40 W Chesapeake Ave · Crisfield, MD 21817

$85,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,222 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market

Built 1900 0.26 ac lot $70/sqft · 41% below area Est $144k · 41% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0

Listing remarks

Classic 2-bedroom home with oversized yard space, solid bones, and room to make it your own near downtown Crisfield. Set on a generous lot with a wide front lawn and expansive backyard, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home gives you the chance to create value while enjoying the character of a traditional Eastern Shore property. Inside, the living room and bedrooms are well-sized to provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or work-from-home space. The kitchen and bathroom are functional and ready for everyday use, with plenty of opportunity for cosmetic updates and customization over time. Throughout the home, you’ll find a layout that offers a strong starting point for renovations without losi

Key facts

• Modern kitchen
• Oversized island
• 0.26 acre lot

Tags

• MODERN KITCHEN
• DEDICATED WORK-FROM-HOME SPACE
• COMMUTER-FRIENDLY ACCESS
• ABUNDANT CABINET STORAGE
• OVERSIZED ISLAND
• PRIVATE BALCONY SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in a federal flood zone; Property is in city limits (Crisfield)

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
• Home design: Detached single-family; 2 floors; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
• Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Stick-built; Block foundation with crawl space; Asphalt roof; Storm windows
• Exterior features: Cleared lot; Enclosed outdoor living area (porch/patio); Above-grade structures

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Window air conditioning units (electric); Electric hot water
• Interior features: Storm doors; Estimated living area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $66k (22.4% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
• Recommended offer: $66k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 1.5% in Crisfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#199 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Somerset County Public Schools (town): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #22 of 24 in MD (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Carter G Woodson Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #477 of 860 statewide, top 59%, 508 students, 75% FRL); Crisfield Academy And High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #154 of 222 statewide, top 70%, 350 students, 65% FRL).
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Somerset County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $38k; list at $85k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $65,919 (22.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.06%
• DSCR: 1.71
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $144,325
• List price: $85,000
• Delta: -41.11%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
40 Maple St	0.10mi	2/1.0	1,260 (+3%)	7mo	$60,000	$48	84
113 2nd St	0.22mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,224 (+0%)	11mo	$148,000	$121	76
328 Pine St	0.32mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,152 (-6%)	2mo	$89,000	$77	68
208 Cove St	0.27mi	2/1.0	1,344 (+10%)	8mo	$77,777	$58	65
52 Maryland Ave	0.37mi	2/2.0	1,344 (+10%)	2mo	$142,500	$106	60
206 Maryland Ave	0.33mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,120 (-8%)	5mo	$162,000	$145	58
26404 Franklin Ln	0.51mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,284 (+5%)	0mo	$215,000	$167	56
313 Broadway	0.32mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,400 (+15%)	2mo	$40,000	$29	54
26547 Old State Rd	0.67mi	2/1.5	1,284 (+5%)	9mo	$250,000	$195	51
3727 Georges Ln	0.54mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,129 (-8%)	12mo	$45,000	$40	47
4 Hudson St	0.44mi	2/2.0	1,366 (+12%)	12mo	$98,000	$72	46
18 Wynfall Ave	0.51mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,392 (+14%)	6mo	$196,000	$141	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.67×
• Total profit: $39,655
• Equity at exit: $76,575

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.8%
• Equity multiple: 6.15×
• Total profit: $122,668
• Equity at exit: $165,136

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 21817

• Home prices YoY: 7.3%
• Active inventory: 92
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,071 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$446
• Tax from tax record: −$46 /mo · $556/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$225
• Net cashflow: $-108

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,208

Max offer price $65,919

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,250
• Closing costs: $2,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   price $85,000 Active 34 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
16. 2026-05-14
    listed $95,000 Active 1751-char remark
17. 2017-03-31
    historical
18. 2016-07-11
    listed $69,500
19. 2005-02-28
    historical
20. 2004-04-13
    listed $69,500
21. 2004-03-22
    soldstatus $38,500
22. 2003-10-03
    listed $38,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $556 · $46/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $741 · $62/mo
• Expected delta: +$185/yr (+$15/mo · 33.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,852
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,761
• − Property taxes: −$556
• − Insurance: −$5,544
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,028
• − Management: −$1,028
• − Depreciation: −$2,473
• Taxable loss: −$2,539
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$609
• After-tax cash flow: $-687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Somerset County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400570
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 23% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $38,810
• Composite: 14.73/100
• National rank: #9396
• State rank: #22 of 24 in MD

Livability — Crisfield

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #199
• US rank: #9181

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Crisfield, MD
• Population (ZIP): 4,102

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,474 people
• By 2030: 23,547 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 21,498 · -12.2%
• By 2050: 20,427 · -16.5%
• By 2075: 16,594 · -32.2%
• By 2100: 12,132 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

• 2024 margin: R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.5% · Other 2.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: -17.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+17.9 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 19.92%
• Current HPI: 292.866
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

+120.8% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Price Changed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-14 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2017-03-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2016-07-11 Listed $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
• 2005-02-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2004-04-13 Listed $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
• 2004-03-22 Sold (MLS) $38,500 BRIGHT MLS
• 2003-10-03 Listed $38,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-4.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $556 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.