305 W 2nd North St · Kaufman, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and full of character, this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers approximately 2,130 square feet with two inviting living areas and timeless features throughout. Situated on a fenced corner lot with mature trees, the property provides both space and curb appeal in an established neighborhood setting. The fabulous second living area features a stunning beamed ceiling, cozy wood-burning fireplace, and plenty of room for gathering and entertaining. There is an additional bonus room that could provide a fourth bedroom if needed. If you enjoy sitting outside you may enjoy the enclosed patio which offers additional flexible space perfect for relaxing, hobbies, or enjoying the outdoors
Key facts
- Second living area
- Fenced corner lot
- Beamed ceiling
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1975; Brick and siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Wood fencing; Landscaped, level corner lot with large grassy backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first level); Two additional bedrooms (first level); Bonus room (first level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Vaulted ceilings; Two living areas; Built-in cabinets in living and dining areas; Fireplace in living area
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.1% in Kaufman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#478 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Kaufman ISD (town): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #437 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J R Phillips El (math 32% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 471 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 58% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.47%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,190
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 E 1st North St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,953 (-8%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $166 | 71 |
| 401 S Houston St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 2,042 (-4%) | 17mo | $330,000 | $162 | 62 |
| 207 E 2nd North St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,862 (-13%) | 9mo | $299,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 202 Wykagyl St | 0.18mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,027 (-5%) | 21mo | $399,000 | $197 | 55 |
| 904 S Jackson St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,054 (-4%) | 8mo | $114,900 | $56 | 54 |
| 504 S Jefferson St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,962 (-8%) | 21mo | $319,000 | $163 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,848
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $48,055
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75142
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $562
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $681 | -5% $621 | +0% $562 | +5% $502 | +10% $443 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $353 | -5% $457 | +0% $562 | +5% $667 | +10% $771 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $668 | -0.5pp $615 | base $562 | +0.5pp $507 | +1.0pp $452 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1819 Pecan Valley Dr Kaufman, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $2,650 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$210,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,114 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,114 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$4,114
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $3,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kaufman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825200
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,081
- Composite
- 33.36/100
- National rank
- #5485
- State rank
- #437 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kaufman
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #9602
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kaufman, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,301
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 23% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 30%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.48%
- Current HPI
- 261.3091
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $210,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,114 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…