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Red Maple 455 Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B Composite 71.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,900

Red Maple 455 Plan · Rockford, MN 55373
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · Manufactured · 524 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own your own 2 bed/2 bath home. Make an appointment now to see this spacious 2019 home with 1092.00 sq. ft. of space for you and your family. Call us to schedule your viewing of this feature-packed home in Rockford Riverview Estates, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community!

Key facts

  • Listed 524 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $73k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $721 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $73k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 2.7% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#487 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Rockford Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #88 of 301 in MN (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $504 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 524 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $64,152 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 524 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.16%
Cash-on-cash
42.37%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$34,113
Equity at exit
$10,870
10-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$88,906
Equity at exit
$6,303

Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55373

Home prices YoY
-25.3%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$382
Tax est. 1.5%
$91 /mo · $1,094/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$721

Break-even live

Break-even rent $638
Max offer price $72,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,225
Closing costs
$2,187
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8627 Woodlawn Dr Rockford, MN 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 19d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,900 Active 524 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,900 Active 523 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,900 Active 522 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,900 Active 521 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,900 Active 519 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,900 Active 515 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,900 Active 514 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,900 Active 513 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $72,900 Active 510 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $72,900 Active 509 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,900 Active 508 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,900 Active 507 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,900 Active 506 DOM
  14. 2025-05-09
    price $72,900 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Own your own 2 bed/2 bath home. Make an appointment now to see this spacious 2019 home with 1092.00 sq. ft. of space for you and your family. Call us to schedule your viewing of this feature-packed home in Rockford Riverview Estates, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community!

  15. 2025-01-11
    listed $77,900 Active 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Own your own 2 bed/2 bath home. Make an appointment now to see this spacious 2019 home with 1092.00 sq. ft. of space for you and your family. Call us to schedule your viewing of this feature-packed home in Rockford Riverview Estates, a well-maintained, professionally managed manufactured home community!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,600
− Mortgage interest
−$4,084
− Property taxes
−$1,094
− Insurance
−$364
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$2,121
Taxable income
$7,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,911
After-tax cash flow
$6,738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some minor updates to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Resale Replacing the kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve the kitchen's functionality and appearance.
  • Rental Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can attract renters and increase rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Resale Replacing the kitchen faucet — A new faucet can improve the kitchen's functionality and appearance.
  • Rental Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can attract renters and increase rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford Public School District
NCES district ID
2732070
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$77,286
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2641
State rank
#88 of 301 in MN

Livability — Rockford

Score
66/100
State rank
#487
US rank
#11694

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, MN
City population
5,725
Population (ZIP)
5,725

Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
142,526 people
By 2030
146,915 · +3.1%
By 2040
153,625 · +7.8%
By 2050
155,416 · +9.0%
By 2075
150,352 · +5.5%
By 2100
130,631 · -8.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 16% Romanian 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · South Korea, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wright

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.98%
Current HPI
218.0934
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-09 Price Changed $72,900 Zillow
  • 2025-01-11 Listed $77,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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