🏷️ Likely Rental
1146 Monroe Cir · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1146 Monroe Circle! All brick End Unit townhome property with Tenant in place paying $1,040/month, ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Solid rental opportunity in a convenient location. Sold As-Is with tenant to remain in possession; no showings at this time, and contracts subject to viewing after ratification or tenant vacating. Sale is being handled by the Estate, any and ALL offers will be considered. The Estate is also offering 1101 Pelham Wood Rd, 2212 Ellen Ave, and 1311 Limit Ave, great properties to add to your rental portfolio!
Key facts
- Built 1959
- Listed 22 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Home design: End of Row/Townhouse design; Located in city limits (Baltimore City)
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: End of row townhouse; Basement present (other description); Above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Efficiency kitchen
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Efficiency kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $130k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.79%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3614 Saint Margaret | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,265 (-1%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $146 | 83 |
| 1614 Popland | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (-3%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $178 | 76 |
| 1326 Cypress St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,254 (-2%) | 1mo | $226,000 | $180 | 69 |
| 3511 6th St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,294 (+1%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 916 Jack St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,116 (-13%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 516 Arsan Ave | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,294 (+1%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $147 | 58 |
| 4613 Pennington Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+5%) | 2mo | $52,000 | $39 | 55 |
| 814 Jack St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-13%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $125 | 53 |
| 1509 Filbert St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (+12%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $147 | 53 |
| 3712 8th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,088 (-15%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $55 | 47 |
| 4009 8th St | 0.47mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,088 (-15%) | 2mo | $223,000 | $205 | 45 |
| 3547 5th St | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,092 (-15%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $188 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $11,406
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $57,464
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21225
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,761 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $553 | -5% $516 | +0% $479 | +5% $442 | +10% $405 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $340 | -5% $409 | +0% $479 | +5% $548 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $544 | -0.5pp $512 | base $479 | +0.5pp $445 | +1.0pp $411 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1353 Cambria St Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1305 E Patapsco Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $1,650 | $1.77 | 5d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3816 W Bay Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1364 | $1,155 | $0.85 | 4d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1517 Sycamore St Curtis Bay, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,999 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3826 10th St Unit Entire House Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,400 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3828 10th St Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,350 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4216 Prudence St Curtis Bay, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1116 | $2,100 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1411 Filbert St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3840 8th St Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $1,606 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3822 6th St Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $1,850 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $2,500 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4201 Audrey Ave Unit 1 Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3528 6th St Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1060 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 19d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1104 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,275 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5215 Wasena Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,650 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3569 4th St Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1256 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3544 4th St Brooklyn, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $1,940 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4400 4th St Unit BASEMENT Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 49 Talbott St Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 202 W Edgevale Rd Unit A Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1824 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 6d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,800 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 303 Arden Rd W Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,500 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 732 Old Riverside Rd Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1570 | $1,900 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,114 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,114 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,114
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,690
- − Management
- −$1,690
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,921
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$941
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,806/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,062
- Household income
- $54,020
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.44%
- Current HPI
- 254.5089
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+242.1% since first listed40 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2014-10-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 2014-10-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-10-08 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-08-10 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-07-01 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-06-11 Listed — MRIS
- 2014-06-11 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-06-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 2013-06-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-18 Listed — MRIS
- 2013-05-18 Listed $52,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-10-29 Sold (MLS) $36,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-10-29 Sold (MLS) $36,000 MRIS
- 2010-10-08 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-10-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-09-24 Price Changed $37,900 MRIS
- 2010-08-31 Relisted — MRIS
- 2010-08-12 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-08-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-08-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-07-31 Listed $39,900 MRIS
- 2010-07-31 Listed $37,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $142,855 Public Records
- 2010-06-23 Listed — MRIS
- 2010-06-23 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-01-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-01-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-07-25 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-06-24 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-06-02 Listed — MRIS
- 2009-06-02 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2007-12-14 Sold (MLS) $145,000 MRIS
- 2007-11-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-10-09 Listed $147,500 MRIS
- 1997-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $69,800 Public Records
- 1990-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $61,200 Public Records
- 1989-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,114 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…