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217 Rogers Ave
C- Composite 50.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$99,500

217 Rogers Ave · Harrison, AR 72601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1970 4,329 sqft lot Est $121k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2BR 1BA home within walking distance of downtown Harrison. Central heat and air, metal roof, insulated windows, fenced back yard, large shade trees. Currently used as a rental, would make a great investment property or a very economical home to live in.

Key facts

  • Central heating
  • Metal roof
  • Off street parking

Tags

CENTRAL HEATINGMETAL ROOFNEWER WINDOWSDOUBLE PANE WINDOWSOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-142/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $74k (25.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#52 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Harrison School District (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #11 of 238 in AR (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Harrison Middle School (math 57% / reading 58%, grade B, #16 of 201 statewide, top 8%, 830 students, 49% FRL); Harrison High School (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D-, #27 of 292 statewide, top 10%, 868 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 443 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $73,737 (25.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.51%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
704 S Ash St 0.30mi 2/1.0 824 (+1%) 0mo $72,655 $88 84
715 Sycamore St 0.12mi 2/1.0 854 (+5%) 5mo $141,500 $166 83
703 Ash St 0.32mi 2/1.0 808 (-1%) 2mo $124,000 $153 82
418 N Robinson St 0.72mi 2/1.0 816 (0%) 7mo $100,000 $123 60
909 S Ash St 0.46mi 2/1.0 798 (-2%) 19mo $122,000 $153 59
416 Walnut St 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+12%) 14mo $72,500 $79 58
501 E Milam Ave 0.32mi 1/1.0 (-1) 764 (-6%) 14mo $45,000 $59 58
217 S Spruce St 0.66mi 2/1.0 840 (+3%) 12mo $137,000 $163 54
723 W Stephenson Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 816 (0%) 14mo $112,000 $137 49
514 Gordon Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 924 (+13%) 19mo $120,000 $130 48
712 Sunset Ln 0.71mi 2/1.0 924 (+13%) 7mo $137,000 $148 39
308 Glines Ct 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (+13%) 18mo $156,000 $169 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-12,366
Equity at exit
$19,684
10-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-7,846
Equity at exit
$17,166

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72601

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
443
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$737 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $373/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$155
Net cashflow
$-12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $97,409
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $44 -5% $16 +0% $-12 +5% $-40 +10% $-68
Rent -10% $-70 -5% $-41 +0% $-12 +5% $17 +10% $46
Rate -1.0pp $38 -0.5pp $13 base $-12 +0.5pp $-38 +1.0pp $-64

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1101 N Cherry St Unit A Harrison, AR 2.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 45d 1 1.13mi
851 State Highway 123 Harrison, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 721 $725 $1.00 45d 21 1.19mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-24
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-09
    historical
  4. 2026-02-04
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-14
    listed $99,500 Active
  6. 2024-09-04
    soldstatus $170,000
  7. 2024-08-30
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    2BR 1BA home within walking distance of downtown Harrison. Central heat and air, metal roof, insulated windows, fenced back yard, large shade trees. Currently used as a rental, would make a great investment property or a very economical home to live in.

  8. 2024-07-23
    historical 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    2BR 1BA home within walking distance of downtown Harrison. Central heat and air, metal roof, insulated windows, fenced back yard, large shade trees. Currently used as a rental, would make a great investment property or a very economical home to live in.

  9. 2024-06-19
    listed $95,000 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    2BR 1BA home within walking distance of downtown Harrison. Central heat and air, metal roof, insulated windows, fenced back yard, large shade trees. Currently used as a rental, would make a great investment property or a very economical home to live in.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$373 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$637 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$263/yr (+$22/mo · 70.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,848
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$373
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$708
− Management
−$708
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable loss
−$1,906
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$457
After-tax cash flow
$315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison School District
NCES district ID
0507380
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,726
Composite
44.51/100
National rank
#2796
State rank
#11 of 238 in AR

Livability — Harrison

Score
70/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#7654

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrison, AR
Population (ZIP)
30,180

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,238 people
By 2030
36,808 · -1.2%
By 2040
35,597 · -4.4%
By 2050
34,197 · -8.2%
By 2075
30,503 · -18.1%
By 2100
25,797 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.7% · R 81.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -65.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.0 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.92%
Current HPI
247.043
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Delisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $99,500 NWARMLS
  • 2024-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2024-08-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-07-23 Delisted NWARMLS
  • 2024-06-19 Listed $95,000 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $373 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…