348 Mineral St · Copperopolis, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 29 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Gorgeous property with NO HOA. Property is zoned Unclassified. Structure is in need of repairs or complete rebuild. Needs flooring, roof, etc. This property holds a lot of history. Make it your own. Seller is selling AS-IS for ALL CASH.
Key facts
- 2.85 acre lot
- 10 parking spots
- Built 1938
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 2.85 acres; Allows horses (no specific horse amenities listed)
- HOA & community: No homeowner association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Covered parking; Detached structure (covered); Guest parking available
- Utilities: Internet available; 220-volt electric service; Septic system; Water provided by water district; No irrigation source
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Originally built in 1938; Fixer / original condition
- Construction: Composition roof (see remarks)
- Exterior features: Fenced; Shed(s) on the property; No private pool or spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Other-style countertops
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Other (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub/shower combination and window
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall furnace; Wood stove; Evaporative cooler; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Secluded lot setting; Window in bathroom; Living room with other feature; Dining room with other feature; Kitchen counters described as 'other counter'; One-level home (single story)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric laundry connections inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.0% in Copperopolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#691 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Bret Harte Union High (town): math 35% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #429 of 1,400 in CA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 235 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Calaveras County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calaveras County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.88%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $512,448
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348 Mineral St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (0%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $147 | 100 |
| 978 Reeds Tpke | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 24mo | $490,000 | $408 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $10,953
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $62,265
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95228
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,374 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $643
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,231 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,231 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,231
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,279
- − Management
- −$2,279
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $5,032
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bret Harte Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0605940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,974
- Composite
- 45.41/100
- National rank
- #5708
- State rank
- #429 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Copperopolis
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #691
- US rank
- #21010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Copperopolis, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,880
Population outlook (Calaveras County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,163 people
- By 2030
- 41,703 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 38,202 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 35,385 · -18.0%
- By 2075
- 30,807 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 25,755 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Romanian 4% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calaveras
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.1) · D 34.7% · R 62.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.1 2020: R+23.8 2016: R+23.9 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.73%
- Current HPI
- 176.1251
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,231 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…