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8963 Adams Cir
A- Composite 81.26
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,900

8963 Adams Cir · Weatherford, TX 76035
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · Manufactured public records · 189 Days on market
Built 1983 0.26 ac lot $70/sqft · 30% below area Est $115k · 30% under ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unrestricted property with space to work, store, and grow! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath doublewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in Cresson and offers flexibility that’s getting harder to find. Inside, the split-bedroom layout gives each bedroom its own full bath, making it ideal for roommates, rentals, or added privacy. The open living and kitchen area keeps things practical and functional, while a bonus room off the kitchen adds extra usable space for an office or hobby room. Out back is a large standalone shop with electricity and built-in storage — perfect for tools, equipment, projects, or a small business setup. A covered carport and plenty of open parking space make it easy to accommodate vehicles, trailers, or a boat. With no HOA and no known restrictions, this property works for living, renting, improving, or future development. Vacant and easy to show — bring your plan and make it yours! Fix and Flip, Investor Special, Investment Opportunity, Investor Friendly, Investor Deal, Rehab Opportunity, Renovation Needed, Needs TLC, Needs Work, Handyman Special, Value Add Property, Sweat Equity, Bring Your Tools, Great Flip Potential, Great ARV Potential, High ROI Opportunity, Perfect for a Flip or Rental, Fixer Upper, As Is Sale, Priced to Sell, Under Market Value, Equity Play, Instant Equity, Below Market Pricing, Cosmetic Updates Needed, Full Rehab Needed, Renovator’s Dream

Key facts

  • Split-bedroom layout
  • Covered carport
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

SPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUTOPEN LIVING AND KITCHEN AREABONUS ROOM OFF THE KITCHENLARGE STANDALONE SHOPCOVERED CARPORTPLENTY OF OPEN PARKING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 2.7% in Weatherford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#289 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Weatherford ISD (town): math 39% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #321 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in Parker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Parker County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
15.72%
Cash-on-cash
33.67%
DSCR
2.50
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,797
List price
$79,900
Delta
-30.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$30,942
Equity at exit
$16,009
10-year hold
IRR
36.9%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$82,126
Equity at exit
$14,153

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76035

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,569 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,914/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $774
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 189 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 188 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 187 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 186 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 184 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 178 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 173 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 172 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 171 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    price $79,900 1416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1416 chars)

    Unrestricted property with space to work, store, and grow! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath doublewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in Cresson and offers flexibility that’s getting harder to find. Inside, the split-bedroom layout gives each bedroom its own full bath, making it ideal for roommates, rentals, or added privacy. The open living and kitchen area keeps things practical and functional, while a bonus room off the kitchen adds extra usable space for an office or hobby room. Out back is a large standalone shop with electricity and built-in storage — perfect for tools, equipment, projects, or a small business setup. A covered carport and plenty of open parking space make it easy to accommodate vehicles, trailers, or a boat. With no HOA and no known restrictions, this property works for living, renting, improving, or future development. Vacant and easy to show — bring your plan and make it yours! Fix and Flip, Investor Special, Investment Opportunity, Investor Friendly, Investor Deal, Rehab Opportunity, Renovation Needed, Needs TLC, Needs Work, Handyman Special, Value Add Property, Sweat Equity, Bring Your Tools, Great Flip Potential, Great ARV Potential, High ROI Opportunity, Perfect for a Flip or Rental, Fixer Upper, As Is Sale, Priced to Sell, Under Market Value, Equity Play, Instant Equity, Below Market Pricing, Cosmetic Updates Needed, Full Rehab Needed, Renovator’s Dream

  15. 2026-04-02
    price $84,900 1416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1416 chars)

    Unrestricted property with space to work, store, and grow! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath doublewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in Cresson and offers flexibility that’s getting harder to find. Inside, the split-bedroom layout gives each bedroom its own full bath, making it ideal for roommates, rentals, or added privacy. The open living and kitchen area keeps things practical and functional, while a bonus room off the kitchen adds extra usable space for an office or hobby room. Out back is a large standalone shop with electricity and built-in storage — perfect for tools, equipment, projects, or a small business setup. A covered carport and plenty of open parking space make it easy to accommodate vehicles, trailers, or a boat. With no HOA and no known restrictions, this property works for living, renting, improving, or future development. Vacant and easy to show — bring your plan and make it yours! Fix and Flip, Investor Special, Investment Opportunity, Investor Friendly, Investor Deal, Rehab Opportunity, Renovation Needed, Needs TLC, Needs Work, Handyman Special, Value Add Property, Sweat Equity, Bring Your Tools, Great Flip Potential, Great ARV Potential, High ROI Opportunity, Perfect for a Flip or Rental, Fixer Upper, As Is Sale, Priced to Sell, Under Market Value, Equity Play, Instant Equity, Below Market Pricing, Cosmetic Updates Needed, Full Rehab Needed, Renovator’s Dream

