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6031 27.15 Ln
B- Composite 69.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

6031 27.15 Ln · Brampton, MI 49837
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · SingleFamily · 185 Days on market
Built 1971 1.50 ac lot $80/sqft · 37% below area Est $159k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a property with potential and flexibility? This three-bedroom, one-bath home sits on 1.5 acres at the end of a quiet dead-end road, offering privacy and space to create your vision. A true fixer-upper, ideal for buyers who want to build equity through updates and improvements. The property also includes an outdoor wood boiler (currently not connected to the home), offering future potential for supplemental heating if a buyer chooses to install and connect it. With a peaceful setting, room for gardens or outbuildings, and plenty of upside, this is a great opportunity for the right buyer ready to roll up their sleeves and make it their own.

Key facts

  • Quiet dead-end road
  • Room for gardens
  • Outdoor wood boiler

Tags

OUTDOOR WOOD BOILERQUIET DEAD-END ROAD1.5 ACRESROOM FOR GARDENSSPACE TO CREATE YOUR VISION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Gladstone Area Schools (town): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #226 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Delta County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $68k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.94%
Cash-on-cash
13.03%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,092
List price
$100,000
Delta
-37.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5951 Brampton 27.5 Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+2%) 6mo $69,200 $54 68
5940 27.5 Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+2%) 9mo $310,000 $242 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,125
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$27,517
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49837

Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,154 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $496/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $769
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $361 -5% $332 +0% $304 +5% $276 +10% $247
Rent -10% $213 -5% $258 +0% $304 +5% $350 +10% $395
Rate -1.0pp $354 -0.5pp $329 base $304 +0.5pp $278 +1.0pp $252

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 183 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 182 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 181 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 178 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 174 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 173 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 172 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 168 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 167 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 166 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 165 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 164 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $100,000 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Looking for a property with potential and flexibility? This three-bedroom, one-bath home sits on 1.5 acres at the end of a quiet dead-end road, offering privacy and space to create your vision. A true fixer-upper, ideal for buyers who want to build equity through updates and improvements. The property also includes an outdoor wood boiler (currently not connected to the home), offering future potential for supplemental heating if a buyer chooses to install and connect it. With a peaceful setting, room for gardens or outbuildings, and plenty of upside, this is a great opportunity for the right buyer ready to roll up their sleeves and make it their own.

  18. 2026-05-15
    price $100,000 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Looking for a property with potential and flexibility? This three-bedroom, one-bath home sits on 1.5 acres at the end of a quiet dead-end road, offering privacy and space to create your vision. A true fixer-upper, ideal for buyers who want to build equity through updates and improvements. The property also includes an outdoor wood boiler (currently not connected to the home), offering future potential for supplemental heating if a buyer chooses to install and connect it. With a peaceful setting, room for gardens or outbuildings, and plenty of upside, this is a great opportunity for the right buyer ready to roll up their sleeves and make it their own.

  19. 2025-12-17
    listed $130,000 Active 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Looking for a property with potential and flexibility? This three-bedroom, one-bath home sits on 1.5 acres at the end of a quiet dead-end road, offering privacy and space to create your vision. A true fixer-upper, ideal for buyers who want to build equity through updates and improvements. The property also includes an outdoor wood boiler (currently not connected to the home), offering future potential for supplemental heating if a buyer chooses to install and connect it. With a peaceful setting, room for gardens or outbuildings, and plenty of upside, this is a great opportunity for the right buyer ready to roll up their sleeves and make it their own.

  20. 2025-12-17
    listed $130,000 Active 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Looking for a property with potential and flexibility? This three-bedroom, one-bath home sits on 1.5 acres at the end of a quiet dead-end road, offering privacy and space to create your vision. A true fixer-upper, ideal for buyers who want to build equity through updates and improvements. The property also includes an outdoor wood boiler (currently not connected to the home), offering future potential for supplemental heating if a buyer chooses to install and connect it. With a peaceful setting, room for gardens or outbuildings, and plenty of upside, this is a great opportunity for the right buyer ready to roll up their sleeves and make it their own.

  21. 2016-01-14
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$496 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$522/yr (+$44/mo · 105.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,844
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$496
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,108
− Management
−$1,108
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,123
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$509
After-tax cash flow
$3,139/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gladstone Area Schools
NCES district ID
2615970
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,821
Composite
33.28/100
National rank
#5510
State rank
#226 of 540 in MI

Livability — Brampton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,007

Population outlook (Delta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,431 people
By 2030
33,003 · -4.1%
By 2040
29,748 · -13.6%
By 2050
26,753 · -22.3%
By 2075
20,962 · -39.1%
By 2100
15,616 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Iranian 5% English 4%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delta

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.4) · D 34.1% · R 64.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -30.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.4 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.63%
Current HPI
157.4775
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+47.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $100,000 UPAR
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $130,000 UPAR
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $496 · -60.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…