17620 Front Beach Rd Unit SC2 · Panama City Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$257,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully furnished, rental-ready 2-bedroom condo just steps from the sugar-white sand beach. Nestled on the tranquil west end of Panama City Beach, this coastal retreat offers a perfect blend of relaxation and convenience. Inside, you'll find a fully furnished layout designed for comfort and ease, making it the ideal beach getaway or investment property. Enjoy access to two sparkling pools, tennis and pickleball courts, a fitness room, and a spacious community room, all designed to enhance your beachside lifestyle. Whether you're looking to unwind in a serene environment or step into an active rental market, this condo is your gateway to the best of Panama City Beach.
Key facts
- Two sparkling pools
- Tranquil west end
- Fitness room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $258k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-444 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (25.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.6% in Panama City Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#172 in FL, #2,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1249 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $209k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.29%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $317,609
- List price
- $257,500
- Delta
- -18.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-75,689
- Equity at exit
- $38,394
- IRR
- -66.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.73×
- Total profit
- $-124,385
- Equity at exit
- $22,264
Cash invested: $72,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32413
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 1249
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,502 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,350
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$322 /mo · $3,862/yr
- Insurance
- −$107
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$575
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-444
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,375
- Closing costs
- $7,725
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17614 Front Beach Rd Unit 16D Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,600 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 17735 Front Beach Rd Unit 1447171P Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $4,925 | $4.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 17729 Front Beach Rd Unit 1355005P Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $2,038 | $2.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 17545 Front Beach Rd Unit 1523333P Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $6,472 | $5.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 1523371P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $3,862 | $3.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 2E Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 17462 Front Beach Rd Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 127 Heather Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $2,350 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17225 Panama City Beach Pkwy Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,719 | $1.75 | 13d | 10 | 0.92mi |
| 102 Cabana Cay Cir Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,143 | $2.26 | 13d | 26 | 0.97mi |
| 17155 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354915P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,498 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 19610 Alta Vista Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $575 · $6,900/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $257,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $257,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $257,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $257,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $257,500 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $257,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $257,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $257,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $257,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $257,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $257,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $257,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $257,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $257,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $257,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $257,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $257,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $257,500 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully furnished, rental-ready 2-bedroom condo just steps from the sugar-white sand beach. Nestled on the tranquil west end of Panama City Beach, this coastal retreat offers a perfect blend of relaxation and convenience. Inside, you'll find a fully furnished layout designed for comfort and ease, making it the ideal beach getaway or investment property. Enjoy access to two sparkling pools, tennis and pickleball courts, a fitness room, and a spacious community room, all designed to enhance your beachside lifestyle. Whether you're looking to unwind in a serene environment or step into an active rental market, this condo is your gateway to the best of Panama City Beach.
-
2026-03-04price $275,000 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully furnished, rental-ready 2-bedroom condo just steps from the sugar-white sand beach. Nestled on the tranquil west end of Panama City Beach, this coastal retreat offers a perfect blend of relaxation and convenience. Inside, you'll find a fully furnished layout designed for comfort and ease, making it the ideal beach getaway or investment property. Enjoy access to two sparkling pools, tennis and pickleball courts, a fitness room, and a spacious community room, all designed to enhance your beachside lifestyle. Whether you're looking to unwind in a serene environment or step into an active rental market, this condo is your gateway to the best of Panama City Beach.
-
2026-02-10$279,900 Active 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully furnished, rental-ready 2-bedroom condo just steps from the sugar-white sand beach. Nestled on the tranquil west end of Panama City Beach, this coastal retreat offers a perfect blend of relaxation and convenience. Inside, you'll find a fully furnished layout designed for comfort and ease, making it the ideal beach getaway or investment property. Enjoy access to two sparkling pools, tennis and pickleball courts, a fitness room, and a spacious community room, all designed to enhance your beachside lifestyle. Whether you're looking to unwind in a serene environment or step into an active rental market, this condo is your gateway to the best of Panama City Beach.
-
2020-07-24soldstatus $209,000 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Great second home or investment potential right at the front of the community with easy beach access! 2BR/1.5BA beautifully decorated and fully furnished condo is move in ready! Just bring your bathing suit! Stove, microwave and dishwasher are less than 2 years old and the washer and dryer are included! There is a balcony off the Master Bedroom, a covered front porch and a covered back porch. Portside amenities include 3 pools (1 heated), a kiddie pool, hot tub, tennis courts, shuffleboard, and poolside clubhouse. Although this unit has not been rented recently, other similar units in the complex average annual gross rentals of $25,000+. (Mirrored plaque above the sofa does not convey)
-
2020-05-13$222,000 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Great second home or investment potential right at the front of the community with easy beach access! 2BR/1.5BA beautifully decorated and fully furnished condo is move in ready! Just bring your bathing suit! Stove, microwave and dishwasher are less than 2 years old and the washer and dryer are included! There is a balcony off the Master Bedroom, a covered front porch and a covered back porch. Portside amenities include 3 pools (1 heated), a kiddie pool, hot tub, tennis courts, shuffleboard, and poolside clubhouse. Although this unit has not been rented recently, other similar units in the complex average annual gross rentals of $25,000+. (Mirrored plaque above the sofa does not convey)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,424
- − Property taxes
- −$3,862
- − Insurance
- −$2,085
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,402
- − Management
- −$2,402
- − HOA
- −$6,900
- − Depreciation
- −$7,491
- Taxable loss
- −$9,542
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,290
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready 2-bedroom condo offers a serene beachfront location with modern amenities and a well-maintained interior. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate its prime location and updated features.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City Beach
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #2624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City Beach, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 50,689
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,453
- Household income
- $80,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 531.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.97%
- Current HPI
- 354.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.52%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+16.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $257,500 ECAR
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $275,000 ECAR
- 2026-02-10 Listed $279,900 ECAR
- 2020-07-24 Sold (MLS) $209,000 CPARMLS
- 2020-05-13 Listed $222,000 CPARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…