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B- Composite 69.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

1800 Roosevelt Ave · Belleville, IL 62226
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,197 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 300 Days on market
Built 1924 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Flexible bonus space
  • Formal dining room
  • Second living area

Tags

SPACIOUS LAYOUTLARGE LIVING ROOMFLEXIBLE BONUS SPACEFORMAL DINING ROOMSECOND LIVING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller may consider concessions
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Brick construction; One-and-a-half stories; Above-grade living area approximately 1,795
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Front porch; Corners of lot are marked

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 3 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main and upper levels combined)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-and-a-half level layout; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $753 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
21.36%
Cash-on-cash
53.80%
DSCR
3.39
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1412 4th Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,176 (-2%) 1mo $169,900 $144 79
318 S 20th St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+0%) 5mo $35,000 $29 74
2015 Lake Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (-2%) 10mo $119,900 $102 68
1406 Raab Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,170 (-2%) 10mo $85,000 $73 66
507 S 16th St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,141 (-5%) 10mo $136,500 $120 64
1801 Roosevelt Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,357 (+13%) 2mo $45,000 $33 63
2320 Meadow Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+5%) 0mo $50,000 $40 63
909 Peony Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,222 (+2%) 6mo $180,000 $147 58
31 Gerri Ann Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,148 (-4%) 12mo $150,000 $131 44
45 Fenwood Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (+9%) 7mo $199,900 $154 40
107 N 18th St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,316 (+10%) 12mo $99,900 $76 36
821 Gass Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,058 (-12%) 12mo $149,900 $142 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.7%
Equity multiple
3.42×
Total profit
$40,627
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
59.5%
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$107,221
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62226

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,478 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$753

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $795 -5% $774 +0% $753 +5% $732 +10% $712
Rent -10% $636 -5% $695 +0% $753 +5% $812 +10% $870
Rate -1.0pp $783 -0.5pp $768 base $753 +0.5pp $738 +1.0pp $722

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
618 W Monroe St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,050 $0.70 24d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 300 DOM
  2. 2026-05-21
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-31
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-03-04
    status Active
  5. 2025-08-02
    listed $60,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,739
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,419
− Management
−$1,419
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$8,595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,063
After-tax cash flow
$6,976/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
28,255
Household income
$70,797
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.57%
Current HPI
133.9028
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-02 Listed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,352 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…