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90 Armin Pl Duplex
B- Composite 67.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,900

90 Armin Pl · Buffalo, NY 14210
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,260 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1928 5,075 sqft lot $133/sqft · 18% below area Est $367k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Hands down one of the finest two-family homes in South Buffalo, this completely gutted and fully remodeled showstopper is truly move-in ready. Perfect for investors or owner-occupants alike, both the upper and lower units have been thoughtfully redesigned with high-end finishes and modern conveniences throughout. Each unit features a stunning brand new eat-in kitchen complete with custom soft-close cabinetry with crown molding, full-extension drawers, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, and all-new flooring. The beautifully updated bathrooms showcase striking ceramic wave-tile tub/shower surrounds and quartz-topped vanities, blending style and sophistication.

Key facts

  • Fully remodeled
  • Granite countertops
  • 5,075 sq ft lot

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDBRAND NEW EAT-IN KITCHENCUSTOM SOFT-CLOSE CABINETRYGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCERAMIC WAVE-TILE TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Multi-family property with 2 units; Each unit has separate gas and electric meters; Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance (structure and general), trash, and water/sewer; Owner pays trash collection and water; rent includes trash collection and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached garage with approximately 2.5 spaces; Paved parking; Multiple parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Public water connection; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: 2-story property; Existing structure
  • Construction: Composite siding; Copper and PEX plumbing; Architectural shingle roof; Block and poured foundation; Resale condition
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Covered and open porch; Fully fenced yard; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Microwave; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room
  • Bedrooms: Each unit has 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varied flooring types
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full bathroom in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Storage space; Natural woodwork; Programmable thermostat; Leaded glass windows; Thermal windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater; Satellite dish

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $116/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $259k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,589/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $300k implies a 837% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $258,900 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.12%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$366,997
List price
$299,900
Delta
-18.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Armin Pl 0.04mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,366 (+5%) 1mo $235,000 $99 85
28 Paul Pl 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,144 (-5%) 0mo $230,000 $107 77
48 Ryan St 0.29mi 4/2.0 2,084 (-8%) 8mo $213,000 $102 67
81 Melrose St 0.51mi 4/2.0 2,116 (-6%) 5mo $264,000 $125 62
218 Stevenson St 0.24mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,552 (+13%) 7mo $145,000 $57 57
89 Melrose St 0.49mi 4/2.0 2,038 (-10%) 7mo $318,000 $156 55
116 Melrose St 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,001 (-12%) 8mo $223,000 $111 54
71 Buffum St 0.69mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,136 (-6%) 6mo $160,000 $75 48
132 Weiss St 0.65mi 4/2.0 2,484 (+10%) 6mo $165,000 $66 48
120 Weiss St 0.63mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,040 (-10%) 2mo $80,000 $39 48
129 Gorski St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,054 (-9%) 7mo $130,000 $63 44
204 Cable St 0.69mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,047 (-9%) 7mo $190,000 $93 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$191,713
Equity at exit
$270,174
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
7.99×
Total profit
$586,567
Equity at exit
$582,640

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
19.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,589 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $713/yr
Insurance
$125
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$544
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,294
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $402 -5% $318 +0% $233 +5% $148 +10% $63
Rent -10% $28 -5% $130 +0% $233 +5% $335 +10% $437
Rate -1.0pp $384 -0.5pp $309 base $233 +0.5pp $155 +1.0pp $76

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,589

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
181 Willett St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2704 $1,550 $0.57 2d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    listed $300,000 Active 1896-char remark
  2. 2025-09-18
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$713 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,891 · $241/mo
Expected delta
+$2,178/yr (+$181/mo · 305.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,068
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$713
− Insurance
−$2,166
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,485
− Management
−$2,485
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$2,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$553
After-tax cash flow
$3,345/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+837.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $299,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $300,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $713 · +31.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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