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413 Lore St
F Composite 31.25
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$141,000

413 Lore St · St. Albans, WV 25177
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1960 Est $107k · 32% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute rancher with a full basement just off Coal River Road at 413 Lore Street. This 3- bedroom home is move-in ready and awaits its new owner to build memories. Nice covered front porch to sip coffee and to talk with friends. This home has 3 bedroom's with 1 full bath and half bath. convenient to Charleston, St Albans and Teays Valley.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Full basement
  • Built 1960

Tags

FULL BASEMENTCOVERED FRONT PORCHCONVENIENT TO CHARLESTONCONVENIENT TO ST ALBANSCONVENIENT TO TEAYS VALLEY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $141k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($221/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (24.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.9% in St. Albans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 333 students, 0% FRL); Hayes Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Saint Albans High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 993 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $975 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,530 (24.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.56%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,848
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
414 Lore Street St 0.02mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-1%) 4mo $130,000 $130 92
300 Hill St 0.07mi 3/1.0 932 (-8%) 14mo $20,000 $21 71
412 Kanawha St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+3%) 14mo $110,000 $106 70
422 Lore St 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+14%) 8mo $97,500 $85 66
310 High St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,060 (+5%) 22mo $150,000 $142 59
11861 Coal River Rd 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,054 (+5%) 8mo $80,000 $76 56
110 Carte St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,077 (+7%) 21mo $121,540 $113 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-21,751
Equity at exit
$21,024
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-17,741
Equity at exit
$12,191

Cash invested: $39,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25177

Home prices YoY
-16.6%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,065 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$739
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,042
Max offer price $141,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $98 -5% $58 +0% $18 +5% $-21 +10% $-230
Rent -10% $-66 -5% $-24 +0% $18 +5% $61 +10% $103
Rate -1.0pp $89 -0.5pp $54 base $18 +0.5pp $-18 +1.0pp $-55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,250
Closing costs
$4,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-12
    status Active
  3. 2026-01-05
    status Pending
  4. 2025-12-03
    listed $141,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$300 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$532/yr (+$44/mo · 177.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,784
− Mortgage interest
−$7,898
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$705
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,023
− Management
−$1,023
− Depreciation
−$4,102
Taxable loss
−$2,267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$544
After-tax cash flow
$765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — St. Albans

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
23,211
Population (ZIP)
23,211

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.96%
Current HPI
185.502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending KVBOR
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted KVBOR
  • 2026-01-05 Pending KVBOR
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $141,000 KVBOR

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $300 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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