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161 Middle St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C- Composite 53.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$9,900

161 Middle St · Jennerstown, PA 15546
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,005 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1900 7,797 sqft lot $5/sqft · 91% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

5 bedroom 2 story home Located in Jenners, PA in the North Star school district! Spacious rooms with an large kitchen. First floor bath and laundry hook and oversized living room. Upstairs you will find are 4 bedrooms all generously sized. Tons of storage space, A lot of potential bring your tool box and ideas. Right off route 30

Key facts

  • 7,797 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Home design: 2-story home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Built on an approximately 0.179-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 97

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Resale condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $9,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$109,611) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#979 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • North Star SD (rural): math 38% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #209 of 539 in PA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $731 of equity ($68 loan paydown + $663 appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $9,751 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
13.87%
Cap rate
129.51%
Cash-on-cash
440.07%
DSCR
20.58
GRM
0.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,611
List price
$9,900
Delta
-90.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Cloud St 0.33mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,876 (-6%) 10mo $95,000 $51 57
1933 Lincoln Hwy 0.61mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,768 (-12%) 20mo $129,900 $73 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.54×
Total profit
$68,036
Equity at exit
$6,661
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
54.89×
Total profit
$149,378
Equity at exit
$12,477

Cash invested: $2,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15546

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
0.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,373 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $148/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$1,017

Break-even live

Break-even rent $87
Max offer price $9,900
Occupancy floor 21%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,023 -5% $1,020 +0% $1,017 +5% $1,013 +10% $1,010
Rent -10% $908 -5% $962 +0% $1,017 +5% $1,071 +10% $1,125
Rate -1.0pp $1,022 -0.5pp $1,019 base $1,017 +0.5pp $1,014 +1.0pp $1,011

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,475
Closing costs
$297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 331-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    price $9,900 331-char remark
  3. 2026-04-28
    listed $19,900 Active 331-char remark
  4. 2025-10-08
    status Pending
  5. 2025-09-24
    status Active
  6. 2025-08-07
    status Pending
  7. 2025-07-27
    price $9,900
  8. 2025-06-17
    listed $24,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 64% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,481
− Mortgage interest
−$555
− Property taxes
−$148
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,318
− Management
−$1,318
− Depreciation
−$288
Taxable income
$12,803
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,073
After-tax cash flow
$9,126/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Star SD
NCES district ID
4210115
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,457
Composite
41.25/100
National rank
#3528
State rank
#209 of 539 in PA

Livability — Jennerstown

Score
67/100
State rank
#979
US rank
#10722

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
875
Population (ZIP)
618

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,318 people
By 2030
68,555 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,447 · -12.4%
By 2050
56,437 · -20.9%
By 2075
44,453 · -37.7%
By 2100
32,408 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 9%
Common ancestry
Iranian 15% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.69%
Current HPI
193.3862
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-60.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $9,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $19,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-08 Pending CSMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Relisted CSMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Pending CSMLS
  • 2025-07-27 Price Changed $9,900 CSMLS
  • 2025-06-17 Listed $24,900 CSMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,153 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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