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254 Union St Duplex
C Composite 56.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$295,000

254 Union St · Bennington, VT 05201
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 318 Days on market
Built 1900 5,662 sqft lot Est $254k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained, solid income-producing two-family home located in the heart of town—just steps from shops, dining, and downtown events. Perfect for owner-occupants or savvy investors, this property combines classic charm with modern efficiency and low operating costs. Each two-bedroom unit features spacious, light-filled living areas, eat-in kitchen and comfortable bedrooms. Recent energy-efficient upgrades include newer windows, oil tank, insulation, and high-efficiency heating system, helping to keep utility expenses low while enhancing year-round comfort. The property offers separate utilities, off-street parking, private outdoor space, and a strong rental history

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Off street parking
  • 5,662 sq ft lot

Tags

ENERGY EFFICIENT UPGRADESSEPARATE UTILITIESOFF STREET PARKINGPRIVATE OUTDOOR SPACESTRONG RENTAL HISTORY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Net income reported: $26,060; Operating expenses include heat, trash, water/sewer and other expenses

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water on-site; Public sewer on-site; 200 Amp electrical service; Cable and high-speed internet available, including fiber optic and cable internet; Trash service handled by owner
  • Home design: Freestanding multi-family, multi-level building; Existing construction
  • Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding; Architectural/asphalt shingle roof; Foundation details not provided
  • Exterior features: Interior, level lot in town with sidewalks, street lights, and neighborhood setting; Paved driveway; Public road frontage (public maintained, paved)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes an electric range and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (one on level 1, one on level 2)
  • Flooring: Carpet, laminate, tile, and vinyl plank flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Oil-fired baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished walk-up basement with exterior bulkhead and exterior stairs; basement is dirt floor with no tenant access
  • Laundry & utility: Each unit has laundry hookups; Oil heating provided; heat included for units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $295k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $388/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $295k).
  • Recommended offer: $260k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.4% in Bennington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#63 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 59 units permitted in Bennington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,401/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 982% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bennington County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $295k implies a 490% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $259,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.09%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$254,464
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Grove St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,652 (-8%) 1mo $235,000 $142 68
216 Union St 0.13mi 4/3.0 1,887 (+5%) 20mo $62,000 $33 64
215 School St 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,718 (-4%) 23mo $165,000 $96 58
304-306 Grove St 0.54mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,810 (+1%) 23mo $291,000 $161 44
330 School St 0.55mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,712 (-4%) 24mo $270,000 $158 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,628
Equity at exit
$43,985
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$64,991
Equity at exit
$25,506

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05201

Home prices YoY
-19.3%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
14.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,401 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,547
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,217/yr
Insurance
$123
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$714
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,418
Max offer price $295,000
Occupancy floor 72%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,401

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,750
Closing costs
$8,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $295,000 Active 318 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $295,000 Active 317 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $295,000 Active 316 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $295,000 Active 315 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $295,000 Active 314 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $295,000 Active 312 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $295,000 Active 311 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $295,000 Active 308 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $295,000 Active 307 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $295,000 Active 306 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $295,000 Active 305 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $295,000 Active 302 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $295,000 Active 301 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $295,000 Active 300 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $295,000 Active 299 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $295,000 Active 298 DOM
  17. 2025-08-05
    listed $295,000 Active
  18. 2008-08-29
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,217 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,911 · $326/mo
Expected delta
+$1,694/yr (+$141/mo · 76.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,812
− Mortgage interest
−$16,525
− Property taxes
−$2,217
− Insurance
−$2,142
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,265
− Management
−$3,265
− Depreciation
−$8,582
Taxable income
$4,817
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,156
After-tax cash flow
$8,162/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Bennington

Score
64/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#14446

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bennington, VT
County
Bennington County · 14,998 people
City population
14,998
Metro
Bennington, VT
Population (ZIP)
14,998
Household income
$59,798
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
982.0

Population outlook (Bennington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,407 people
By 2030
32,975 · -4.2%
By 2040
29,711 · -13.6%
By 2050
26,638 · -22.6%
By 2075
21,318 · -38.0%
By 2100
16,086 · -53.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Slovak 7% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bennington

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.5) · D 60.0% · R 37.5% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.9pp toward R · 2008: 33.4pp · 2024: 22.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.5 2020: D+27.3 2016: D+22.1 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+33.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.78%
Current HPI
254.5149
Rent YoY
Metro
Bennington, VT
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+490.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-05 Listed $295,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2008-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,217 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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