  16. 2026-02-07
    price $90,000 1416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1416 chars)

    Unrestricted property with space to work, store, and grow! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath doublewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in Cresson and offers flexibility that’s getting harder to find. Inside, the split-bedroom layout gives each bedroom its own full bath, making it ideal for roommates, rentals, or added privacy. The open living and kitchen area keeps things practical and functional, while a bonus room off the kitchen adds extra usable space for an office or hobby room. Out back is a large standalone shop with electricity and built-in storage — perfect for tools, equipment, projects, or a small business setup. A covered carport and plenty of open parking space make it easy to accommodate vehicles, trailers, or a boat. With no HOA and no known restrictions, this property works for living, renting, improving, or future development. Vacant and easy to show — bring your plan and make it yours! Fix and Flip, Investor Special, Investment Opportunity, Investor Friendly, Investor Deal, Rehab Opportunity, Renovation Needed, Needs TLC, Needs Work, Handyman Special, Value Add Property, Sweat Equity, Bring Your Tools, Great Flip Potential, Great ARV Potential, High ROI Opportunity, Perfect for a Flip or Rental, Fixer Upper, As Is Sale, Priced to Sell, Under Market Value, Equity Play, Instant Equity, Below Market Pricing, Cosmetic Updates Needed, Full Rehab Needed, Renovator’s Dream

  17. 2025-12-11
    listed $109,900 Active 1416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1416 chars)

    Unrestricted property with space to work, store, and grow! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath doublewide sits on a quarter-acre lot in Cresson and offers flexibility that’s getting harder to find. Inside, the split-bedroom layout gives each bedroom its own full bath, making it ideal for roommates, rentals, or added privacy. The open living and kitchen area keeps things practical and functional, while a bonus room off the kitchen adds extra usable space for an office or hobby room. Out back is a large standalone shop with electricity and built-in storage — perfect for tools, equipment, projects, or a small business setup. A covered carport and plenty of open parking space make it easy to accommodate vehicles, trailers, or a boat. With no HOA and no known restrictions, this property works for living, renting, improving, or future development. Vacant and easy to show — bring your plan and make it yours! Fix and Flip, Investor Special, Investment Opportunity, Investor Friendly, Investor Deal, Rehab Opportunity, Renovation Needed, Needs TLC, Needs Work, Handyman Special, Value Add Property, Sweat Equity, Bring Your Tools, Great Flip Potential, Great ARV Potential, High ROI Opportunity, Perfect for a Flip or Rental, Fixer Upper, As Is Sale, Priced to Sell, Under Market Value, Equity Play, Instant Equity, Below Market Pricing, Cosmetic Updates Needed, Full Rehab Needed, Renovator’s Dream

  18. 2025-10-20
    historical
  19. 2025-09-17
    listed $84,900 Active
  20. 2025-08-06
    historical
  21. 2025-04-15
    listed $84,999 Active
  22. 2025-04-11
    historical
  23. 2025-03-27
    listed $84,900 Active
  24. 2025-01-08
    soldstatus
  25. 2024-09-11
    soldstatus
  26. 2023-08-30
    soldstatus
  27. 2023-08-08
    historical
  28. 2023-06-12
    price $119,000
  29. 2023-05-16
    listed $139,000 Active
  30. 2022-04-29
    soldstatus
  31. 1983-11-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,914 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,914 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,828
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,914
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,506
− Management
−$1,506
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$6,702
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,608
After-tax cash flow
$5,924/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weatherford ISD
NCES district ID
4844800
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,087
Composite
36.4/100
National rank
#4679
State rank
#321 of 826 in TX

Livability — Weatherford

Score
71/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#6648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
60,150
Population (ZIP)
3,247

Population outlook (Parker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
147,426 people
By 2030
157,863 · +7.1%
By 2040
177,519 · +20.4%
By 2050
194,786 · +32.1%
By 2075
238,799 · +62.0%
By 2100
264,126 · +79.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Parker

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.4) · D 16.4% · R 82.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -55.2pp · 2024: -66.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.4 2020: R+64.4 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.8 2008: R+55.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.87%
Current HPI
187.0174
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $79,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $84,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-07 Price Changed $90,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $109,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-20 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $84,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-06 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-04-15 Listed $84,999 NTREIS
  • 2025-04-11 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $84,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-09-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-08-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-08-08 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2023-06-12 Price Changed $119,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-05-16 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1983-11-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+29.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,914 · +36.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…