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8 Northwood Dr
A Composite 86.56
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$47,000

8 Northwood Dr · Highland, AR 72542
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 155 Days on market
7,405 sqft lot $64/sqft · 39% below area Est $77k · 39% under ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks! 0.21-acre lot with a solid 30x20 masonry shop (600 sq ft) on an elevated slab. Bring your tools and vision—this handyman special could become the perfect workshop, business space, or investment. There is a house across the road that is available with this shop if desired.

Key facts

  • Lake mirandy
  • Newer windows
  • Close to a park

Tags

3 YEAR OLD ROOFNEWER WINDOWSEASY ACCESS TO TOWN AMENITIESCLOSE TO A PARKLAKE MIRANDY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#169 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($325 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $47k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $41,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.72%
Cap rate
25.00%
Cash-on-cash
66.83%
DSCR
3.97
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,653
List price
$47,000
Delta
-38.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Moonbeam Trl 0.72mi 2/1.0 814 (+11%) 12mo $70,000 $86 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
78.2%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$72,265
Equity at exit
$42,341
10-year hold
IRR
72.3%
Equity multiple
14.38×
Total profit
$176,084
Equity at exit
$91,311

Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72542

Home prices YoY
26.5%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,280 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $147/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$733

Break-even live

Break-even rent $352
Max offer price $47,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $759 -5% $746 +0% $733 +5% $720 +10% $706
Rent -10% $632 -5% $682 +0% $733 +5% $783 +10% $834
Rate -1.0pp $757 -0.5pp $745 base $733 +0.5pp $721 +1.0pp $708

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,750
Closing costs
$1,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $47,000 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,000 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $47,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $47,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,000 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,000 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $47,000 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $47,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,000 Active 136 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,000 Active 135 DOM
  16. 2026-04-07
    price $15,000 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Opportunity knocks! 0.21-acre lot with a solid 30x20 masonry shop (600 sq ft) on an elevated slab. Bring your tools and vision—this handyman special could become the perfect workshop, business space, or investment. There is a house across the road that is available with this shop if desired.

  17. 2026-01-15
    listed $25,000 New Listing 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Handyman special with strong upside potential! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath slab home includes a bonus room that could serve as an office, third bedroom, or flex space. Major updates already in place with a 3-year-old roof and newer windows, helping reduce upfront capital costs. Convenient Highland location with easy access to town amenities. Perfect for investors or renovators looking to add value through updates and improvements. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this affordable investment property. Located close to a park, Lake Mirandy, June Lake. There is a shop across the road that could be purchased along with this house.

  18. 2026-01-15
    listed $47,000 New Listing 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Handyman special with strong upside potential! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath slab home includes a bonus room that could serve as an office, third bedroom, or flex space. Major updates already in place with a 3-year-old roof and newer windows, helping reduce upfront capital costs. Convenient Highland location with easy access to town amenities. Perfect for investors or renovators looking to add value through updates and improvements. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this affordable investment property. Located close to a park, Lake Mirandy, June Lake. There is a shop across the road that could be purchased along with this house.

  19. 2025-12-18
    listed $55,000 New Listing
  20. 2007-07-25
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$147 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$301 · $25/mo
Expected delta
+$153/yr (+$13/mo · 104.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,360
− Mortgage interest
−$2,633
− Property taxes
−$147
− Insurance
−$235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,229
− Management
−$1,229
− Depreciation
−$1,367
Taxable income
$8,520
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,045
After-tax cash flow
$6,750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland School District
NCES district ID
0507770
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,066
Composite
33.63/100
National rank
#5400
State rank
#66 of 238 in AR

Livability — Highland

Score
64/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#14238

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland, AR
Population (ZIP)
3,829

Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,170 people
By 2030
15,711 · -2.8%
By 2040
14,974 · -7.4%
By 2050
14,420 · -10.8%
By 2075
13,235 · -18.2%
By 2100
11,492 · -28.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sharp

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.05%
Current HPI
191.38
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $15,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $47,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $25,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $55,000 CARMLS
  • 2007-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2020): $147 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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