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121 Bradley Dr
B+ Composite 75.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

121 Bradley Dr · Montgomery, AL 36109
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,083 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1951 8,276 sqft lot Est $76k · 35% under ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Under contract at listing.

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • Separate laundry
  • Large kitchen

Tags

BRICK HOMELIVING ROOM WITH A FIREPLACELARGE KITCHENSEPARATE LAUNDRYNEW PLUMBINGNEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Basement foundation; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Basement foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Storage; City lot with mature trees; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 150

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with dining combo
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first level
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Linen closet; Tile and wood flooring; Unfinished basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
  • Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $49k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
21.41%
Cash-on-cash
54.00%
DSCR
3.40
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$75,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 Oak Forest Dr 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,110 (+2%) 2mo $46,500 $42 78
137 Oak Forest Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,183 (+9%) 0mo $47,000 $40 76
2318 Winona Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,118 (+3%) 2mo $89,000 $80 66
111 Bradley Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,222 (+13%) 8mo $8,000 $7 66
3010 Althea St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,186 (+10%) 7mo $40,000 $34 65
3405 Vermont Dr 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,061 (-2%) 6mo $88,000 $83 63
302 Whetstone Dr 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,025 (-5%) 8mo $72,000 $70 63
3 Oak Frst 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 940 (-13%) 2mo $105,000 $112 58
2414 Chapman St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,026 (-5%) 4mo $39,000 $38 55
2050 Yancey Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 8mo $95,000 $91 49
2933 Willow Lane Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,234 (+14%) 6mo $121,000 $98 48
238 Easthaven Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,188 (+10%) 5mo $77,900 $66 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.8%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$30,970
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
56.9%
Equity multiple
6.53×
Total profit
$75,920
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36109

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,170 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $350/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$617

Break-even live

Break-even rent $388
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
319 Olivia Ct Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $700 $0.82 21d 1 0.06mi
122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $975 $0.89 21d 1 0.07mi
301 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 841 $935 $1.11 13d 1 0.14mi
311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1104 $825 $0.75 43d 1 0.19mi
15 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1365 $1,500 $1.10 21d 1 0.22mi
7 Calhoun Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 961 $850 $0.88 43d 1 0.41mi
2229 Madison Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $625 $0.57 43d 1 0.46mi
3233 Hillcrest Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,395 $1.09 21d 1 0.50mi
3319 Willow Lane Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,200 $1.16 43d 1 0.52mi
2310 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1212 $1,250 $1.03 43d 1 0.53mi
2113 Brewton St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1363 $1,150 $0.84 43d 1 0.53mi
3329 Vermont Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1465 $1,395 $0.95 13d 1 0.53mi
2243 Winona Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1492 $1,225 $0.82 21d 1 0.54mi
3334 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1025 $1,295 $1.26 13d 1 0.58mi
108 Calhoun Rd Unit 108B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1350 $750 $0.56 43d 1 0.60mi
239 Forest Hills Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.5 1500 $1,450 $0.97 21d 1 0.65mi
3515 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1246 $1,350 $1.08 43d 1 0.74mi
2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1052 $725 $0.69 43d 1 0.75mi
2009 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,080 $0.95 21d 1 0.79mi
67 Holliday Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,200 $1.04 43d 1 0.80mi
3136 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1355 $1,025 $0.76 43d 1 0.80mi
1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,600 $1.50 13d 1 0.83mi
1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,600 $1.50 43d 1 0.83mi
200 Eton Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1500 $895 $0.60 13d 1 0.83mi
2009 Palmetto St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1487 $1,050 $0.71 43d 1 0.84mi
2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 889 $895 $1.01 43d 1 0.84mi
186 E Salem Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 21d 1 0.86mi
517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 43d 1 0.92mi
3602 Little John Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.0 1286 $1,400 $1.09 21d 1 0.92mi
118 Nottingham Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,275 $0.95 43d 1 0.93mi
424 N California St Apt D Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $778 $0.92 21d 1 0.94mi
3323 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,200 $1.06 21d 1 0.96mi
2000 Cherry St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1106 $950 $0.86 43d 1 0.97mi
3346 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,295 $1.14 13d 1 1.01mi
39 S Lewis St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1209 $950 $0.79 43d 1 1.06mi
688 Joryne Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 43d 1 1.09mi
2454 Spruce Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 43d 1 1.10mi
3318 Habersham Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,250 $1.10 13d 1 1.11mi
3456 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 43d 1 1.13mi
1117 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1308 $1,195 $0.91 43d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 335-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $49,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$350 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$350 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,035
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$350
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$7,024
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,686
After-tax cash flow
$5,723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,581
Household income
$59,193
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
1039.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.64%
Current HPI
149.3867
Rent YoY
▲ 2.65%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $49,000 MAAR
  • 2015-09-22 Sold (MLS) $23,000 MAAR
  • 2015-09-10 Listed $23,000 MAAR
  • 2013-03-20 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MAAR
  • 2013-01-08 Listed $24,900 MAAR
  • 2012-01-31 Listed $24,000 MAAR
  • 2005-03-03 Sold (MLS) $64,500 MAAR
  • 2005-01-20 Listed $67,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $350 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…