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1004 Champlin Ave
B Composite 71.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

1004 Champlin Ave · Yorkville, NY 13502
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,323 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1940 4,800 sqft lot $67/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Conveniently located this former one unit home presently offers two units with two kitchens and is ready to go. It has been a two unit for many years. Fresh paint throughout and gleaming hardwoods make this very appealing. Have supplemental income and reside there or use as an investment rental. Great location for college rentals as well. Located close to Colleges, Medical facilities, Wolfspeed, just off the commercial drive business corridor as well. Enjoy the covered 15x14 concrete slab deck when the weather is inclement you can still be outdoors. You'll enjoy the enclosed sun porches as well. Plenty of off street parking with the sizable side driveway too.

Key facts

  • 4,800 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Whitesboro Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #174 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $89k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
14.08%
Cash-on-cash
27.80%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$181,388
List price
$89,000
Delta
-50.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1005 Ney Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,326 (+0%) 1mo $125,000 $94 83
913 Champlin Ave 0.08mi 3/1.5 1,252 (-5%) 7mo $135,000 $108 80
1209 Ney Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-6%) 1mo $162,500 $130 69
2133 Mcbride Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-9%) 8mo $154,500 $129 65
2218 Maynard Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,512 (+14%) 5mo $140,000 $93 59
2206 Caroline St 0.12mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,155 (-13%) 7mo $212,000 $184 58
5 Oatley Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,228 (-7%) 11mo $79,000 $64 56
19 Whitesboro St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,183 (-11%) 9mo $166,500 $141 52
15 Bayliss Ave 0.66mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,323 (0%) 13mo $154,500 $117 50
125 Campbell Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,174 (-11%) 8mo $183,200 $156 49
1405 Kellogg Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,140 (-14%) 7mo $172,000 $151 43
7 6th St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-14%) 8mo $220,000 $192 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$22,468
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$67,402
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13502

Home prices YoY
-12.1%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,705 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,191/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $974
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $628 -5% $603 +0% $577 +5% $552 +10% $527
Rent -10% $443 -5% $510 +0% $577 +5% $645 +10% $712
Rate -1.0pp $622 -0.5pp $600 base $577 +0.5pp $554 +1.0pp $531

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 1st St Yorkville, NY 3.0 1.0 888 $2,100 $2.36 44d 1 0.35mi
1224 Whitesboro St Unit 1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 44d 1 0.81mi
1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1119 $2,000 $1.79 44d 1 1.13mi
11 Noyes St Unit 4 Utica, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,125 $1.12 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    Conveniently located this former one unit home presently offers two units with two kitchens and is ready to go. It has been a two unit for many years. Fresh paint throughout and gleaming hardwoods make this very appealing. Have supplemental income and reside there or use as an investment rental. Great location for college rentals as well. Located close to Colleges, Medical facilities, Wolfspeed, just off the commercial drive business corridor as well. Enjoy the covered 15x14 concrete slab deck when the weather is inclement you can still be outdoors. You'll enjoy the enclosed sun porches as well. Plenty of off street parking with the sizable side driveway too.

  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $89,000 Active 667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (667 chars)

    Conveniently located this former one unit home presently offers two units with two kitchens and is ready to go. It has been a two unit for many years. Fresh paint throughout and gleaming hardwoods make this very appealing. Have supplemental income and reside there or use as an investment rental. Great location for college rentals as well. Located close to Colleges, Medical facilities, Wolfspeed, just off the commercial drive business corridor as well. Enjoy the covered 15x14 concrete slab deck when the weather is inclement you can still be outdoors. You'll enjoy the enclosed sun porches as well. Plenty of off street parking with the sizable side driveway too.

  3. 2006-01-27
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,191 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,191 · $266/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,461
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$3,191
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,637
− Management
−$1,637
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$5,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,434
After-tax cash flow
$5,493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Whitesboro Central School District
NCES district ID
3631320
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,732
Composite
55.77/100
National rank
#1217
State rank
#174 of 590 in NY

Livability — Yorkville

Score
72/100
State rank
#359
US rank
#6063

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yorkville, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
1,889
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
34,037
Household income
$57,835
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
1604.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.76%
Current HPI
368.3955
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $89,000 CNYIS
  • 2006-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,191 · -15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…