425 Southland Ave · Portage, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.
Key facts
- Finished space
- Full bathroom
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (0.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (0.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.5% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#90 in MI, #2,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Portage Public Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #67 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.18%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,336
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 Flamingo Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,460 (-14%) | 0mo | $255,000 | $175 | 70 |
| 629 Southland Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,485 (-12%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $165 | 70 |
| 706 Southland Ave | 0.14mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-5%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $172 | 67 |
| 718 Southland Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (+14%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 6031 Avon St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,725 (+2%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $148 | 59 |
| 6303 Surrey St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,636 (-3%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 1619 Bellaire Ave | 0.75mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,658 (-2%) | 9mo | $291,250 | $176 | 50 |
| 1186 Rainbow Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (-7%) | 4mo | $349,900 | $224 | 48 |
| 6048 Marlow St | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,828 (+8%) | 8mo | $335,000 | $183 | 46 |
| 6337 Avon St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,918 (+14%) | 0mo | $307,500 | $160 | 44 |
| 324 Burrwood Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,901 (+13%) | 3mo | $261,900 | $138 | 38 |
| 5824 Concord St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,936 (+15%) | 8mo | $279,900 | $145 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,630
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $34,695
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49024
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,949 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $190
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $301 | -5% $246 | +0% $190 | +5% $135 | +10% $80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $36 | -5% $113 | +0% $190 | +5% $267 | +10% $344 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $289 | -0.5pp $240 | base $190 | +0.5pp $140 | +1.0pp $88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1309 Warwick St Portage, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $1,850 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 100 E Candlewyck Dr Kalamazoo, MI | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1129 | $1,436 | $1.27 | 14d | 38 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13status $195,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-04-25status Pending 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.
-
2026-04-25status Pending 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.
-
2026-04-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.
-
2026-04-23$195,000 Active 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.
-
2026-04-23$195,000 Active 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.
-
2026-04-23$195,000 Active
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,950 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,977 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- +$26/yr (+$2/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,950
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,871
- − Management
- −$1,871
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$870
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$209
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portage Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2628950
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,322
- Composite
- 48.37/100
- National rank
- #2142
- State rank
- #67 of 540 in MI
Livability — Portage
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #2044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portage, MI
- County
- Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
- City population
- 50,560
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,823
- Household income
- $91,105
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 698.0
Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,982 people
- By 2030
- 292,068 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 312,191 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 331,196 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 379,021 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 396,579 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 9% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.74%
- Current HPI
- 215.2275
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.36%
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+54.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,950 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…