6572 County Road 424 · Fulton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on 3.2 acres, this 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home offers a great opportunity for an investor, flipper, or buyer looking for land and potential. Built in 1996, the property features a private setting with room to expand, a carport, small shed, well, and septic already in place. The home will require significant repairs and updating throughout and is being sold as-is. If you’ve been looking for acreage with utilities already established, this could be the opportunity you’ve been waiting for.
Key facts
- Septic
- Carport
- Small shed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with space for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Single-phase electric service; Electricity available
- Home design: Mobile home; Private ownership; Frame construction with vinyl siding; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot includes approximately 3 acres; Lot listed as Other
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: No heating system specified; No cooling system specified
- Interior features: One-level layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 4.0% in Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#115 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- South Callaway County R-II (rural): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #76 of 324 in MO (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Callaway Elem. (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #231 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 173 students, 31% FRL); South Callaway High (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #179 of 521 statewide, top 39%, 248 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Callaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.02%
- DSCR
- 3.58
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $34,300
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 61.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.14×
- Total profit
- $84,230
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65251
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $169/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $663
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $691 | -5% $677 | +0% $663 | +5% $650 | +10% $636 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $568 | -5% $616 | +0% $663 | +5% $711 | +10% $759 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $688 | -0.5pp $676 | base $663 | +0.5pp $651 | +1.0pp $638 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $49,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 504-char remark
-
2026-05-30$49,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $169 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $475 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$306/yr (+$26/mo · 180.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$169
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,160
- − Management
- −$1,160
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $7,599
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,824
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Callaway County R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2928430
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,071
- Composite
- 39.33/100
- National rank
- #3983
- State rank
- #76 of 324 in MO
Livability — Fulton
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #7204
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Callaway County · 22,579 people
- City population
- 22,579
- Metro
- Jefferson City, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,579
- Household income
- $63,072
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 551.0
Population outlook (Callaway County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,390 people
- By 2030
- 45,493 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 45,092 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 44,069 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 41,875 · -7.7%
- By 2100
- 38,094 · -16.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Callaway
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.6% · R 70.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.7pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+42.3 2016: R+42.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.33%
- Current HPI
- 205.5205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jefferson City, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $49,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-07-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $169 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…