2873 Ellison Ave · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits! This property is a blank canvas with endless potential. Recently rented, it offers a proven rental history for investors looking to expand their portfolio, while also providing homeowners the chance to customize and create their ideal living space. Bring your vision and make it your own! AMA. Square footage from assessor's site.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1924
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Electricity available on property; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Built in 1924; Living area about 1,348 square feet; Not new / not a model
- Construction: Block foundation; Composition roof; Original construction circa 1924
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Lot is sloped and approximately 0.15 acres; Lot dimensions roughly E 50 ft & N 14 ft STR VAC 50 x 131
Interior
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main floor; Second bedroom on the main floor; Third bedroom on the second floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement (below grade area present); No fireplaces; Carpet, concrete and wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Miller Park Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #471 of 502 statewide, top 95%, 390 students, 0% FRL); North High School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #247 of 261 statewide, top 95%, 1,796 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,609/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1913% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.75%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $89,539
- Equity at exit
- $80,178
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 10.33×
- Total profit
- $232,491
- Equity at exit
- $172,907
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68111
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,609 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,547/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $639
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2873 Kansas Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5348 N 25th St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2436 Laurel Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1582 | $1,495 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6124 N 30th St Unit STREET2 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,075 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2416 Fowler Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2169 | $1,950 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2723 Newport Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3901 Curtis Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4201 N 22nd St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,545 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4707 N 40th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4125 N 19th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,532 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3030 Ernst St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4026 Bauman Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3501 Weber Cir Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 10d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4240 Fowler Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $1,895 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3708 Florence Blvd Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7608 N 29th St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3366 Craig Ave Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,511 | $1.21 | 19d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 350-char remark
-
2026-06-08$89,000 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,547 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,547 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,547
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,545
- − Management
- −$1,545
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $6,655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,597
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,210
- Household income
- $42,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1913.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 3% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.82%
- Current HPI
- 358.7174
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $89,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,547 · +20.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…