15441 E End St · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 5 Bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home located in the heart of Dolton. This property features a full basement offering plenty of additional space and a 2-car garage. Room sizes are estimates. Enjoy a large yard - perfect for outdoor activities or future landscaping ideas. It is conveniently located near schools, parks and transportation. Property being sold in AS IS condition, no surveys nor disclosures, taxes prorated. Property has discoloration. Don't miss this awesome opportunity to bring your bright ideas and make this home your own. Property being sold in AS IS condition, no surveys nor disclosures, taxes prorated.
Key facts
- Large yard
- Full basement
- 0.48 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 110 x 200; Lot size about 0.25–0.49 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (Master on second level; other bedrooms on main and second levels)
- Bathrooms: 2 full baths, 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $881 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,776/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.88%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,797
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14414 Minerva Ave | 0.21mi | 5/2.0 | 1,044 (-2%) | 14mo | $234,900 | $225 | 74 |
| 14320 Dobson Ave | 0.26mi | 5/2.0 | 1,124 (+6%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $125 | 72 |
| 14341 Drexel Ave | 0.21mi | 5/2.5 | 1,166 (+10%) | 2mo | $258,500 | $222 | 72 |
| 14613 Minerva Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,084 (+2%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $194 | 64 |
| 14349 Sanderson Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,062 (+0%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 14708 Avalon Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,028 (-3%) | 13mo | $221,500 | $215 | 58 |
| 14315 Dobson Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+13%) | 1mo | $194,888 | $162 | 57 |
| 14534 Woodlawn Ave | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 963 (-9%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $177 | 56 |
| 14314 Kimbark Ave | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 | 1,130 (+6%) | 14mo | $226,000 | $200 | 53 |
| 14449 Irving Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,154 (+9%) | 15mo | $140,000 | $121 | 46 |
| 14813 Evers St | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,127 (+6%) | 3mo | $82,000 | $73 | 45 |
| 14741 Irving Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,186 (+12%) | 19mo | $157,500 | $133 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $40,031
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.27×
- Total profit
- $174,024
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,776 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$583
- Net cashflow
- $881
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,012 | -5% $946 | +0% $881 | +5% $815 | +10% $749 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $661 | -5% $771 | +0% $881 | +5% $990 | +10% $1,100 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $976 | -0.5pp $929 | base $881 | +0.5pp $831 | +1.0pp $781 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 20d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 9d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 26d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 9d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-16statusdays on market $189,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 62 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 60 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 59 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 56 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 55 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 54 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 51 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 50 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 49 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 48 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 47 DOM
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2026-05-11historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-04-14$189,900 Active
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2026-04-14historical
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2026-04-07Active
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2026-03-05historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-02-27historical
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2026-01-15Active
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2026-01-15historical
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2025-12-19price
-
2025-11-13Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,665
- − Management
- −$2,665
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $8,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,925
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,643/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, updated home in Dolton offers a spacious layout and modern amenities, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Both update landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value
- Both install smart home features — attracts tech-savvy buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both update landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both install smart home features — attracts tech-savvy buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…