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1146 Monroe Cir 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

1146 Monroe Cir · Baltimore, MD 21225
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Townhouse public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1959 Est $188k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1146 Monroe Circle! All brick End Unit townhome property with Tenant in place paying $1,040/month, ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Solid rental opportunity in a convenient location. Sold As-Is with tenant to remain in possession; no showings at this time, and contracts subject to viewing after ratification or tenant vacating. Sale is being handled by the Estate, any and ALL offers will be considered. The Estate is also offering 1101 Pelham Wood Rd, 2212 Ellen Ave, and 1311 Limit Ave, great properties to add to your rental portfolio!

Key facts

  • Built 1959
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Home design: End of Row/Townhouse design; Located in city limits (Baltimore City)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: End of row townhouse; Basement present (other description); Above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Efficiency kitchen
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the first upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Efficiency kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $130,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$188,160) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $130k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,050 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.79%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3614 Saint Margaret 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,265 (-1%) 0mo $185,000 $146 83
1614 Popland 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,236 (-3%) 0mo $220,000 $178 76
1326 Cypress St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,254 (-2%) 1mo $226,000 $180 69
3511 6th St 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,294 (+1%) 2mo $140,000 $108 61
916 Jack St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,116 (-13%) 1mo $145,000 $130 60
516 Arsan Ave 0.74mi 3/3.0 1,294 (+1%) 2mo $190,000 $147 58
4613 Pennington Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (+5%) 2mo $52,000 $39 55
814 Jack St 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,116 (-13%) 1mo $140,000 $125 53
1509 Filbert St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,428 (+12%) 1mo $210,000 $147 53
3712 8th St 0.45mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,088 (-15%) 0mo $60,000 $55 47
4009 8th St 0.47mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,088 (-15%) 2mo $223,000 $205 45
3547 5th St 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,092 (-15%) 3mo $205,000 $188 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$11,406
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$57,464
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21225

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,761 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,114/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,155
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $553 -5% $516 +0% $479 +5% $442 +10% $405
Rent -10% $340 -5% $409 +0% $479 +5% $548 +10% $618
Rate -1.0pp $544 -0.5pp $512 base $479 +0.5pp $445 +1.0pp $411

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1353 Cambria St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 2.0 986 $1,600 $1.62 19d 1 0.12mi
1305 E Patapsco Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 930 $1,650 $1.77 5d 1 0.14mi
3816 W Bay Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1364 $1,155 $0.85 4d 1 0.14mi
1517 Sycamore St Curtis Bay, MD 3.0 1.5 1210 $1,999 $1.65 25d 1 0.19mi
3826 10th St Unit Entire House Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1110 $2,400 $2.16 25d 1 0.24mi
3828 10th St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 2.0 1215 $2,350 $1.93 45d 1 0.24mi
4216 Prudence St Curtis Bay, MD 4.0 3.0 1116 $2,100 $1.88 45d 1 0.29mi
1411 Filbert St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1428 $1,300 $0.91 45d 1 0.43mi
3840 8th St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1088 $1,606 $1.48 5d 1 0.46mi
3822 6th St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 3.0 1580 $1,850 $1.17 25d 1 0.62mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 21d 1 0.64mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 5d 1 0.64mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 25d 1 0.64mi
4201 Audrey Ave Unit 1 Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,350 $0.96 25d 1 0.65mi
3528 6th St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.5 1060 $1,500 $1.42 19d 1 0.66mi
4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 3.0 1104 $1,950 $1.77 25d 1 0.67mi
4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,275 $1.15 45d 1 0.67mi
5215 Wasena Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,650 $1.60 45d 1 0.72mi
3569 4th St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.5 1256 $1,200 $0.96 19d 1 0.79mi
3544 4th St Brooklyn, MD 4.0 2.5 1800 $1,940 $1.08 25d 1 0.83mi
4400 4th St Unit BASEMENT Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 925 $1,350 $1.46 45d 1 0.86mi
3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 19d 1 0.86mi
49 Talbott St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 25d 1 1.15mi
202 W Edgevale Rd Unit A Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1824 $1,650 $0.90 6d 1 1.27mi
217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 992 $1,800 $1.81 25d 1 1.32mi
303 Arden Rd W Brooklyn, MD 3.0 2.0 1388 $2,500 $1.80 19d 1 1.35mi
732 Old Riverside Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 2.5 1570 $1,900 $1.21 45d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,114 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,114 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,129
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,114
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,690
− Management
−$1,690
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$3,921
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$941
After-tax cash flow
$4,806/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
34,062
Household income
$54,020
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.44%
Current HPI
254.5089
Rent YoY
▲ 4.08%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+242.1% since first listed
40 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2014-10-24 Delisted MRIS
  • 2014-10-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-10-08 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2014-08-10 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2014-07-01 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2014-06-11 Listed MRIS
  • 2014-06-11 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-06-12 Delisted MRIS
  • 2013-06-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-05-18 Listed MRIS
  • 2013-05-18 Listed $52,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-10-29 Sold (MLS) $36,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-10-29 Sold (MLS) $36,000 MRIS
  • 2010-10-08 Pending MRIS
  • 2010-10-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-09-24 Price Changed $37,900 MRIS
  • 2010-08-31 Relisted MRIS
  • 2010-08-12 Pending MRIS
  • 2010-08-09 Delisted MRIS
  • 2010-08-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-07-31 Listed $39,900 MRIS
  • 2010-07-31 Listed $37,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $142,855 Public Records
  • 2010-06-23 Listed MRIS
  • 2010-06-23 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-01-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2010-01-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-07-25 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2009-06-24 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2009-06-02 Listed MRIS
  • 2009-06-02 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2007-12-14 Sold (MLS) $145,000 MRIS
  • 2007-11-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-10-09 Listed $147,500 MRIS
  • 1997-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $69,800 Public Records
  • 1990-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $61,200 Public Records
  • 1989-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,114 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…