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425 Southland Ave
C Composite 59.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

425 Southland Ave · Portage, MI 49024
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,688 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1958 9,148 sqft lot Est $290k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.

Key facts

  • Finished space
  • Full bathroom
  • Large kitchen

Tags

LARGE KITCHENFULL BATHROOMHALF BATHROOMWALK-OUT TO BACK YARDFINISHED SPACEAMPLE STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (0.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (0.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.5% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#90 in MI, #2,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Portage Public Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #67 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $194,947

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.18%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$290,336
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
704 Flamingo Ave 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,460 (-14%) 0mo $255,000 $175 70
629 Southland Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,485 (-12%) 4mo $245,000 $165 70
706 Southland Ave 0.14mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,600 (-5%) 8mo $275,000 $172 67
718 Southland Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,920 (+14%) 3mo $300,000 $156 60
6031 Avon St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,725 (+2%) 9mo $255,000 $148 59
6303 Surrey St 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,636 (-3%) 2mo $299,000 $183 58
1619 Bellaire Ave 0.75mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,658 (-2%) 9mo $291,250 $176 50
1186 Rainbow Ct 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,563 (-7%) 4mo $349,900 $224 48
6048 Marlow St 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,828 (+8%) 8mo $335,000 $183 46
6337 Avon St 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,918 (+14%) 0mo $307,500 $160 44
324 Burrwood Ave 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,901 (+13%) 3mo $261,900 $138 38
5824 Concord St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,936 (+15%) 8mo $279,900 $145 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-12,630
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$34,695
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49024

Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,949 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$246 /mo · $2,950/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,708
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $301 -5% $246 +0% $190 +5% $135 +10% $80
Rent -10% $36 -5% $113 +0% $190 +5% $267 +10% $344
Rate -1.0pp $289 -0.5pp $240 base $190 +0.5pp $140 +1.0pp $88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1309 Warwick St Portage, MI 3.0 2.0 1724 $1,850 $1.07 21d 1 0.56mi
100 E Candlewyck Dr Kalamazoo, MI 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1129 $1,436 $1.27 14d 38 1.44mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $195,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-04-25
    status Pending 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.

  7. 2026-04-25
    status Pending 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.

  8. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.

  9. 2026-04-23
    listed $195,000 Active 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.

  10. 2026-04-23
    listed $195,000 Active 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.

  11. 2026-04-23
    listed $195,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Great potential with this 1950's quad-level home. The main floor offers a large kitchen and living space, while the upper level offers a full bathroom and three bedrooms. The lower level has a half bathroom and a walk-out to the back yard. The basement offers some additional finished space along with ample storage. The oversized two car detached garage has concrete floors and electric. The back yard is partly fenced offering privacy, while the deck off the living room provides a wonderful place to enjoy the great outdoors. Comes see everything this home could be again.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,950 · $246/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,977 · $248/mo
Expected delta
+$26/yr (+$2/mo · 0.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,394
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,950
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,871
− Management
−$1,871
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$870
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$209
After-tax cash flow
$2,493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portage Public Schools
NCES district ID
2628950
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$61,322
Composite
48.37/100
National rank
#2142
State rank
#67 of 540 in MI

Livability — Portage

Score
79/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#2044

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portage, MI
County
Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
City population
50,560
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
Population (ZIP)
30,823
Household income
$91,105
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
698.0

Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,982 people
By 2030
292,068 · +3.9%
By 2040
312,191 · +11.1%
By 2050
331,196 · +17.9%
By 2075
379,021 · +34.9%
By 2100
396,579 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 9% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo

2024 margin
D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -239.74%
Current HPI
215.2275
Rent YoY
▲ 6.36%
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-25 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+54.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,950 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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