1800 Roosevelt Ave · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Flexible bonus space
- Formal dining room
- Second living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller may consider concessions
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Private sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Brick construction; One-and-a-half stories; Above-grade living area approximately 1,795
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Front porch; Corners of lot are marked
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 3 bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main and upper levels combined)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-and-a-half level layout; 7 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $753 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.80%
- DSCR
- 3.39
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1412 4th Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-2%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $144 | 79 |
| 318 S 20th St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+0%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $29 | 74 |
| 2015 Lake Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-2%) | 10mo | $119,900 | $102 | 68 |
| 1406 Raab Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,170 (-2%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $73 | 66 |
| 507 S 16th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,141 (-5%) | 10mo | $136,500 | $120 | 64 |
| 1801 Roosevelt Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,357 (+13%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $33 | 63 |
| 2320 Meadow Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+5%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $40 | 63 |
| 909 Peony Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,222 (+2%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $147 | 58 |
| 31 Gerri Ann Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,148 (-4%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $131 | 44 |
| 45 Fenwood Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (+9%) | 7mo | $199,900 | $154 | 40 |
| 107 N 18th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,316 (+10%) | 12mo | $99,900 | $76 | 36 |
| 821 Gass Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,058 (-12%) | 12mo | $149,900 | $142 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $40,627
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 59.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.38×
- Total profit
- $107,221
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,478 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $753
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $795 | -5% $774 | +0% $753 | +5% $732 | +10% $712 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $636 | -5% $695 | +0% $753 | +5% $812 | +10% $870 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $783 | -0.5pp $768 | base $753 | +0.5pp $738 | +1.0pp $722 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618 W Monroe St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,050 | $0.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-03-31historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-04status Active
-
2025-08-02$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,419
- − Management
- −$1,419
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $8,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-02 Listed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2024): $5,352 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…