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1575 Burton Ave
C- Composite 54.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.2/15.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1575 Burton Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31204
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,078 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1950 9,147 sqft lot Est $66k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ready for your upgrades and customization. Bring all offers. NO SELLER DISCLOSURES. Sold as is.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: One level; Resale property; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Please use GPS for directions

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen features listed
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: Other; Cooling: Other
  • Interior features: No shared/common walls; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John Robert Lewis Elementary School (math 5% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,154 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 733 students, 100% FRL); Weaver Middle School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #439 of 470 statewide, top 94%, 909 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.89%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,758
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1514 Dexter Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 1,128 (+5%) 6mo $68,500 $61 81
3220 Arnwood Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,076 (-0%) 1mo $30,000 $28 80
3083 Montpelier Pl 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+0%) 1mo $45,500 $42 77
1568 Burton Ave 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (+11%) 3mo $37,000 $31 73
1262 Macon Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,096 (+2%) 8mo $37,000 $34 60
1919 Bethlea Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+4%) 1mo $110,000 $98 59
549 Straight St 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,066 (-1%) 9mo $50,000 $47 56
1247 Carlisle Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-3%) 2mo $151,000 $144 55
3386 Seaton Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (+12%) 4mo $148,000 $122 51
1426 Bailey Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (-8%) 11mo $85,000 $86 45
853 Grayson Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 984 (-9%) 4mo $38,000 $39 44
703 Edwards Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 932 (-14%) 9mo $105,000 $113 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$1,744
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$24,589
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31204

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,022 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,303/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $780
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1117 $895 $0.80 13d 1 0.03mi
1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1126 $1,000 $0.89 21d 1 0.15mi
1782 Eveline Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 0.41mi
1835 Bethlea Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 43d 1 0.55mi
3034 Churchill St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 872 $900 $1.03 21d 1 0.56mi
1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 960 $950 $0.99 43d 1 0.64mi
1196 Mimosa Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 21d 1 0.68mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $850 $0.85 13d 1 0.79mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,060 $1.06 21d 1 0.79mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0501 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 21d 1 0.79mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0503 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,125 $0.94 21d 1 0.79mi
1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $889 $1.05 43d 1 0.84mi
424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 810 $850 $1.05 43d 1 0.84mi
3645 Mercer University Dr Macon, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 874 $850 $0.97 43d 4 0.84mi
1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,250 $1.09 21d 1 0.88mi
1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,065 $1.04 21d 1 0.91mi
1097 Edna Pl Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1299 $1,300 $1.00 43d 1 0.94mi
1655 N Atwood Dr Unit 5 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 21d 1 1.03mi
2445 Lowe St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 940 $890 $0.95 43d 1 1.08mi
1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 43d 1 1.09mi
1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 43d 1 1.17mi
3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 13d 1 1.23mi
1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,350 $1.11 21d 1 1.25mi
3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1094 $895 $0.82 21d 1 1.29mi
4053 Log Cabin Dr Unit B3 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 950 $749 $0.79 21d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,303 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,303 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,259
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,303
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$981
− Management
−$981
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$1,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$297
After-tax cash flow
$1,990/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
32,421
Household income
$38,784
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
2674.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.44%
Current HPI
194.5459
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $75,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+37.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,303 · +141.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…