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628 15th St
D Composite 40.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

628 15th St · Lake Charles, LA 70601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 778 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
Built 1970 5,227 sqft lot $128/sqft · 16% above area Est $86k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Explore this charming two-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath home offering 778 square feet of thoughtfully updated living space with its convenient location close to downtown. Step inside to find a bright open floor plan that blends living, dining, and kitchen areas with beautiful wood floors and plenty of natural light. The fresh interior paint throughout creates a clean, inviting feel, and the layout maximizes every inch of space for comfortable everyday living. The kitchen has been completely refreshed with updated cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances including an electric range and refrigerator. A dedicated laundry room offers added functionality with overhead storag

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Wood floors
  • Natural light

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANWOOD FLOORSNATURAL LIGHTREFRESHED KITCHENUPDATED CABINETRYGRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Appliances included; Located on a 0.12-acre lot (approximate dimensions 53 x 120)

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water and sewer available and connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story / single level; No shared/common walls; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Raised foundation; Shingle roof; House structure type; Built as a single-story home
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Privacy wood fencing; Back yard; Front yard; City lot; Irregular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Recessed lighting
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room inside the home; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($898/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (5.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: College Oaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #487 of 646 statewide, top 78%, 254 students, 78% FRL); Oak Park Middle School (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 385 students, 83% FRL); Lagrange High School (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #217 of 265 statewide, top 82%, 907 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 52% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Calcasieu Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $100k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,108 (5.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.19%
Cash-on-cash
3.21%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,359
List price
$99,900
Delta
15.68%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
810 Live Oak St 0.23mi 2/1.0 759 (-2%) 23mo $83,000 $109 66
2605 Demarest St 0.51mi 2/1.0 761 (-2%) 18mo $81,900 $108 57
3102 Hodges St 0.60mi 2/1.0 827 (+6%) 12mo $95,000 $115 51
720 Orange St 0.37mi 2/1.0 840 (+8%) 23mo $85,000 $101 50
218 W 11th St W 0.71mi 2/1.0 875 (+12%) 11mo $80,000 $91 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-8,316
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$12,508
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70601

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$941 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $846
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
603 Falls St Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 825 $825 $1.00 21d 1 0.27mi
1028 Alamo St Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 865 $850 $0.98 21d 1 0.57mi
200 W 11th St Unit 4 Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 21d 1 0.62mi
1605 W Common St Unit 1 Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 21d 1 0.68mi
2700 Ernest St Lake Charles, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1054 $1,333 $1.26 13d 1 0.72mi
3108 Aster St Unit M Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 13d 1 0.97mi
441 Clarence St Unit 5 Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 600 $595 $0.99 21d 1 1.02mi
520 E Lagrange St Unit 12 Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 700 $749 $1.07 21d 1 1.05mi
3506 Common St Unit 11 Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 910 $950 $1.04 13d 1 1.05mi
1505 7th St Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 1054 $900 $0.85 43d 1 1.06mi
121 W Lagrange St Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 850 $750 $0.88 43d 1 1.12mi
1801 Lake St Unit 8 Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 650 $875 $1.35 13d 1 1.23mi
1801 Lake St Apt 2 Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 650 $825 $1.27 13d 1 1.23mi
422 W Lagrange St Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 775 $900 $1.16 21d 1 1.24mi
422 W Lagrange St Lake Charles, LA 2.0 2.0 995 $1,050 $1.06 43d 1 1.24mi
1915 Legion St Lake Charles, LA 3.0 1.0 966 $950 $0.98 13d 1 1.24mi
823 Kirkman St Unit 4 Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 950 $600 $0.63 21d 1 1.29mi
3715 Common St Unit B1 Lake Charles, LA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 13d 1 1.32mi
3322 Kingham Rd Unit 2 Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,075 $1.24 43d 1 1.36mi
1035 Giovanni St Apt 8 Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 590 $800 $1.36 21d 1 1.40mi
1035 Giovanni St Apt 11 Lake Charles, LA 1.0 1.0 590 $800 $1.36 43d 1 1.40mi
317 W School St Unit A Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 825 $900 $1.09 43d 1 1.46mi
628 Division St Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.0 1007 $1,250 $1.24 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    listed $99,900 Active 2094-char remark
  18. 2015-04-01
    soldstatus $35,000
  19. 2014-10-02
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,238 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,238 · $103/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,293
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,238
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$903
− Management
−$903
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$753
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$181
After-tax cash flow
$1,078/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lake Charles

Score
68/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#9820

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Charles, LA
County
Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
City population
133,538
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
Population (ZIP)
30,872
Household income
$49,992
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
1304.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 31% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.32%
Current HPI
55.6127
Rent YoY
▲ 6.18%
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $99,900 SWLAR
  • 2015-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2014-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,238 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…