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617 Woodbury Rd
B- Composite 67.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

617 Woodbury Rd · Jackson, MS 39206
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 908 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1950 8,712 sqft lot $77/sqft · 55% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming residential opportunity located in established North Jackson within the 39206 area. This property offers a traditional single-family layout typical of the neighborhood, featuring a functional floor plan with spacious living areas and flexible use potential. Situated on a residential lot with mature surroundings, the home provides driveway parking and convenient access to nearby schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes throughout the Jackson metro area. Ideal for investors, first-time buyers, or those looking for a renovation project, this property presents strong potential for value-add improvements. Property is being sold as-is. All information to be verified by buyer.

Key facts

  • Convenient access
  • Driveway parking
  • Nearby schools

Tags

FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS LIVING AREASFLEXIBLE USE POTENTIALDRIVEWAY PARKINGCONVENIENT ACCESSNEARBY SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Chainwall foundation; Built (year from public records)
  • Exterior features: Garden

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room with wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Boyd Elementary School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #368 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 405 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.27%
Cash-on-cash
24.91%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,742
List price
$69,900
Delta
80.43%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
547 Woodbury Rd 0.09mi 2/1.0 816 (-10%) 9mo $94,000 $115 71
4680 Londonderry Dr 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 935 (+3%) 15mo $59,997 $64 69
522 Woodbury Rd 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,012 (+12%) 1mo $25,000 $25 68
556 Robinhood Rd 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+6%) 18mo $54,900 $57 66
551 Woodbury Rd 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+12%) 16mo $114,900 $113 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$14,370
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$45,109
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39206

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,124 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,031/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $610
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 43d 1 0.46mi
229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 23d 1 0.46mi
227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 23d 1 0.46mi
227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 43d 1 0.46mi
227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 13d 2 0.46mi
4901 McWillie Cir Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,150 $1.43 13d 1 0.46mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $900 $0.86 13d 31 0.52mi
4833 N State St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 994 $1,195 $1.20 43d 1 0.56mi
5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $1,100 $1.35 13d 1 0.66mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 43d 1 1.09mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 13d 1 1.09mi
3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 23d 1 1.10mi
365 W Northside Dr Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 550 $899 $1.63 43d 1 1.16mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 13d 1 1.17mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 23d 1 1.17mi
5155 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,500 $1.66 23d 1 1.17mi
3908 N State St Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 740 $2,800 $3.78 43d 1 1.34mi
3816 N State St Unit 3816 Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $69,900 Active 700-char remark
  18. 2015-11-10
    soldstatus
  19. 2010-07-20
    soldstatus
  20. 1983-04-27
    soldstatus
  21. 1982-11-09
    soldstatus
  22. 1975-05-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,031 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,031 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,486
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,031
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,079
− Management
−$1,079
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$3,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$960
After-tax cash flow
$3,915/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,257
Household income
$42,686
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.38%
Current HPI
194.5873
Rent YoY
▲ 2.83%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $69,900 MLSU
  • 2015-11-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-07-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1983-04-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1982-11-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1975-05-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,031 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…