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7253 Morgantown Rd
B- Composite 68.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

7253 Morgantown Rd · Russellville, KY 42276
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,722 sqft · Other public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1945 ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 7253 Morgantown Road, this updated home, originally built in 1945, is where classic charm meets country living. Boasting over 1,700 square feet of living space, this residence has 3 bedrooms and two full bathrooms, making it perfect for growing families. Situated on a generous 1 +/- acre lot, this property offers a sense of privacy and tranquility while being conveniently located near Chandlers Elementary School, ideal for families with younger children. Outside, you will find a 24 x 36 metal storage building and a creek at the back of the property. You and your family will surely enjoy the beautiful sunroom located close to the outdoor, above ground swimming pool. Perfect for summer entertaining and fun pool parties!

Key facts

  • Generous living room
  • Wood cabinetry
  • Bright sunroom

Tags

1 ACRE TREE LINED LOTGENEROUS LIVING ROOMWELL APPOINTED KITCHENWOOD CABINETRYBRIGHT SUNROOM24X36 METAL OUTBUILDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story; Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Above-ground pool

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 2.8% in Russellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#273 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Logan County (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #32 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.86%
Cash-on-cash
19.89%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$11,904
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$44,331
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42276

Home prices YoY
-9.9%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,416/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,416 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,416 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,718
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,416
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,257
− Management
−$1,257
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$3,768
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$904
After-tax cash flow
$4,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Logan County
NCES district ID
2103540
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$42,577
Composite
33.34/100
National rank
#5492
State rank
#32 of 165 in KY

Livability — Russellville

Score
65/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#13256

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Logan County · 16,044 people
City population
16,044
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
16,044
Household income
$57,144
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
330.0

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,133 people
By 2030
25,572 · -2.1%
By 2040
24,247 · -7.2%
By 2050
22,849 · -12.6%
By 2075
19,587 · -25.0%
By 2100
15,927 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.1) · D 21.9% · R 76.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-26.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.6pp · 2024: -55.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.1 2020: R+48.4 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.71%
Current HPI
269.3374
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $89,000 HCTCBOR
  • 2024-12-11 Sold (MLS) $160,770 RASKMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Contingent RASKMLS
  • 2024-10-24 Listed $149,900 RASKMLS
  • 2003-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,416 · +1212.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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