2581 Susan Ann Dr · Elida, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 2581 Susan Ann Drive. This large Elida ranch is the home you've been waiting to make your own. Large two car garage, nice yard and space for the entire family to spread out. Priced right with lots of upside, this home won't last. Schedule your showing today!, Under 1 Acre
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1968
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listed by Cowan, Realtors
- Financial info: Annual tax noted
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Residential zoning
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Fireplace; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (24.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (34.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.1% in Elida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in OH, #4,816 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Elida Local (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #311 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $260k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.90%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $254,828
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2568 Susan Ann Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,810 (-6%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $83 | 86 |
| 4795 Sycamore St | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,113 (+10%) | 0mo | $450,000 | $213 | 66 |
| 4956 Pheasant St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,886 (-2%) | 2mo | $226,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 4901 Lobo St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,814 (-5%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $165 | 57 |
| 5126 Pheasant St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,950 (+2%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $133 | 55 |
| 4901 Hummingbird St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,051 (+7%) | 6mo | $237,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 4864 Pheasant St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,702 (-11%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $150 | 52 |
| 4917 Pheasant St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-9%) | 6mo | $223,000 | $127 | 50 |
| 2848 Hummingbird St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,716 (-10%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $119 | 50 |
| 4910 Amaryllis St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,746 (-9%) | 3mo | $290,500 | $166 | 49 |
| 2751 Whippoorwill Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,184 (+14%) | 1mo | $335,900 | $154 | 44 |
| 5031 Daisy Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,672 (-13%) | 4mo | $214,500 | $128 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $118,751
- Equity at exit
- $234,139
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.05×
- Total profit
- $367,551
- Equity at exit
- $504,929
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45807
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,843/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $-357
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-210 | -5% $-284 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-431 | +10% $-505 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-493 | -5% $-425 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-290 | +10% $-222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-227 | -0.5pp $-291 | base $-357 | +0.5pp $-425 | +1.0pp $-493 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $259,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $259,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $259,900 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 600-char remark
-
2026-06-05$259,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,843 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,448 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- +$606/yr (+$50/mo · 21.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,516
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$2,843
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$9,028
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,167
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elida Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904577
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 49.93/100
- National rank
- #1934
- State rank
- #311 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elida
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #4816
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen · 98,169 people
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,631
- Household income
- $74,387
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.3
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,321 people
- By 2030
- 97,693 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 91,802 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 86,152 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 73,659 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 58,716 · -41.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.64%
- Current HPI
- 468.59
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+213.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $259,900 WCARE
- 2022-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-15 Sold (MLS) $165,000 WCARE
- 2022-06-01 Listed $159,900 WCARE
- 1994-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,843 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…