330 Young St · Blossom, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the heart of Blossom, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers small-town comfort with everyday convenience. Featuring a spacious den with wood burning fireplace and formal dining area, there is plenty of room for relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy the covered back porch overlooking a large fenced backyard, complete with two storage buildings for added convenience. Just a short walk to Blossom Elementary School, the property is also conveniently close to local churches, restaurants, and shopping. This home offers great potential for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to create their dream home in a quiet community.
Key facts
- Covered back porch
- 0.36 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Detached carport; 2 covered/carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Co-op electric; Individual gas meter
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and a half stories; Residential property
- Construction: Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Other construction materials; Year built not specified
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered porch; Storage; Privacy fence; Large grassy backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary on main level; one bedroom on second level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Fireplace heating; Gas jets; Space heater; Window AC units
- Interior features: Pantry; One living area; Dining area
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (17.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.6% in Blossom — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,116 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Prairiland ISD (rural): math 52% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #167 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Blossom El (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 418 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.22%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $306,872
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 S FM 196 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (-9%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $202 | 77 |
| 610 South St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,562 (-9%) | 3mo | $59,900 | $38 | 71 |
| 453 Private Road 44005 | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,816 (+5%) | 16mo | $389,900 | $215 | 62 |
| 105 E Division St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,576 (-9%) | 13mo | $43,900 | $28 | 57 |
| 635 N Center St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (-3%) | 11mo | $184,900 | $111 | 55 |
| 130 W Division St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,490 (-14%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $121 | 54 |
| 640 N Cedar St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,718 (-0%) | 21mo | $305,000 | $178 | 50 |
| 1025 E Fairview | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (-14%) | 9mo | $287,500 | $194 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $39,861
- Equity at exit
- $108,020
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $125,106
- Equity at exit
- $197,443
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75416
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $-166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,054 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,093 · $258/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,039/yr (+$87/mo · 50.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,054
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$5,015
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $-793/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prairiland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835740
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,652
- Composite
- 43.44/100
- National rank
- #3010
- State rank
- #167 of 826 in TX
Livability — Blossom
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1116
- US rank
- #19760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blossom, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,987
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,319 people
- By 2030
- 47,160 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 44,621 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 42,024 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 36,577 · -24.3%
- By 2100
- 30,580 · -36.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Current HPI
- 202.3527
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $169,000 NTREIS
- 2010-11-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,054 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…