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1252 Jefferson St
C Composite 56.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

1252 Jefferson St · Parks, PA 15690
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 210 Days on market
Built 1922 3,049 sqft lot $98/sqft · 71% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • Kiski river views
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

KISKI RIVER VIEWSREMODELEDUPDATED KITCHENFENCED IN BACKYARDMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($205/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kiski Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #247 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kiski Area East Primary Sch (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #883 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 423 students, 100% FRL); Kiski Area Ihs (math 20% / reading 56%, grade F, #283 of 512 statewide, top 57%, 543 students, 56% FRL); Kiski Area Hs (math 58%, 1,126 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 35% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $99k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.62%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,803
List price
$99,000
Delta
71.27%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1290 Jefferson St 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+5%) 16mo $114,000 $108 69
1117 Clarion Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,048 (+4%) 22mo $120,000 $115 56
233 Sherman Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 900 (-11%) 15mo $65,000 $72 51
322 Chestnut St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,150 (+14%) 3mo $37,500 $33 41
508 Mckinley Ave 0.73mi 2/1.5 1,152 (+14%) 10mo $165,000 $143 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$55,013
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
6.81×
Total profit
$161,157
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15690

Home prices YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$872 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $534/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $850
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $73 -5% $45 +0% $17 +5% $-11 +10% $-39
Rent -10% $-52 -5% $-17 +0% $17 +5% $52 +10% $86
Rate -1.0pp $67 -0.5pp $42 base $17 +0.5pp $-9 +1.0pp $-35

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
121 McKinley Ave Unit 121-B Vandergrift, PA 2.0 1.0 1064 $850 $0.80 45d 1 0.35mi
121 McKinley Ave Vandergrift, PA 2.0 1.0 1064 $795 $0.75 9d 1 0.35mi
148 Grant Ave Vandergrift, PA 1.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 16d 1 0.36mi
148 Grant Ave Apt F Vandergrift, PA 1.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 19d 1 0.37mi
434 Mckinley Ave Vandergrift - WML, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 933 $1,098 $1.18 3d 3 0.61mi
1005 Hancock Ave Vandergrift, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,395 $1.00 19d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 210 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 209 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 208 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 207 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 205 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 201 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 200 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 199 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 196 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 195 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 194 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 193 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 192 DOM
  14. 2026-04-11
    price $99,000 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

  15. 2026-02-20
    price $105,000 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

  16. 2025-12-29
    price $110,000 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

  17. 2025-12-03
    price $115,000 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

  18. 2025-11-20
    status Active 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

  19. 2025-11-20
    price $120,000 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

  20. 2025-11-19
    listed $129,900 Active 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled two-story colonial with Kiski River Views. Completely remodeled and move in ready, this charming 2-story offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, & spectacular views. Located in the Kiski Area School District, this home features luxury vinyl flooring throughout, updated kitchen with white cabinets & recess lighting, baths, & spacious living areas filled with natural light. Main floor laundry room. Enjoy a fenced in backyard perfect for pets or entertaining. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated, making this home the perfect blend of comfort, style, & convenience.

  21. 2021-07-29
    soldstatus $56,000
  22. 1998-09-16
    soldstatus $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$534 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,049 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$515/yr (+$43/mo · 96.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,458
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$534
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$837
− Management
−$837
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$1,467
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$352
After-tax cash flow
$557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kiski Area SD
NCES district ID
4212840
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,407
Composite
39.72/100
National rank
#3900
State rank
#247 of 539 in PA

Livability — Parks

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
North Vandergrift, PA
Population (ZIP)
9,359

Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,513 people
By 2030
59,579 · -4.7%
By 2040
52,890 · -15.4%
By 2050
45,904 · -26.6%
By 2075
32,023 · -48.8%
By 2100
20,415 · -67.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.69%
Current HPI
253.8806
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+607.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $99,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $105,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $110,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $115,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $120,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 1998-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $534 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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