46 W 5th Ave · Coatesville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell! Perfect investment property or rental property. Needs updating, cosmetics and some modifications to bathroom. Available for showings. Showings begin Sat, June 11. Seller is relative of agent.
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Full basement
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Natural gas heating; Natural gas hot water; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property in good condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Includes above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: On-street parking; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Attic access; Ceiling fans; Dining area; Six-panel interior doors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.2% in Coatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#791 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $162k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.89%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,796
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338 Valley Rd | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (+2%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $137 | 84 |
| 41 W 6th Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-7%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $194 | 84 |
| 322 Charles St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-4%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $127 | 79 |
| 366 Valley Rd | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,101 (-1%) | 7mo | $139,900 | $127 | 76 |
| 205 Madison St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 9mo | $142,000 | $130 | 73 |
| 326 Charles St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-4%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $103 | 72 |
| 225 Madison St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (+4%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $78 | 68 |
| 318 W Lincoln Hwy | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,233 (+11%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $89 | 63 |
| 322 W Lincoln Hwy | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,233 (+11%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $138 | 57 |
| 329 Mount Pleasant St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (+14%) | 4mo | $246,000 | $195 | 55 |
| 317 Mount Pleasant St | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,260 (+14%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $187 | 53 |
| 301 Mount Pleasant St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (+14%) | 12mo | $233,000 | $185 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,612
- Equity at exit
- $24,229
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $36,997
- Equity at exit
- $14,050
Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,921 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$852
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,587/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,625
- Closing costs
- $4,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 W Lincoln Hwy Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,100 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 322 Charles St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 342 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,450 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Coatesville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,039 | $2.09 | 19d | 19 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1109 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,766 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2224 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,840 | $1.56 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2209 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1816 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,965 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2216 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,810 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2114 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,719 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1910 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,890 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1407 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,784 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2024 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,925 | $1.63 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 118 N 2nd Ave Apt 9 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $1,595 | $1.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 23 N 2nd Ave Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,685 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1055 W Lincoln Hwy Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $2,600 | $2.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 100 Harlan Dr Coatesville, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 524 Lincoln Hwy E Apt 3F Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 533 Lincoln Hwy E Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,595 | $1.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 92 Virginia Ave Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,850 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 40 Beech St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 633 Coates St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1331 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 749 Oak St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $162,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $162,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $162,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $162,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $162,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 421-char remark
-
2026-05-31$170,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,587 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,587 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,057
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,103
- − Property taxes
- −$3,587
- − Insurance
- −$812
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,845
- − Management
- −$1,845
- − Depreciation
- −$4,727
- Taxable income
- $1,138
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$273
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coatesville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #791
- US rank
- #7996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coatesville, PA
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 55,941
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+169.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-15 Sold (MLS) $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-06-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-06-06 Listed $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,587 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…