Multi-family
402 Marret Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Upcoming location. Property is historic with 4 units (all 1 Br). Condition is fair with lots of potential to upgrade and improve rents! A owner of the property has a KY Real Estate License (not acting as agent). Annual gross rents are $12240.
Key facts
- 6,400 sq ft lot
- 8 parking spots
- Built 1927
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Old Louisville subdivision; Directions: Off S. Preston Street, south of Ormsby Avenue
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: 8 parking spaces; Covered parking not provided
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Separate meters for units; Owner and tenants share water responsibilities (owner pays water; tenants may pay water as well); Tenants may be responsible for cable, electric, gas, and trash removal
- Home design: Multi-unit property with 2 units on the first level and 2 units on the second level; Built in 1927
- Construction: Shingle roof; Concrete, brick, and stucco construction
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Lot is approximately 0.15 acres (56 x 113)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (2 bedrooms on the first level, 2 bedrooms on the second level)
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms total (2 full baths on the first level, 2 full baths on the second level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; 4 furnaces; 4 HVAC units
- Interior features: Basement present; Traditional architectural style
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $296k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,252/mo this rent would consume 129% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $237k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.85%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $491,400
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1472 S 2nd St | 0.55mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 3,811 (-9%) | 21mo | $447,000 | $117 | 37 |
| 1913 S Preston St | 0.67mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 4,380 (+4%) | 21mo | $275,000 | $63 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $58,036
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $229,324
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40208
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 23.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,252 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,572/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$893
- Net cashflow
- $1,463
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $4,252 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,063 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,063 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,063 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $1,063 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,252 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1451 S 2nd St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3983 | $4,200 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1100 S 3rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2832 | $2,500 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1115 S 4th St Unit 300 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3200 | $1,975 | $0.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 540 S 4th St Unit 401 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3200 | $4,500 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 540 S 4th St Unit 401 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3200 | $4,500 | $1.41 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $300,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-25$300,000 Active
-
2012-09-28soldstatus $237,250
-
2006-02-27soldstatus $218,000
-
2006-02-24soldstatus $68,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Upcoming location. Property is historic with 4 units (all 1 Br). Condition is fair with lots of potential to upgrade and improve rents! A owner of the property has a KY Real Estate License (not acting as agent). Annual gross rents are $12240.
-
2005-08-10$99,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Upcoming location. Property is historic with 4 units (all 1 Br). Condition is fair with lots of potential to upgrade and improve rents! A owner of the property has a KY Real Estate License (not acting as agent). Annual gross rents are $12240.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,572 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,580 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,008/yr (+$84/mo · 64.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$1,572
- − Insurance
- −$2,298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,082
- − Management
- −$4,082
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable income
- $13,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,230
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,330/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $39,560
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.97%
- Current HPI
- 240.6261
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+203.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $300,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2012-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $237,250 Public Records
- 2006-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-24 Sold (MLS) $68,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-08-10 Listed $99,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,572 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…