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402 Marret Ave Multi-family
B+ Composite 76.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

402 Marret Ave · Louisville, KY 40208
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,200 sqft · MultiFamily · 25 Days on market
Built 1927 6,400 sqft lot Est $491k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Upcoming location. Property is historic with 4 units (all 1 Br). Condition is fair with lots of potential to upgrade and improve rents! A owner of the property has a KY Real Estate License (not acting as agent). Annual gross rents are $12240.

Key facts

  • 6,400 sq ft lot
  • 8 parking spots
  • Built 1927

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Old Louisville subdivision; Directions: Off S. Preston Street, south of Ormsby Avenue
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: 8 parking spaces; Covered parking not provided
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Separate meters for units; Owner and tenants share water responsibilities (owner pays water; tenants may pay water as well); Tenants may be responsible for cable, electric, gas, and trash removal
  • Home design: Multi-unit property with 2 units on the first level and 2 units on the second level; Built in 1927
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Concrete, brick, and stucco construction
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Lot is approximately 0.15 acres (56 x 113)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (2 bedrooms on the first level, 2 bedrooms on the second level)
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms total (2 full baths on the first level, 2 full baths on the second level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; 4 furnaces; 4 HVAC units
  • Interior features: Basement present; Traditional architectural style

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $296k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,252/mo this rent would consume 129% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $237k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $295,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.41%
Cash-on-cash
21.85%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$491,400
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1472 S 2nd St 0.55mi 5/4.0 (+1) 3,811 (-9%) 21mo $447,000 $117 37
1913 S Preston St 0.67mi 3/3.0 (-1) 4,380 (+4%) 21mo $275,000 $63 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$58,036
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$229,324
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40208

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
23.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,252 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,572/yr
Insurance
$125
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$893
Net cashflow
$1,463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,400
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 61%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $4,252

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1451 S 2nd St Louisville, KY 4.0 3.5 3983 $4,200 $1.05 23d 1 0.49mi
1100 S 3rd St Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 2832 $2,500 $0.88 23d 1 0.68mi
1115 S 4th St Unit 300 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 3200 $1,975 $0.62 23d 1 0.70mi
540 S 4th St Unit 401 Louisville, KY 3.0 3.5 3200 $4,500 $1.41 23d 1 1.45mi
540 S 4th St Unit 401 Louisville, KY 3.0 3.5 3200 $4,500 $1.41 11d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $300,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-05-25
    listed $300,000 Active
  15. 2012-09-28
    soldstatus $237,250
  16. 2006-02-27
    soldstatus $218,000
  17. 2006-02-24
    soldstatus $68,000 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Upcoming location. Property is historic with 4 units (all 1 Br). Condition is fair with lots of potential to upgrade and improve rents! A owner of the property has a KY Real Estate License (not acting as agent). Annual gross rents are $12240.

  18. 2005-08-10
    listed $99,000 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Upcoming location. Property is historic with 4 units (all 1 Br). Condition is fair with lots of potential to upgrade and improve rents! A owner of the property has a KY Real Estate License (not acting as agent). Annual gross rents are $12240.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,572 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,580 · $215/mo
Expected delta
+$1,008/yr (+$84/mo · 64.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,024
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,572
− Insurance
−$2,298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,082
− Management
−$4,082
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$13,458
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,230
After-tax cash flow
$14,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
15,605
Household income
$39,560
Rent vs Own
73.8% rent · 26.2% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.97%
Current HPI
240.6261
Rent YoY
▲ 6.06%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+203.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $300,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2012-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $237,250 Public Records
  • 2006-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-24 Sold (MLS) $68,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2005-08-10 Listed $99,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,572 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…