2420 Juniper St · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice-sized ranch home with classic features. 3-bedrooms, 1-bath, and an eat-in kitchen. Needs work. Seller to make no repairs.
Key facts
- 5,262 sq ft lot
- Built 1961
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA fees listed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Detached ranch; Single-story; Crawl foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Back fenced yard; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast area (kitchen-adjacent)
- Bedrooms: First-floor master bedroom; Bedroom and full bathroom on first floor
- Flooring: Ceramic flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceramic and vinyl flooring; Attic; Breakfast area; Porch; Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Coleman Place Elementary (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,046 of 1,108 statewide, top 95%, 617 students, 98% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.83%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $282,216
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2420 Juniper St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,069 (0%) | 1mo | $149,999 | $140 | 99 |
| 4741 Krick St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-2%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $176 | 82 |
| 2413 Hemlock St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+2%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $270 | 81 |
| 3760 Larkin St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,068 (-0%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $286 | 71 |
| 2814 Glen Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-1%) | 4mo | $196,000 | $186 | 70 |
| 2429 Wyoming Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (+2%) | 3mo | $143,000 | $131 | 63 |
| 2719 Overbrook Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $264 | 63 |
| 1558 Norcova Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (+11%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $207 | 62 |
| 2404 Nevada Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,013 (-5%) | 2mo | $319,999 | $316 | 58 |
| 3708 Tait Ter | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,158 (+8%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $246 | 55 |
| 4885 Beamon Rd | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,177 (+10%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $268 | 44 |
| 3753 Davis St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-15%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $274 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,094
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $20,289
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23513
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,685 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,497/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Apt 210 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 105 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4670 Kincaid Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4505 Cape Henry Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1562 Norcova Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4745 Lind St Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4745 Lind St Unit B Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2640 Azalea Garden Rd Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1445 Norcova Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3044 Sewells Point Rd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,134 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3477 E Bonner Dr Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $2,000 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1371 E Norcova Dr Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,750 | $1.81 | 7d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3507 Cape Henry Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,200 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1525 Nevada Ave Unit B Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,445 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1323 W Norcova Dr Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2421 Arkansas Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,225 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3305 Herbert St Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,750 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3640 Robin Hood Rd Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,999 | $2.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3400 Lafayette Blvd #2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2721 Grandy Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4802 Norvella Ave Unit 1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4566 Hampshire Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,350 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2400 Ballentine Blvd Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $1,550 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2815 Keller Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $2,250 | $1.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2949 Verdun Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,000 | $3.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2900 Verdun Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,800 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir Unit B 1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir #1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3819 Pamlico Cir Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1232 Norview Ave Unit NOR1232R-EA Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3801 Chatham Cir Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3541 Mangrove Ave Unit 8 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3326 Sandy St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,695 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6225 Alexander St Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,299 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3521 Brest Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6225 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,499 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2405 Lafayette Blvd Unit A Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-01status Under Contract
-
2026-04-29$149,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,497 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,497 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,497
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,618
- − Management
- −$1,618
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $974
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$234
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,628
- Household income
- $68,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1342.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.67%
- Current HPI
- 329.2241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $149,999 REINMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,497 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…