300 SE Goodnight Ave #74 · Corvallis, OR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.5
$73,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 938 sq ft 2bd 2ba manufactured home completely remodeled in 2019 in a clean park. Good functional floor plan with bedroom and bath on each side of the home 1 with tub & standing shower and 1 with standing shower. The kitchen offers great counter space, bar seating, and plenty of cabinet storage, making it ideal for cooking and entertaining. Primary bedroom has walk in closet. Washer and dryer hookups. Large deck. Lot has a separate storage area. Near bus line, parks, walking trails & OSU.
Key facts
- Completely remodeled
- Walk in closet
- Bar seating
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $73k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (331 students, 45% FRL); Linus Pauling Middle School (768 students, 45% FRL); Corvallis High School (1,284 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $505 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.99%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,000
- List price
- $73,000
- Delta
- -39.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 SE Goodnight Ave #82 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-2%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $43 | 88 |
| 300 SE Goodnight Ave #56 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+8%) | 5mo | $51,000 | $51 | 74 |
| 2010 SW 3rd #24 St | 0.76mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-2%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $130 | 56 |
| 2010 SW 3rd St #24 | 0.76mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-2%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $130 | 56 |
| 3277 SE Midvale Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+19%) | 10mo | $349,000 | $313 | 41 |
| 388 SW Butterfield Pl | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+15%) | 8mo | $319,900 | $296 | 32 |
| 2010 SW 3rd St #19 | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 756 (-19%) | 16mo | $69,000 | $91 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $22,391
- Equity at exit
- $10,885
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $62,225
- Equity at exit
- $6,312
Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.5 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $86,500 ($86/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 129 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +48.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97333
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$383
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $578/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $545
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $586 | -5% $565 | +0% $545 | +5% $524 | +10% $503 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $444 | -5% $495 | +0% $545 | +5% $595 | +10% $645 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $582 | -0.5pp $563 | base $545 | +0.5pp $526 | +1.0pp $507 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,250
- Closing costs
- $2,190
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2665 SW Pickford St Unit CNV 57 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,395 | $1.85 | 93d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 900 SE Centerpointe Dr Corvallis, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,662 | $1.74 | 93d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2567 SW Pickford St Unit C Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 93d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3460 SE Midvale Dr Corvallis, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 858 | $1,610 | $1.88 | 93d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 100 SE Viewmont Ave Unit 110-A Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,550 | $1.44 | 93d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 445 SW Tunison Ave Unit 445-13 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,395 | $1.84 | 93d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2000 SE Bethel St Corvallis, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $2,325 | $2.48 | 93d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 350 SE Lilly Ave Apt 3 Corvallis, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,395 | $2.33 | 93d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 325 SE Lilly Ave Unit A Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 856 | $1,525 | $1.78 | 93d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1750 SE Crystal Lake Dr Unit 1750-E Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,499 | $1.57 | 93d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1680 SE Crystal Lake Dr Unit 1680-E Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,499 | $1.57 | 93d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $73,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $73,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $73,000 Active 169 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $73,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $73,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $73,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $73,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $73,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $73,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $73,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $73,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $73,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $73,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $73,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $73,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $73,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $73,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $73,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $73,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $73,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $73,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $73,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $73,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $73,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $73,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $73,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $73,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $73,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $73,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $73,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $73,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $73,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $73,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $73,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $73,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $73,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $73,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $73,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $73,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $73,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $73,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $73,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $73,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $73,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $73,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $73,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $73,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $73,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $73,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $73,000 Active 105 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $578 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $708 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$130/yr (+$11/mo · 22.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,089
- − Property taxes
- −$578
- − Insurance
- −$365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$2,124
- Taxable income
- $5,683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,364
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The home is in fair condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. It has good bathrooms and a decent layout, but could benefit from fresh paint and landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck — Some wear and tear visible on the wooden deck.
- Minor Landscaping — Some overgrown areas in the yard.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Rental Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard can attract more tenants and increase rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corvallis SD 509J
- NCES district ID
- 4103480
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,820
- Composite
- 48.62/100
- National rank
- #4584
- State rank
- #15 of 183 in OR
Livability — Corvallis
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #1113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corvallis, OR
- County
- Benton County · 96,963 people
- City population
- 67,812
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,934
- Household income
- $65,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,963 people
- By 2030
- 101,658 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 110,157 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 119,275 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 145,172 · +49.7%
- By 2100
- 165,349 · +70.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -376.98%
- Current HPI
- 309.2734
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+254.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Listed $78,000 WVMLS
- 2022-02-24 Sold (MLS) $60,000 WVMLS
- 2022-01-17 Pending — WVMLS
- 2022-01-08 Listed $60,000 WVMLS
- 2019-04-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 WVMLS
- 2019-04-08 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2019-03-30 Price Changed $46,000 WVMLS
- 2019-02-22 Listed $50,000 WVMLS
- 1995-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $578 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…