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1 Nelson Ave
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

1 Nelson Ave · Bradford, PA 16701
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,010 sqft · Other public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1958 7,841 sqft lot $22/sqft · 71% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ALL code violations/occupancy permit are the responsibility of the buyer. The Bradford Township requests that all be completed by 30 days after the closing date. Agreement of sale must contain the following: “This property/home is sold as is, where is, and must have Court approval. " NEEDS WORK! This spacious property on a corner lot features four bedrooms, a full bath, plus an additional half bath. The home's large rooms offer ample space.

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1958

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Underground parking; Additional storage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (fuses); Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story (with second-level bedrooms); Resale fixer condition
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Gravel driveway; Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Two second-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Full basement with walk-out access and sump pump; 1 fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 4.5% in Bradford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#814 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bradford Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #187 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $44,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.48%
Cap rate
21.52%
Cash-on-cash
54.40%
DSCR
3.42
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,727
List price
$44,900
Delta
-70.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.6%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$29,038
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
57.9%
Equity multiple
6.73×
Total profit
$72,092
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16701

Home prices YoY
-17.9%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $674/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$570

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $601 -5% $585 +0% $570 +5% $554 +10% $539
Rent -10% $482 -5% $526 +0% $570 +5% $614 +10% $658
Rate -1.0pp $593 -0.5pp $581 base $570 +0.5pp $558 +1.0pp $546

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 456-char remark
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $44,900 Active 456-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,370
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$674
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,070
− Management
−$1,070
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$6,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,563
After-tax cash flow
$5,276/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bradford Area SD
NCES district ID
4204020
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,477
Composite
42.31/100
National rank
#3261
State rank
#187 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bradford

Score
69/100
State rank
#814
US rank
#8325

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,584

Population outlook (McKean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,518 people
By 2030
39,290 · -3.0%
By 2040
36,438 · -10.1%
By 2050
33,556 · -17.2%
By 2075
27,682 · -31.7%
By 2100
21,726 · -46.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McKean

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.2) · D 26.0% · R 73.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.3pp · 2024: -47.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.54%
Current HPI
149.3686
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $44,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,384 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…