1004 Champlin Ave · Yorkville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located this former one unit home presently offers two units with two kitchens and is ready to go. It has been a two unit for many years. Fresh paint throughout and gleaming hardwoods make this very appealing. Have supplemental income and reside there or use as an investment rental. Great location for college rentals as well. Located close to Colleges, Medical facilities, Wolfspeed, just off the commercial drive business corridor as well. Enjoy the covered 15x14 concrete slab deck when the weather is inclement you can still be outdoors. You'll enjoy the enclosed sun porches as well. Plenty of off street parking with the sizable side driveway too.
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Whitesboro Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #174 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $89k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.80%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,388
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -50.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1005 Ney Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (+0%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $94 | 83 |
| 913 Champlin Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (-5%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $108 | 80 |
| 1209 Ney Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-6%) | 1mo | $162,500 | $130 | 69 |
| 2133 Mcbride Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-9%) | 8mo | $154,500 | $129 | 65 |
| 2218 Maynard Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,512 (+14%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 2206 Caroline St | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,155 (-13%) | 7mo | $212,000 | $184 | 58 |
| 5 Oatley Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,228 (-7%) | 11mo | $79,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 19 Whitesboro St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,183 (-11%) | 9mo | $166,500 | $141 | 52 |
| 15 Bayliss Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,323 (0%) | 13mo | $154,500 | $117 | 50 |
| 125 Campbell Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,174 (-11%) | 8mo | $183,200 | $156 | 49 |
| 1405 Kellogg Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-14%) | 7mo | $172,000 | $151 | 43 |
| 7 6th St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-14%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $192 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $22,468
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $67,402
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13502
- Home prices YoY
- -12.1%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,705 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$266 /mo · $3,191/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $628 | -5% $603 | +0% $577 | +5% $552 | +10% $527 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $443 | -5% $510 | +0% $577 | +5% $645 | +10% $712 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $622 | -0.5pp $600 | base $577 | +0.5pp $554 | +1.0pp $531 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 1st St Yorkville, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $2,100 | $2.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1224 Whitesboro St Unit 1 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
Conveniently located this former one unit home presently offers two units with two kitchens and is ready to go. It has been a two unit for many years. Fresh paint throughout and gleaming hardwoods make this very appealing. Have supplemental income and reside there or use as an investment rental. Great location for college rentals as well. Located close to Colleges, Medical facilities, Wolfspeed, just off the commercial drive business corridor as well. Enjoy the covered 15x14 concrete slab deck when the weather is inclement you can still be outdoors. You'll enjoy the enclosed sun porches as well. Plenty of off street parking with the sizable side driveway too.
-
2026-05-06$89,000 Active 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
Conveniently located this former one unit home presently offers two units with two kitchens and is ready to go. It has been a two unit for many years. Fresh paint throughout and gleaming hardwoods make this very appealing. Have supplemental income and reside there or use as an investment rental. Great location for college rentals as well. Located close to Colleges, Medical facilities, Wolfspeed, just off the commercial drive business corridor as well. Enjoy the covered 15x14 concrete slab deck when the weather is inclement you can still be outdoors. You'll enjoy the enclosed sun porches as well. Plenty of off street parking with the sizable side driveway too.
-
2006-01-27soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,191 · $266/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,191 · $266/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$3,191
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,637
- − Management
- −$1,637
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $5,977
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,434
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitesboro Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631320
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,732
- Composite
- 55.77/100
- National rank
- #1217
- State rank
- #174 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yorkville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #359
- US rank
- #6063
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yorkville, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 1,889
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,037
- Household income
- $57,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1604.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.76%
- Current HPI
- 368.3955
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+140.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $89,000 CNYIS
- 2006-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,191 · -15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…