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Heather Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 30.83
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +4.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$380,800

Heather Plan · Kansas City, MO 64157
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,518 sqft · SingleFamily · 247 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Our Heather home plan is the perfect ranch plan, greeted immediately by a large great room featuring an open-concept kitchen, dining, and living room space. The primary bedroom is located on the main level, at the back of the home, with a private bathroom featuring a stunning walk-in shower and a large walk-in closet. The main floor also features the 2nd and 3rd bedrooms, which are conveniently located next to the full bath and laundry room. Looking for additional space? Consider finishing the lower level to include a rec room, additional 1-2 bedrooms, and an extra bathroom, enhancing the versatility and functionality of your home.

Key facts

  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Walk-in closet
  • Laundry room

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENPRIVATE BATHROOMWALK-IN SHOWERWALK-IN CLOSETFULL BATHLAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $380,800 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $441,699.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $381k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (24.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (33.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $253k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Liberty 53 (suburban): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 324 in MO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Warren Hills Elem. (math 48% / reading 60%, grade C, #215 of 1,115 statewide, top 20%, 603 students, 20% FRL); South Valley Middle (math 33% / reading 53%, grade D-, #134 of 391 statewide, top 35%, 791 students, 18% FRL); Liberty North High School (math 25% / reading 75%, grade D+, #116 of 521 statewide, top 22%, 2,326 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $252,919 (33.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
3.43%
Cash-on-cash
-10.23%
DSCR
0.54
GRM
14.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$441,699
List price
$380,800
Delta
-13.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11119 N Crescent Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,518 (0%) 0mo $446,020 $294 94
9420 NE 111th Pl 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,649 (+9%) 0mo $476,957 $289 81
11424 N Ditzler Ave 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,572 (+4%) 2mo $325,000 $207 67
8916 NE 114th Ter 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+3%) 2mo $268,800 $172 66
8903 NE 109th St 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,584 (+4%) 0mo $340,000 $215 63
11027 N Mckinley Ave 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,521 (+0%) 2mo $359,000 $236 63
9319 NE 116th Ter 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,472 (-3%) 1mo $335,000 $228 62
11114 N Lewis Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,469 (-3%) 2mo $300,000 $204 57
11502 N Laurel Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-10%) 2mo $343,000 $252 54
11428 N Farley Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,652 (+9%) 2mo $325,000 $197 49
10727 N Lane Ave 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,733 (+14%) 2mo $369,950 $213 48
8637 NE 112th St 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,737 (+14%) 1mo $340,000 $196 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.4%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-125,326
Equity at exit
$65,859
10-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
-0.09×
Total profit
$-134,615
Equity at exit
$38,190

Cash invested: $123,676 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
9 active · 32 under contract
Months of supply
1.3 mo (74%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$380,200 ($239/sqft)
Median days on market
136 d
This list price
56% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+22.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 64157

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Rents YoY
9.5%
Active inventory
287
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,529 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,316
Tax est. 1.5%
$552 /mo · $6,625/yr
Insurance
$184
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$531
Net cashflow
$-1,054

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,864
Max offer price $289,124
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-749 -5% $-902 +0% $-1,054 +5% $-1,207 +10% $-1,360
Rent -10% $-1,254 -5% $-1,154 +0% $-1,054 +5% $-955 +10% $-855
Rate -1.0pp $-832 -0.5pp $-942 base $-1,054 +0.5pp $-1,169 +1.0pp $-1,285

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$110,425
Closing costs
$13,251
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11108 N Lewis Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1494 $2,076 $1.39 11d 1 0.67mi
11624 N Manning Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,250 $1.50 20d 1 0.78mi
11624 N Manning Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,400 $1.60 37d 1 0.78mi
8810 NE 116th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.5 1782 $2,416 $1.36 28d 1 0.82mi
8952 NE 116th Pl Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.5 2071 $2,541 $1.23 93d 1 0.82mi
8519 NE 110th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1534 $2,335 $1.52 11d 1 0.91mi
11500 N Wallace Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.5 1156 $2,250 $1.95 11d 1 1.03mi
8505 NE 105th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.5 1744 $2,156 $1.24 15d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $380,800 Active 247 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $380,800 Active 246 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $380,800 Active 245 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $380,800 Active 244 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $380,800 Active 243 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $380,800 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $380,800 Active 239 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $380,800 Active 238 DOM
  9. 2026-07-30
    days on market $380,800 Active 237 DOM
  10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $380,800 Active 236 DOM
  11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $380,800 Active 234 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $380,800 Active 232 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $380,800 Active 231 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $380,800 Active 230 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $380,800 Active 229 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $380,800 Active 228 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $380,800 Active 226 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $380,800 Active 225 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $380,800 Active 224 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $380,800 Active 223 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $380,800 Active 222 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $380,800 Active 221 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $380,800 Active 220 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $380,800 Active 219 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $380,800 Active 218 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $380,800 Active 217 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $380,800 Active 215 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $380,800 Active 214 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $380,800 Active 213 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $380,800 Active 211 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $380,800 Active 210 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $380,800 Active 209 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $380,800 Active 208 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $380,800 Active 207 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $380,800 Active 206 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $380,800 Active 205 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $380,800 Active 204 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $380,800 Active 202 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $380,800 Active 200 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $380,800 Active 199 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $380,800 Active 196 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $380,800 Active 195 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $380,800 Active 194 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $380,800 Active 193 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $380,800 Active 191 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $380,800 Active 187 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $380,800 Active 186 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $380,800 Active 185 DOM
  49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $380,800 Active 181 DOM
  50. 2026-06-02
    days on market $380,800 Active 180 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,350
− Mortgage interest
−$24,742
− Property taxes
−$6,625
− Insurance
−$2,208
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,428
− Management
−$2,428
− Depreciation
−$12,849
Taxable loss
−$20,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,023
After-tax cash flow
$-7,630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained ranch-style home with a modern design and open floor plan is ready for immediate move-in. It offers a good condition score and potential for minor updates to increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Updating the flooring in the bedrooms — Carpeted floors in bedrooms can be replaced with hardwood or tile for a more modern look and easier maintenance.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 49/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Warren Hills Elem. C MO #215/1,115 Nat'l #10,700/41,679 Middle South Valley Middle D- MO #134/391 Nat'l #5,160/14,009 High Liberty North High School D+ MO #116/521 Nat'l #5,448/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liberty 53
NCES district ID
2918540
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$78,226
Composite
45.41/100
National rank
#2624
State rank
#24 of 324 in MO
B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Clay County · 266,022 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
23,030
Household income
$149,526
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
17% of renters

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
266,022 people
By 2030
280,057 · +5.3%
By 2040
306,153 · +15.1%
By 2050
328,630 · +23.5%
By 2075
375,182 · +41.0%
By 2100
392,861 · +47.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $380,800 Zillow
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $394,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…