2367 Camden Ter · The Villages, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. TURNKEY + GOLF CART INCLUDED! Welcome to this charming Bonita Model Courtyard Villa located in the highly desirable Rosedale Villas in the Village of Duval. This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living—ideal for enjoying everything The Villages lifestyle has to offer. Step inside to an open, light-filled floor plan featuring updated laminate and tile flooring throughout, creating a clean, modern feel with easy upkeep. The spacious living and dining areas flow seamlessly through sliding glass doors to the covered lanai and private courtyard, perfect for indoor-outdoor li
Key facts
- Covered lanai
- Tile flooring
- Abundant cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Turnkey furnished option available
- Financial info: Other annual assessment applies
- HOA & community: Community amenities include golf course, pool, pickleball courts, shuffleboard courts and recreation facilities; Community mailbox; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Irrigation with reclaimed water; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); CDD present
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car), garage dimensions approximately 16x21
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; BB/HS internet available; Sewer connected; Sprinkler recycled; Underground utilities
- Home design: Residential villa; One story; Southeast facing; Entry level on one floor
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with common residential materials
- Exterior features: Sliding doors; Metered sprinkler system; Irrigation equipment; Paved public-maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Walk-in closets; Blinds and drapes; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-797/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $338k (3.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (17.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $287k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 551 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,873/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 987% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; list at $350k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.81%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $342,265
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2367 Camden Ter | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (0%) | 1mo | $342,000 | $245 | 99 |
| 2588 English Ivy Cir | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,388 (-1%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $191 | 71 |
| 2049 Duval Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (0%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $233 | 67 |
| 1098 Burnettown Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,398 (+0%) | 3mo | $359,000 | $257 | 66 |
| 2348 Midnight Pass Ct | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (+9%) | 2mo | $449,900 | $296 | 65 |
| 2677 English Ivy Cir | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (-11%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $242 | 65 |
| 1561 Tallowtree Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (+9%) | 1mo | $349,900 | $229 | 65 |
| 2752 Iris Way | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (+7%) | 1mo | $460,000 | $308 | 61 |
| 2507 Everwood Ct | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-15%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $257 | 58 |
| 2002 Cedar Ridge Pl | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,382 (-1%) | 3mo | $298,000 | $216 | 56 |
| 1397 Eagle Ridge Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+6%) | 2mo | $500,500 | $336 | 55 |
| 2123 Heather Hill Loop | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (+12%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $211 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-58,253
- Equity at exit
- $52,171
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-44,979
- Equity at exit
- $30,253
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32162
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 551
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,873 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$356 /mo · $4,269/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$603
- Net cashflow
- $-66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $33 | +0% $-66 | +5% $-165 | +10% $-265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-293 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-66 | +5% $47 | +10% $161 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $23 | base $-66 | +0.5pp $-157 | +1.0pp $-249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2383 Camden Ter The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $2,500 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 2372 Travis Pl The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,000 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2368 McClellanville Ter The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $4,800 | $4.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1607 Allendale Pl The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,800 | $2.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1623 Abernethy Pl The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $4,800 | $3.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2014 Johnson Ct The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,000 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2192 Quinn Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $5,600 | $3.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 731 Baisley Trl The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $4,500 | $2.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7730 Wilds Loop Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $2,384 | $2.20 | 23d | 28 | 1.26mi |
| 2272 Vassar Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2290 Nackman Pl The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,800 | $2.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2280 Biscayne Ave The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,000 | $2.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2393 Highbanks Ct The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,800 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1009 Ridgeville Rd The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,475 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2393 Carriage Hill Way The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $4,300 | $2.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3068 Islawild Way The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $2,200 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-13$349,900 Active
-
2025-08-26historical
-
2025-07-10price $337,000
-
2025-02-10$350,000 Active
-
2013-10-24soldstatus $194,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,269 · $356/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,269 · $356/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$4,269
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,759
- − Management
- −$2,759
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable loss
- −$6,833
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,640
- After-tax cash flow
- $843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — The Villages
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #7363
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Villages, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 83,973
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,424
- Household income
- $74,119
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 987.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.16%
- Current HPI
- 218.1956
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.92%
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+79.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Listed $349,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-10 Price Changed $337,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-10 Listed $350,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $194,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,269 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…