161 Dillard Dr · Waggaman, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home qualifies for 100% financing. Come and see this adorable meticulously maintained single-family 3 bed/1 bath home with so much to offer—lush landscaping, a cozy layout, relaxing backyard with entertaining areas and storage space, a drive-through garage, ample parking for 3+ vehicles. This is a solid house. Roof ` 2 years young and hurricane shutters. It just needs your personal touches and updates—this is your canvas; paint your masterpiece. Great starter home OR investment OPPORTUNITY. KNOCK! KNOCK! KNOCK! Make your appointment today.
Key facts
- Drive-through garage
- Storage space
- Solid house
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.7% in Waggaman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#226 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.01%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,253
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156 Grambling Ct | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,159 (+6%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $99 | 78 |
| 129 Prarieview Ct | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+1%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 333 Glendella Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (-8%) | 6mo | $63,000 | $63 | 66 |
| 176 Prairie View Ct | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,017 (-7%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 321 Travis Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,236 (+13%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $153 | 63 |
| 181 Rosalie Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,109 (+2%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $95 | 59 |
| 173 S Tish Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,058 (-3%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 133 Prairie View Ct | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+10%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $121 | 55 |
| 304 Deacon St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,147 (+5%) | 12mo | $172,500 | $150 | 54 |
| 345 Capitol Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+7%) | 10mo | $179,500 | $153 | 51 |
| 245 W Tish Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,190 (+9%) | 9mo | $149,000 | $125 | 42 |
| 200 George St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+14%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $116 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,017
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $20,983
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70094
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,679 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,621/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $455
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $529 | -5% $492 | +0% $455 | +5% $418 | +10% $382 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $323 | -5% $389 | +0% $455 | +5% $522 | +10% $588 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $521 | -0.5pp $488 | base $455 | +0.5pp $422 | +1.0pp $387 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 S Dexter Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 304 Butler Dr Westwego, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 384 Layman St Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $1,560 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 351 Glendella Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 351 Glendella Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 441 Butler Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 441 Butler Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 185 Carmen Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 113 Jeanne Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,950 | $2.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 101 Ursula Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 89 Marie Dr Westwego, LA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 76 Elaine Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 552-char remark
-
2026-06-17$130,000 Pending 34 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,621
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,612
- − Management
- −$1,612
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$861
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,602/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Waggaman
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #17364
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waggaman, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,130
- Household income
- $53,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1457.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.56%
- Current HPI
- 102.9992
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2024-12-09 Sold (MLS) $130,000 GSREIN
- 2024-11-19 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2024-09-27 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-09-27 Listed $130,000 GSREIN
- 2024-07-17 Price Changed $130,000 GSREIN
- 2024-03-25 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1998-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,621 · +59.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…