1 0.16mi
8816 Olive St Unit A-B New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 17d 1 0.16mi
8815 Palm St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1195 $2,100 $1.76 24d 1 0.25mi
8929 Colapissa St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 0.26mi
8405 Apricot St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1058 $1,795 $1.70 4d 1 0.34mi
8405 Apricot St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1058 $1,795 $1.70 4d 1 0.34mi
9107 Fig St New Orleans, LA 3.0 3.0 1230 $2,000 $1.63 4d 1 0.39mi
2616 Cambronne St Unit 2618 New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,475 $1.23 24d 1 0.46mi
7922 Colapissa St New Orleans, LA 4.0 2.0 1848 $2,400 $1.30 11d 1 0.48mi
2527 Eagle St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1571 $2,200 $1.40 24d 1 0.50mi
8812 Apple St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,650 $1.52 17d 1 0.51mi
9438 Forshey St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1274 $2,000 $1.57 24d 1 0.58mi
7933 Belfast St Unit Upper New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,400 $1.60 24d 1 0.59mi
9528 Stroelitz St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1174 $2,100 $1.79 12d 1 0.68mi
2305 Joliet St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,500 $1.72 44d 1 0.69mi
2251 Cambronne St Unit A New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.5 1945 $2,495 $1.28 24d 1 0.70mi
2835 Pine St Unit 2835 New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1219 $2,995 $2.46 44d 1 0.74mi
2833 Pine St Unit 2833 New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1219 $3,200 $2.63 20d 1 0.74mi
2308 Short St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,800 $1.75 4d 1 0.80mi
2231 S Carrollton Ave Unit D New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,495 $1.56 24d 1 0.81mi
647 S Pierce St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1550 $3,175 $2.05 15d 1 0.84mi
4814 Thalia St Unit B New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1218 $1,850 $1.52 24d 1 0.88mi
4816 Thalia St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1218 $1,850 $1.52 24d 1 0.88mi
2741 Audubon St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 4d 1 0.88mi
7909 Sycamore St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,400 $1.20 4d 1 0.88mi
2102 S Carrollton Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,250 $1.25 12d 1 0.88mi
2102 S Carrollton Ave Unit NA New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,250 $1.25 11d 1 0.88mi
613 S Pierce St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 18d 1 0.88mi
615 S Pierce St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 18d 1 0.89mi
337 S Murat St Unit 4501 New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,000 $1.74 24d 1 0.90mi
2101 S Carrollton Ave New Orleans, LA 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 24d 1 0.90mi
7902 Sycamore St New Orleans, LA 4.0 2.0 1991 $3,200 $1.61 44d 1 0.91mi
8426 Spruce St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,000 $1.76 44d 1 0.91mi
4702 Euphrosine St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 4d 1 0.91mi
4020 Baudin St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 4d 1 0.94mi
109 Avenue E Metairie, LA 3.0 3.5 2068 $3,000 $1.45 45d 1 0.94mi
2201 Burdette St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.5 1800 $2,695 $1.50 18d 1 0.94mi
912 Monticello Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1750 $2,500 $1.43 44d 1 0.95mi
2116 Burdette St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,975 $1.16 4d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,000 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $229,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-02-02
    listed $229,000 Active 893-char remark
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in a high-demand New Orleans location, just four blocks from South Carrollton Avenue. This thoughtfully renovated duplex blends historic character with modern updates and features two classic shotgun-style units, each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, updated kitchen and baths, central HVAC, and off-street parking. The property is fully leased, generating $2,200 in monthly rental income, with tenants responsible for their own utilities—minimizing operating expenses. Convenient access to I-10, public transportation, and nearby shopping enhances long-term rental appeal. Whether you're seeking a dependable income-producing property or looking to expand your portfolio, this duplex is available individually or as part of a seven-property package—all situated on the same square. 48 notice required for showings. Shown to pre-approved buyers.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,189 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,189 · $266/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,080
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$3,189
− Insurance
−$1,942
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,726
− Management
−$2,726
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable income
$4,006
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$962
After-tax cash flow
$6,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
County
Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
City population
338,817
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
36,072
Household income
$63,750
Rent vs Own
51.5% rent · 48.5% own
Severe rent burden
2237.0

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.46%
Current HPI
282.9629
Rent YoY
▲ 0.97%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $229,000 GSREIN

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,189 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…