1557 Superior Shrs #17 · Silver Creek, MN 55616

$58,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · Condo · 32 Days on market

Built 1984 Good condition $141/mo HOA · 11% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Interval ownership of a two-bedroom, two bath lakehome at Superior Shores. This unit features vaulted ceilings with skylights, loft, central A/C, whirlpool tub and much, much more. Nicely maintained unit with stone fireplace, newer mechanicals, new Trex deck and great location in close proximity to the outdoor pool and beach. Housekeeping, laundry and interior maintenance services provided by management company. All exterior maintenance services provided by property manager. Enjoy six plus weeks each year on the North Shore without the hassle of mowing, shoveling, painting, cleaning, etc. This property is situated on 46 wooded acres with over a half-mile of shoreline. Association amenities

Key facts

• Outdoor pool
• Stone fireplace
• 46 wooded acres

Tags

• VAULTED CEILINGS
• SKYLIGHTS
• STONE FIREPLACE
• NEW TREX DECK
• OUTDOOR POOL
• 46 WOODED ACRES

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Directions: One mile NE of Two Harbors on Highway 61, turn onto Superior Shores Drive
• HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $141.69; HOA covers snow removal, trash, water, sewer, insurance, and grounds maintenance; Community tennis courts

Exterior

• Parking: No designated parking
• Utilities: Well water; Public sewer and shared septic
• Home design: Residential condominium; 2 stories
• Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; On waterfront (Lake Superior); Lake frontage; Paved road access via a private road; Irregular lot shape; Community in-ground heated pool

Interior

• Bedrooms: Master bedroom located downstairs
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating (natural gas)
• Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Gas fireplace (1)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
• Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 2.1% in Silver Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#582 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Lake Superior Public School District (rural): math 34% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #191 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $407 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lake County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $57,133 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.34%
• DSCR: 2.44
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.14×
• Total profit: $18,870
• Equity at exit: $8,782

10-year hold

• IRR: 35.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.23×
• Total profit: $53,313
• Equity at exit: $5,093

Cash invested: $16,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55616

• Active inventory: 83
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,256 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$309
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$74 /mo · $884/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$141
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$264
• Net cashflow: $444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $694

Max offer price $58,900

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $485	-5% $465	+0% $444	+5% $424	+10% $404
Rent	-10% $345	-5% $395	+0% $444	+5% $494	+10% $544
Rate	-1.0pp $474	-0.5pp $459	base $444	+0.5pp $429	+1.0pp $414

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,725
• Closing costs: $1,767
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $141 · $1,692/yr
• Likely covers: exterior maint.pool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $58,900 Active 32 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $58,900 Active 31 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $58,900 Active 30 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $58,900 Active 29 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $58,900 Active 27 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $58,900 Active 26 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $58,900 Active 24 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $58,900 Active 23 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $58,900 Active 22 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,900 Active 21 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,900 Active 16 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,900 Active 15 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,900 Active 14 DOM
14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,900 Active 13 DOM
15. 2026-05-15
    listed $58,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,076
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,299
• − Property taxes: −$884
• − Insurance: −$294
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,206
• − Management: −$1,206
• − HOA: −$1,692
• − Depreciation: −$1,713
• Taxable income: $4,781
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,147
• After-tax cash flow: $4,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-bedroom, two-bath lakefront condo is in good condition with minor repairs needed. It offers a great location and is well-maintained, making it a solid investment.

Repairs flagged

• Minor Kitchen cabinets — Standard wear and tear on wooden cabinets.
• Minor Living room carpet — Worn carpet in living areas.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value.
• Rental Replace worn carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs.
• Both Inspect and clean HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is essential for both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Standard wear and tear on wooden cabinets.	Minor	$500–3,000
Living room carpet · Worn carpet in living areas.	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value. ↑
• Rental Replace worn carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
• Both Inspect and clean HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system is essential for both resale and rental value. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lake Superior Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2740740
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $51,958
• Composite: 37.51/100
• National rank: #4399
• State rank: #191 of 301 in MN

Livability — Silver Creek

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #582
• US rank: #13955

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 7,277

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 9,943 people
• By 2030: 9,437 · -5.1%
• By 2040: 8,326 · -16.3%
• By 2050: 7,365 · -25.9%
• By 2075: 6,008 · -39.6%
• By 2100: 5,038 · -49.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 18% Scottish 4% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.1% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 3.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+2.2 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+22.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -116.94%
• Current HPI: 182.619
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Listed $58,900 LSAR